Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to be very volatile
The Australian dollar has had a volatile session during the trading session on Friday, initially breaking above the 200 day EMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level before turning around. With so much up in the air when it comes to the trade war, it’s not a huge surprise at the Australian dollar would struggle. Ultimately, this market should continue to be very volatile, and unfortunately for the Australians very sensitive to the Chinese situation. At this point, it’s obvious that the Americans and the Chinese are going to struggle to come to some type of final deal, and it’s possible that Wall Street has the entire thing wrong. For what it’s worth, a lot of Wall Street traders assume that there is going to be some type of small deal soon, but one thing that has been obvious is that every time the markets think they get a deal, something goes wrong.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 0.68.
The projected upper bound is: 0.70.
The projected lower bound is: 0.68.
The projected closing price is: 0.69.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 68.5930. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 58.58. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 92 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 105.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX AUD= closed up 0.001 at 0.688. Volume was 98% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 11% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
0.689 0.689 0.688 0.688 923
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.69 0.68 0.69
Volatility: 8 7 7
Volume: 43,808 48,581 72,010
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX AUD= is currently 0.4% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of AUD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.
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