Australia: S&P/ASX 200 (.AXJO) Market Set to Open Flat
Mounting concerns over a sharp escalation in the US-China trade war, rising interest rates, falling domestic house prices and weak wages growth all weighed on sentiment.
The S&P-ASX 200 index dropped 0.3 per cent at the open, rallied to a 0.2 per cent gain and closed down 2.1 points, or 0.03 per cent, at 6141.7 with real estate and telco stocks leading losses.
On Friday US President Donald Trump threatened to sharply escalate the US trade war with China, saying the White House was ready to move “very soon” to impose tariffs on $US200 billion in imports from Beijing, with levies on a further $US267 billion of other goods “ready to go on short notice”.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 6,238.26.
The projected lower bound is: 6,043.70.
The projected closing price is: 6,140.98.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 2 white candles and 8 black candles for a net of 6 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 23 white candles and 27 black candles for a net of 4 black candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 14.0502. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 33.06. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 55 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -157.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
S&P/ASX 200 closed down -2.100 at 6,141.700. Volume was 16% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 29% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6,260.85 6,263.93 6,064.46
Volatility: 11 10 11
Volume: 618,382,144 554,722,496 562,463,488
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
S&P/ASX 200 is currently 1.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .AXJO at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .AXJO and have had this outlook for the last 2 periods.