Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation unlikely to last
AUD/USD has been consolidating this week, following on from a sharp drop towards the end of last week. Despite the fact that we are trading sideways, there is a good chance we will see another leg lower before long.
That being said, given the size of that prior sell-off, there is still a potential for a short-term retracement. As such, look for a break below yesterday’s low as a signal of another leg lower. Otherwise, a break through trendline resistance would point towards a potential short-term rebound.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 0.74.
The projected upper bound is: 0.73.
The projected lower bound is: 0.70.
The projected closing price is: 0.72.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 3 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 22 black candles for a net of 5 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 54.4271. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 40.90. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 91 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -44. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 9 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX AUD= closed down -0.000 at 0.717. Volume was 100% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 52% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
0.717 0.717 0.716 0.717 148
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.72 0.73 0.76
Volatility: 11 11 10
Volume: 87,546 101,004 96,969
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX AUD= is currently 5.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of AUD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 23 periods.
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