Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) recovers to $8,300

Bitcoin: USD/BTC (BTC=X) recovers to $8,300

The majority of the top-20 cryptocurrencies by market cap are holding steady today after an up and down weekend, and the market leader is no exception.

Bitcoin dropped by about $100, or roughly 2 percent, earlier today, but has recovered to just above the $8,300 mark. Nevertheless, it marks an overall drop of around $500 since the end of last week.

Crypto traders, at the time, could have been forgiven for briefly thinking Bitcoin was on its way toward a massive recovery. Last Friday, the price of Bitcoin hit the $8,800 mark—only to drop way back down again moments later.

For the last few weeks, Bitcoin has struggled mightily to break through the $8,500 resistance mark. Holders, however, might be heartened to know that Bakkt, despite its slow start, is now starting to catch on with institutional players, and has traded nearly $2 million in Bitcoin futures contracts since last Wednesday, according to Forbes.

So if Bakkt’s slow start really did contribute to Bitcoin’s tanking price as many analysts suggest, this might provide a glimmer of hope for the Bitcoin traders eager for good news.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

The projected upper bound is: 9,082.05.

The projected lower bound is: 7,498.65.

The projected closing price is: 8,290.35.


A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 19 white candles and 31 black candles for a net of 12 black candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 34.2788. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 41.44. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 8 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 28. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX BTC= closed down -6.840 at 8,329.000. Volume was 70% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 72% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
8,360.5008,435.3008,143.7508,329.000 24,953
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 8,306.44 9,320.82 8,722.15
Volatility: 46 54 80
Volume: 83,052 81,079 85,904

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


FOREX BTC= is currently 4.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BTC= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on BTC= and have had this outlook for the last 21 periods.

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