Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) Bear Market Bottom Has Been Confirmed
Bulls and bears alike having been paying close attention to Bitcoin price charts, trying to determine if the December 2018 low was indeed the bear market bottom, or if Bitcoin will test new lows once again.
The most recent price rally was the most valiant effort yet by bulls, who for the first time since Bitcoin set its all-time high of $20,000 back in December 2017, painted a higher high on Bitcoin price charts. That higher high, according to one prominent crypto analyst, was the confirmation traders and investors everywhere were waiting for: a confirmation that the bottom is in.
According to Shayne ‘Jack’ Heffernan, CEO and Founder of Heffx says that the higher high was indeed confirmation that the bottom of the current bear market is in, and that a series of higher lows are expected in the coming months, until Bitcoin continues its ascent upward.
Above here, Bitcoin’s next major resistance will be around $6,000 – resistance that was formerly incredibly strong support that was repeatedly tested throughout the bear market. Due to how much price action occurred around the range, the resistance will be insanely powerful. However, should Bitcoin breach $6K, most of the market will consider the bear market to be over.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 4,265.87.
The projected upper bound is: 5,732.30.
The projected lower bound is: 4,777.45.
The projected closing price is: 5,254.88.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 8 white candles and 2 black candles for a net of 6 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 30 white candles and 20 black candles for a net of 10 white candles.
An inverted hammer occurred. If this occurs during a downtrend it implies a reversal. Look for a confirmation of the reversal on the bar.
A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).
A shooting star occurred (a shooting star has a small real body near the bottom of the candle and a long upper shadow). During an uptrend(which appears to be the case with FOREX BTC=) the long upper shadow indicates that the bears are gaining control and a top may occur.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 72.4219. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 71.23. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 88. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX BTC= closed down -28.300 at 5,227.370. Volume was 76% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 266% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 4,895.19 4,127.20 4,582.44
Volatility: 111 69 69
Volume: 85,138 68,146 73,492
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX BTC= is currently 14.1% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 10 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that BTC= is currently in an overbought condition.