Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) Jack Ma retired

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) Jack Ma retired

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) Jack Ma retired

Jack Ma retired on September 10 as executive chairman of Alibaba Group (NASDAQ:BABA) to become Bill Gates. (Or, maybe, Andrew Carnegie.)

The Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) co-founder retired at age 58 to become a full-time philanthropist and student of the world. Carnegie eventually gave away his entire fortune, worth $76 billion in 2019 dollars. Ma is retiring at age 55, he says to become a teacher.

After building a company many liken to Jeff Bezos’ Amazon.Com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Ma leaves a company at a crossroads under his chosen successor, Daniel Zhang.

The crossroads is between China and the world. Its way forward is the cloud.

Alibaba Global

Alibaba’s base of China suffers from a depreciating currency, which the government is being forced to prop up. It’s the primary victim of the Trump trade war, which is slowing growth.

But BABA has a way out. Alibaba’s cloud, launched in 2009, is going global rapidly. It’s expanding into Europe and dominating in Asia where it has a 19% marketshare, eclipsing even Amazon, with services in 15 different regions.

Among Alibaba’s latest partners is Equinix (NASDAQ:EQIX), a $46 billion cloud landlord whose shares are up 53% so far in 2019. Alibaba is now providing services in the U.S. through alliances with companies like Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT), privately-held WordPress and International Business Machine’s (NYSE:IBM) Red Hat unit.

While Amazon offers infrastructure and Microsoft offers a platform, Alibaba is providing a full application stack, including financial and database applications. Its targets aren’t just big enterprises, but small businesses for which it will take their entire data and computing budget as they grow.

Zhang now says cloud will be “Alibaba’s main business in the future.” That’s a real change for Zhang. His first Alibaba strategy was known as “New Retail.” He bought supermarkets and shopping centers, making the company look more like Walmart (NYSE:WMT) to the average Chinese consumer.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 169.42.

The projected upper bound is: 185.22.

The projected lower bound is: 164.98.

The projected closing price is: 175.10.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 21 white candles and 29 black candles for a net of 8 black candles.

A long lower shadow occurred. This is typically a bullish signal (particularly when it occurs near a low price level, at a support level, or when the security is oversold).

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 63.1296. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 54.68. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 24 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 35. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 6 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

ALIBABA GRP ADR closed down -2.790 at 174.990. Volume was 49% below average (consolidating)(neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 20% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
176.110 176.110 172.250 174.990 1,921,812
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 173.67 170.65 167.57
Volatility: 30 38 38
Volume: 1,971,497 3,000,424 3,533,288

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

ALIBABA GRP ADR is currently 4.4% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of BABA.N at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on BABA.N and have had this outlook for the last 13 periods.

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