German investor confidence hit its lowest ebb in almost eight years in August, a survey by the ZEW institute showed Tuesday, sapped by trade and currency wars and the threat of a no-deal Brexit.
The Mannheim-based researchers’ monthly barometer measuring investors’ economic expectations for Europe’s powerhouse economy plunged 19.6 points, to -44.1.
That was far below its long-term average of 21.6 points and its lowest since December 2011.
And it came in massively short of forecasts from analysts surveyed by Factset, who expected a reading of -28.0 points.
August’s survey showed “a significantly worsened outlook for the German economic cycle,” ZEW chief Achim Wambach commented in a statement.
“Renewed escalation in the trade dispute between the US and China, the linked risk of a global race to depreciate currencies and the higher risk of a no-deal Brexit have mingled with economic growth that was already weaker.”
Other elements of the survey showed that investors’ expectations for economic performance across the 19-nation eurozone also tumbled dramatically, shedding 23.3 points to reach -43.6.
The financial experts’ judgements of the present situation also worsened, dropping 12.4 points for Germany, to -13.5, and 3.9 points for the eurozone, to -14.5.
ZEW compiled its results based on a survey of 193 analysts and institutional investors.
“The faster the UK separates itself from the EU the better off they will be.” – Shayne Heffernan