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May 25, 2013 -- Updated December 04, 2012 16:24 HKT

Update: Crude Oil, Gold, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF


shayne@heffcap.com
Posted on: Dec 4th, 2012

The euro rose to its highest in six weeks against the Swiss franc on Tuesday, continuing the previous day’s rise when Switzerland’s largest banks said they would charge for some franc deposits.

Sterling hit a one-month high versus the dollar on Tuesday as long-term investors bought the pound, adding to Monday’s gains.

The Aussie edged up on Tuesday even after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its cash rate by a quarter point, a move so well discounted that it prompted a “buy on the fact” response.
The Aussie dollar AUD=D4 initially slipped as low as $1.0406 after rates were cut to 3 percent, but quickly recovered to last fetch $1.0447, up 0.3 percent on the day.
Financial markets had been almost fully priced for an easing and Aussie short positions got squeezed when the central bank statement did not appear as dovish as some had hoped.

Crude Oil (Jan 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 90.25
Our preference: SHORT positions below 90.25 with 87.5 & 86.5 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 90.25 will call for a rebound towards 90.8 & 91.6.
Comment: break of a ST rising trendline support.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced {OPENEDEMAILMARKER}

 

GOLD (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 1714.00
Our preference: SHORT positions below 1714 with 1695 & 1689 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1714 will call for 1722 & 1731.
Comment: as long as 1714 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.

Pivot: 1.3015.
Our preference: LONG positions above 1.3015 with 1.308 & 1.311 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1.3015 will open the way to 1.298 & 1.2955.
Comment: the pair is trading in a bullish channel

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

GBP/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.606

Pivot: 1.6060.
Our preference: LONG positions @ 1.607 with 1.612 & 1.614 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.606 will call for a slide towards 1.603 & 1.6015.
Comment: the break above 1.606 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.612.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

USD/CAD intraday: further upside.

Pivot: 0.993
Our preference: Long positions above 0.993 with targets @ 0.996 & 0.997 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.993 look for further downside with 0.9915 & 0.99 as targets.
Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

USD/JPY intraday: supported by a rising trend line.

Pivot: 81.90.
Our preference: LONG positions above 81.9 with 82.3 & 82.45 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 81.9 will open the way to 81.65 & 81.4.
Comment: the pair is expected to bounce off a rising trend line.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

AUD/USD intraday: caution.

Pivot: 1.0445
Our preference: Short positions below 1.0445 with targets @ 1.039 & 1.0365 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.0445 look for further upside with 1.0465 & 1.049 as targets.
Comment: intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

USD/CHF intraday: key ST resistance at 0.927

Pivot: 0.9270.
Our preference: SHORT positions below 0.927 with 0.924 & 0.921 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 0.927 will call for a rebound towards 0.9285 & 0.9305.
Comment: the pair is trading in a bearish channel

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced











 

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Heffernan Capital Management
Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Sales@Heffcap.com

Singapore

3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699

  Shayne Heffernan Ph.D.
Economist/Hedge Fund Manager

Shayne Heffernan oversees the management of funds for institutions and high net worth individuals. He is also an active consultant working with Corporations around the World.

He is recognized as one of the leading Economists in South East Asia, as well as the preeminent authority on ASEAN. His opinions and forecasts are widely read by decision makers in the region and Internationally.

Shayne Heffernan holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reached a peak of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

Member
Chinese Society of Economists
American Economic Society




 

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Posted by on Dec 4th, 2012and filed underForeign Exchange, Latest News.You can follow any responses to this entry through theRSS 2.0You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.
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Guest: bztg, come on shane, lite this puppy up. been waiting too long lets go!!!

Tue, 04/30/13 | 0 Comment

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Guest: gsat get it now. if u snooze u lose

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