A recession and growing competition suggests you should dump Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock while you still can
Up until fairly recently, I used to be a big fan of Elon Musk and his vaunted company Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). However, a series of unnecessary controversies and unforced errors made me change my opinion. Granted, I still think the man is a genius. However, I wanted to avoid the coming train wreck in TSLA stock.
And man, was that ever the right decision. Year-to-date, Tesla stock is down more than 28%. Of course, this figure includes the effect of June and July’s sympathy rally in TSLA. Without it, shares would have shed closer to 40%.
For the bears, I say “never say never.” In my opinion, TSLA stock is on the verge of falling into an overwhelmingly negative ecosystem. From internal troubles to external headwinds, Tesla is about to face an unprecedented series of challenges.
Recession Cuts Two Ways for TSLA Stock
On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered an 800-point drop, the worst day of 2019 so far. Since no publicly traded company operates in a vacuum, virtually all stocks tanked. Even companies like UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) which has no exposure in China dipped severely. This drew fears of a coming recession.
Logically, then, it wasn’t a good day for Tesla stock, which does have exposure in China. In fact, before the U.S.-China trade war escalated in the past few weeks, TSLA was making an aggressive push toward dominating the electric vehicle market share in China.
You can say those plans got scuttled.
But that’s only the headline headwind. The other swing of the blade comes from a possible recession’s associated risks. Primarily, I’m talking about oil prices. During the midweek session, the international oil benchmark Brent crude dropped more than 3% on weak global economic data.
That’s a massive problem for TSLA stock because it takes away the EV’s principal selling point: eliminating pain at the pump.
Thus, if we head into a recession, don’t expect consumers to jump on EVs. By the way, Tesla’s cars aren’t that reliable, taking away another selling point and adding troubles to TSLA stock.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 238.16.
The projected lower bound is: 193.88.
The projected closing price is: 216.02.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 25.1395. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 37.87. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 15 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -223.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 13 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 15 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
TESLA INC closed down -3.980 at 215.640. Volume was 20% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 1% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
220.860 221.560 211.550 215.640 8,231,952
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 229.94 231.42 278.58
Volatility: 51 60 61
Volume: 6,000,553 8,844,486 9,123,378
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
TESLA INC is currently 22.6% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of TSLA.O at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on TSLA.O and have had this outlook for the last 12 periods.
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