Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turns lower from SMA resistance
The wider context shows a market that is clearly trending lower, and as such it makes sense to look out for another period of weakness before long. The break below the near-term swing low of $0.7307 looks particularly interesting as a signal of further downside to come. Otherwise, a rally through $0.7453 would provide a more bullish view for the pair.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 0.75.
The projected upper bound is: 0.74.
The projected lower bound is: 0.72.
The projected closing price is: 0.73.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 71.0784. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 46.20. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 80 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 18. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 8 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 6 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX AUD= closed down -0.003 at 0.731. Volume was 9% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 4% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
0.734 0.735 0.727 0.731 111,947
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.73 0.74 0.76
Volatility: 13 11 10
Volume: 108,436 104,140 96,318
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX AUD= is currently 4.2% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of AUD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 12 periods.
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