Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) Shayne Heffernan Target $200

Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) Shayne Heffernan Target $200

Recently, there was a downside correction in ETH price below the $180 support against the US Dollar. However, the $175 level acted as a decent support and prevented further losses. Moreover, bitcoin price held the $10,000 support and it bounced back above $10,250 and $10,300. It helped altcoins in recovering and Ether climbed back above the $178 level.

Additionally, the price broke the $180 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. During the rise, the price broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $186 swing high to $175 swing low. More importantly, this week’s followed major bearish trend line was breached with resistance near $178 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

The price is now trading near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $186 swing high to $175 swing low. If there are more upsides, the price could break the $182 resistance level. The next resistance is near the $184 level plus the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $186 swing high to $175 swing low. However, the main resistance is near still near the $185 level.

A convincing close above the $185 resistance might set the pace for a strong rise in the near term. On the downside, an immediate support is near the $178 level. However, the main support is near the $175 level. If there is a bearish break below the $175 support, there could be more downsides in the coming sessions.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

The projected upper bound is: 197.67.

The projected lower bound is: 161.05.

The projected closing price is: 179.36.


A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 19 white candles and 31 black candles for a net of 12 black candles.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 49.9580. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 46.60. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 87. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX ETH= closed up 0.310 at 180.130. Volume was 77% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 64% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
179.920 183.090 178.820 180.130 15,238
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 177.10 194.63 203.18
Volatility: 45 60 84
Volume: 61,540 60,626 60,127

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX ETH= is currently 11.3% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of ETH= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on ETH= and have had this outlook for the last 0 periods. Our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not. This is a bullish divergence.

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