Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) see solid gains on safe-haven demand as stocks stumble

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) see solid gains on safe-haven demand as stocks stumble

Gold and silver prices are posting solid gains in midday U.S. trading Tuesday, on safe-haven buying amid a U.S. stock market sell-off following downbeat remarks from President Trump regarding the U.S.-China trade negotiations.

Trader and investor risk appetite up-ticked Tuesday following Trump’s comments in London, regarding a partial U.S.-China trade deal. Trump said there is no timetable on even a partial deal and implied any deal could come after next year’s U.S. presidential election. “In some ways, it may be better to wait until after the election,” said Trump. Trump on Monday threatened Brazil and Argentina with trade tariffs and on Tuesday did the same to France.

Asian equities were mixed and European stock markets were mostly lower Tuesday.

March silver futures bears still have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. Prices have been trending lower for three months. Silver bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $17.50 an ounce.

The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $16.50. First resistance is seen at $17.355 and then at $17.50. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $16.895 and then at the November low of $16.76

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 17.73.

The projected lower bound is: 16.58.

The projected closing price is: 17.16.


A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 77.0052. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 49.81. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 64 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 130.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 15 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAG= closed unchanged at 17.170. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 72% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
17.161 17.175 17.140 17.170 228
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 17.01 17.38 16.21
Volatility: 15 21 24
Volume: 23 5 1

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


PREC.M.XAG= is currently 5.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 18 periods.

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