Australia: S&P/ASX 200 (.AXJO) poised to slip

Australia: S&P/ASX 200 (.AXJO) poised to slip

Australia: S&P/ASX 200 (.AXJO) poised to slip

It was probably welcomed by many investors, but it was a relatively quiet day on financial markets overnight — even for a Monday.

For the local sharemarket, a flattish start is on the cards, with futures pointing to a 5 point rise for the ASX at the opening bell.

The RBA has kept rates on hold for the 22nd time, keeping rates at 1.5 per cent for the last two years. Rates were last dropped by 0.25 per cent on 3 August 2016.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

The projected upper bound is: 6,354.28.

The projected lower bound is: 6,163.52.

The projected closing price is: 6,258.90.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 34.3069. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 52.68. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 31 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -28. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 16 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

S&P/ASX 200 closed down -19.100 at 6,253.900. Volume was 8% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 60% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
6,273.0006,273.0006,244.4006,253.900 597,114,176

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6,262.92 6,178.08 6,025.50
Volatility: 8 10 10
Volume: 537,036,352 555,764,736 551,243,072

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

S&P/ASX 200 is currently 3.8% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .AXJO at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .AXJO and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods.

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