Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) further strength to 0.7315

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) further strength to 0.7315

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) further strength to 0.7315

Despite overall positive indications, AUD has not been able to make much headway on the upside. It touched a high of 0.7303 last Thursday (08 Nov) but has since eased off. For now, we continue to see a chance for AUD to test the strong 0.7315 resistance. However, in order to maintain the current momentum,

AUD has to move higher soon (say within this week) as a prolonged consolidation would quickly diminish the prospect for further AUD strength. Conversely, a break of the 0.7150 ‘key support’ (no change in level) would suggest that 0.7303 is a short-term top.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 0.73.

The projected lower bound is: 0.71.

The projected closing price is: 0.72.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 33.9523. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 51.21. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 133 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 34. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 20 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX AUD= closed down -0.005 at 0.718. Volume was 8% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 28% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
0.722 0.724 0.717 0.718 116,917

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.72 0.72 0.75
Volatility: 13 10 10
Volume: 121,651 111,623 105,393

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX AUD= is currently 3.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of AUD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 4 periods.

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