Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could break down rather drastically

Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could break down rather drastically

Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could break down rather drastically

I believe that the 0.70 level underneath is going to continue to be a crucial level to pay attention to. The large come around, psychologically significant figure giving way to selling pressure could open the door to the 0.68 handle, which is a longer-term level of importance based upon monthly charts.

I think that if we were to break down below there, the Australian dollar could break down rather drastically. At this point, if we do break out to the upside I think that it is going to be a short-term opportunity at best. Keep in mind that the Sino-American relations continue to make a huge impact on this pair, so if we do get good news out of that situation, then the Australian dollar will probably be the first place that traders start buying.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

The projected upper bound is: 0.72.

The projected lower bound is: 0.70.

The projected closing price is: 0.71.

Candlesticks

A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 66.8875. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 47.61. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 124 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -19. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 15 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 11 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX AUD= closed up 0.005 at 0.711. Volume was 11% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 57% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
0.706 0.712 0.705 0.711 118,512

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.71 0.72 0.75
Volatility: 8 10 10
Volume: 119,021 108,947 104,753

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX AUD= is currently 5.2% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of AUD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 18 periods. Our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not. This is a bullish divergence.

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