Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) price remains at a risk of more downsides as long as the price is below $185

Ethereum: USD/ETH (ETH=) price remains at a risk of more downsides as long as the price is below $185

In the past two days, ETH price made two attempts to surpass the $185 resistance against the US Dollar. However, bitcoin price struggled to climb higher above the $10,350 and $10,400 resistance levels. As a result, Ether price also started showing a few bearish signs below the $185 resistance. On the positive side, the price is holding the main $178 and $180 support levels.

The last swing low was formed near the $177 level. The price is currently correcting higher above the $178 and $179 levels. Moreover, there was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $185 swing high to $177 swing low. On the upside, the $182 level is currently protecting gains. Additionally, there is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $182 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $185 swing high to $177 swing low is also acting as a resistance. If there is an upside break above $182, Ethereum price could revisit the $185 resistance level. To continue higher and start a decent rise, the price must break the $185 and $186 resistance levels.

On the upside, an initial support is near the $180 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The next key support is near the $178 level. If there is a downside break below the last swing low, the price could correct further lower towards the $170 support area in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

The projected upper bound is: 197.27.

The projected lower bound is: 160.51.

The projected closing price is: 178.89.


A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 19 white candles and 31 black candles for a net of 12 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 63.7654. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 45.78. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 76. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 8 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX ETH= closed up 1.650 at 179.650. Volume was 65% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 55% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
178.420 182.720 176.670 179.650 23,841
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 177.48 196.15 202.80
Volatility: 54 60 85
Volume: 64,078 61,289 60,177

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX ETH= is currently 11.4% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of ETH= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on ETH= and have had this outlook for the last 19 periods. Our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not. This is a bullish divergence.

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