Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market has a lack of volume due to Thanksgiving

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market has a lack of volume due to Thanksgiving

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market has a lack of volume due to Thanksgiving

The Australian dollar initially tried to rally during the week but then drifted lower to reach the 0.6775 handle, and perhaps even a little bit lower. At this point though, the market has a lack of volume as Thanksgiving would have been keeping a lot of bankers in the United States out of the market.

The 0.67 level underneath is a massive support level, and at this point it’s very likely that we will continue to see that area hold. If we were to break down below there it would be a catastrophic event for the Australian dollar, perhaps reaching down to the 0.65 handle. If we were to break down below there, then it’s lights out for the Aussie.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 0.68.

The projected lower bound is: 0.67.

The projected closing price is: 0.68.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 23 white candles and 27 black candles for a net of 4 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 29.9270. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 40.39. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 82 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -106.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 16 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX AUD= closed up 0.001 at 0.677. Volume was 97% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 19% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
0.676 0.677 0.675 0.677 1,935
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 0.68 0.68 0.69
Volatility: 3 7 7
Volume: 39,409 51,553 74,710

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX AUD= is currently 2.2% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume out of AUD= (mildly bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 8 periods.

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