Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) investors worldwide are on edge at mid-week as world government bond yields took a dramatic dive

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) investors worldwide are on edge at mid-week as world government bond yields took a dramatic dive

Gold and silver prices are sharply higher at midday Wednesday, with gold hitting a six-year high and trading well above the key $1,500.00 level. Silver prices scored a 13-month high of $17.145, basis December Comex futures. Traders and investors worldwide are on edge at mid-week as world government bond yields took a dramatic dive today. Safe-haven demand continues to boost the two precious metals. December gold futures were last up $32.60 an ounce at 1,517.10. September Comex silver prices were last up $0.68 at $17.13 an ounce.

September silver futures prices closed near the session high today. The silver bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and gained more power today. A 10-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $17.50 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $16.50. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $17.145 and then at $17.25. Next support is seen at $16.75 and then at $16.685.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 15.66.

The projected upper bound is: 17.72.

The projected lower bound is: 16.66.

The projected closing price is: 17.19.


A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 34 white candles and 16 black candles for a net of 18 white candles.

Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 85.5471. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 73.84. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 291.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 9 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAG= closed up 0.693 at 17.138. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 114% wider than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
16.420 17.181 16.420 17.138 15,857
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 16.46 15.49 15.16
Volatility: 29 21 19
Volume: 1,586 317 79

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


PREC.M.XAG= is currently 13.0% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 45 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that XAG= is currently in an overbought condition. The security price has set a new 14-period high while our momentum oscillator has not. This is a bearish divergence.

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