Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) strength could extend to 0.7210

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) strength could extend to 0.7210

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) strength could extend to 0.7210

We highlighted last Thursday (11 Apr, spot at 0.7170) that a “break of 0.7190 would suggest AUD is ready to tackle the Feb’s peak of 0.7210”. AUD opened on a weak note on Friday (12 Apr) before staging a robust rally that hit a high of 0.7193 during NY hours.

Upward pressure has improved further and from here, the current strength in AUD could extend to 0.7210 in the coming days. 0.7210 is a rather critical resistance and a clear break of this level would suggest AUD is ready to move even higher in the weeks ahead (next significant resistance is at the Jan’s peak near 0.7295). On the downside, only a break of the 0.7115 ‘key support’ (level was at 0.7080 last Friday) would suggest that a short-term top is in place.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 0.71.

The projected upper bound is: 0.73.

The projected lower bound is: 0.71.

The projected closing price is: 0.72.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 23 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 3 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 72.2021. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 55.38. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 81 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 92. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 22 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX AUD= closed down -0.002 at 0.715. Volume was 45% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 45% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
0.717 0.717 0.714 0.715 56,865

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.71 0.71 0.72
Volatility: 8 9 10
Volume: 87,095 99,686 107,512

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX AUD= is currently 0.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of AUD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 15 periods.

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