Applications for Jobless Benefits Fall to 236,000 in 3rd Weekly Decline

Applications for Jobless Benefits Fall to 236,000 in 3rd Weekly Decline

Applications for Jobless Benefits Fall to 236,000 in 3rd Weekly Decline

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week, suggesting a tightening of the labor market.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits slipped 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 236,000 for the week ended 2 December, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was unrevised.

It was the 3rd straight weekly decline in claims.

Economists polled forecast claims rising to 240,000 in the latest week.

Last week marked the 144th straight week that claims remained below the 300,000 threshold, which is associated with a strong labor market. That is the longest such stretch since Y 1970, when the labor market was smaller.

The labor market is near full employment, with the jobless rate at a 17-year low of 4.1%. A Labor Department official said claims-taking procedures continued to be disrupted in the Virgin Islands months after Hurricanes Irma and Maria battered the islands. He said claims processing in Puerto Rico was still not back to normal.

The 4-week moving average of initial claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out W-W volatility, edged down 750 to 241,500 last week. The claims data has no impact on November’s employment report, due to be published Friday, as it falls outside the survey period.

According to a survey of economists, NFPs (nonfarm payrolls) probably increased by 200,000 in November after surging 261,000 in October.

Job growth in October was boosted by the return to work of thousands of employees, mostly in low-wage industries like hospitality and retail, who had been temporarily dislocated by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma.

The unemployment rate is forecast unchanged in November. It has declined by seven-tenths of a percentage point this year.

The claims report also showed the number of people still receiving benefits after an initial week of aid fell 52,000 to 1.91-M in the week ended 25 November. The 4-wk MA (moving average) of  continuing claims rose 1,000 to 1.91-M.

Stay tuned…

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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