US Major Market Sentiment: The Bulls Vs The Bears
US Major Market Sentiment: The Bulls Vs The Bears
Bulls Vs Bears
The Bulls are at 43.6 Vs 41.5% last. They are moving up as the market declines on top of a more orderly prior pullback. Interesting to see if the Bull’s confidence that tracks the TR/MSI holds next week.
For your reference: 35% is the threshold for bullishness, in early June it hit 34%, the market rallied. Hard drop to 34 from 39.3% as economic reality and a choppy stock market hit. Again, 35% is the mark signaling Bullishness. And to be really Bearish it needs to get up to the 60-65% mark.
The Bears are at 27.7% Vs 27.7% last. At 27.7% holding a line, they have to get to 35% to be really Bearish and signal a rally.
For your reference: over 35% is the threshold needed to be a good upside indicator. Bearishness hit a 5 year high at 54.4% the last week of October 2008. The move over 50 took Bearish sentiment to its highest level since Y 1995, extreme negative sentiment for sure.
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Sentiment Indicators
VIX: 18.61; +0.12
VXN: 19.41; -0.73
VXO: 19.35; +0.42
Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 1.17; +0.04
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Heffernan Capital Management
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Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr.
Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr. writes and publishes The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report on the US Major Market Indices, a weekly, highly-regarded financial market letter, read by opinion makers, business leaders and organizations around the world.
Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr has studied the global financial and stock markets since 1984, following a successful business career that included investment banking, and market and business analysis. He is a specialist in equities/commodities, and an accomplished chart reader who advises technicians with regard to Major Indices Resistance/Support Levels.
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