Australia: S&P/ASX 200 (.AXJO) close to its 2007 high point
The ASX 200 came through this year’s very patchy risk appetite in style and is now back within close distance of its own record peaks.
The latest boost has come from suspicions that the European Central Bank could soon bolster the global atmosphere of looser monetary policy, and from hopes that the leaders of China and the US will find constructive things to say to each other on trade at this months’ Group of 20 get-together in Osaka.
So much for the fundamentals. The ASX is closing in on a resistance zone which guards those 2007 peaks. Moreover, a look at the monthly chart reveals that the entrenched uptrend from 2009’s post crisis low remains at least as strong as ever.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 6,354.85.
The projected upper bound is: 6,777.65.
The projected lower bound is: 6,535.16.
The projected closing price is: 6,656.41.
A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 30 white candles and 20 black candles for a net of 10 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 77.3092. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 71.44. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 18 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 117.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
S&P/ASX 200 closed up 78.100 at 6,648.100. Volume was 16% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 36% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 6,512.08 6,370.18 6,053.57
Volatility: 11 12 14
Volume: 664,762,304 597,439,552 618,535,168
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
S&P/ASX 200 is currently 9.8% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .AXJO at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on .AXJO and have had this outlook for the last 6 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that .AXJO is currently in an overbought condition.
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