USGS Add 20-B bbls of Crude to US Reserves

USGS Add 20-B bbls of Crude to US Reserves

USGS Add 20-B bbls of Crude to US Reserves

$USO, $UNG

The Permian Basin of West Texas and southeastern New Mexico is one of the oldest and easily most productive oil regions in the country.

The 1st Crude Oil was produced there in Y 1931, and the Permian has produced more than 28-B bbls of Crude Oil and 75-T cubic feet of Nat Gas since then.

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) announced Tuesday that its latest estimate of the Wolfcamp shale portion of the Permian Basin contains an estimated 20-B bbls of Crude Oil, 16-T cubic feet of Nat Gas and 1.6-B bbls of Nat Gas liquids (NGLs). The estimate includes continuous, unconventional Crude Oil and is made up of undiscovered, technically recoverable barrels.

The USGS defines “undiscovered” this way: “Resources postulated, on the basis of geologic knowledge and theory, to exist outside of known fields or accumulations. Included also are resources from undiscovered pools within known fields to the extent that they occur within separate plays.”

“Technically recoverable” means “producible using currently available technology and industry practices. USGS is the only provider of publicly available estimates of undiscovered technically recoverable Oil and Gas resources.”

A USGS official said: The fact that this is the largest assessment of continuous oil we have ever done just goes to show that, even in areas that have produced billions of barrels of oil, there is still the potential to find billions more. Changes in technology and industry practices can have significant effects on what resources are technically recoverable, and that’s why we continue to perform resource assessments throughout the United States and the world.

Lease prices in the Permian Basin have skyrocketed in recent months as the basin’s oil remains among the cheapest to produce and get to market of any field in the country. RSP Permian last month paid $2.5-B for leases on 41,000 net acres in another portion of the Permian called the Delaware Basin. That works out to about $61,000 an acre for current production of about 15,000 barrels of Oil equivalent per day of net production from 58 producing and another 3,200 gross and 1,950 net total undeveloped drilling locations.

The USGS assessment of the Wolfcamp Shale is the agency’s 1st assessment of continuous resources in the Midland Basin portion of the Permian.

HeffX-LTN Analysis for USO: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Bearish (-0.25) Very Bearish (-0.51) Bearish (-0.29) Neutral (0.06)
HeffX-LTN Analysis for UNG: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Bearish (-0.38) Bearish (-0.42) Bearish (-0.46) Bearish (-0.25)

Stay tuned…

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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