Thailand Stock Exchange Preview: Thai-German, BTS Group, Raimon Land
Economist and Hedge Fund Manager Shayne Heffernan of www.livetradingnews.com takes a look at the Thailand Stock Exchange
The Thailand Stock Exchange finished the week 1.2% lower, no surprise though as Thailand has been the leading ASEAN Exchange this year up a total of 25.9% for the year. Investors in Thailand need to be cautious for now as there are ongoing problems in Europe and the USA that have the ability to create a sharp sell off.
Deleveraging in Europe and the US Fiscal Cliff will at some point in the coming months create Rally’s and Dips so it is ideal for traders.
For the Thailand Stock Exchange I advise you seek value, Low PE and good sectors are key, never buy a stock you do not have a long term positive outlook on, always keep in mind value.
Q3 was tough on Thai Exports, exports declined by 1.13 per cent compared to the same period last year, but there is some big news, Toyota plan to make 1m Cars per annum in Thailand.
The Auto Sector is the second most important industry for economic growth in any Country, and Thailand has excelled in that sector, long term Thailand still looks good. Auto manufacturing has an above average multiplier effect. For every one auto manufacturing job, there are 4-6 jobs outside of that segment that are related.
Automotive manufacturing has enormous reach touching every part of the country, employment in automotive and automotive parts manufacturing ranks among the top three manufacturing industries.
Despite a global slowdown Thailand will still record growth of between 4.5% and 6% depending who you ask, I think it will be closer to 6% as a result of the wage hikes and a recovery in food prices.

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ASEAN Markets as at Close Friday
Change on day
Market Current Prev Close Pct Move
TR SE Asia Index* 415.14 412.98 +0.52
Singapore 3009.56 3012.25 -0.09
Kuala Lumpur 1641.08 1641.07 0.00
Bangkok 1290.83 1293.70 -0.22
Jakarta 4333.64 4327.87 +0.13
Manila 5468.79 5446.71 +0.41
Ho Chi Minh 386.71 385.60 +0.29
Change on year
Market Current End prev yr Pct Move
TR SE Asia Index* 415.14 346.30 +19.88
Singapore 3009.56 2646.35 +13.72
Kuala Lumpur 1641.08 1530.73 +7.21
Bangkok 1290.83 1025.32 +25.90
Jakarta 4333.64 3821.99 +13.39
Manila 5468.79 4371.96 +25.09
Ho Chi Minh 386.71 351.55 +10.00
Interested in Investing in Asia?
Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Heffernan Capital Management
Sales@Heffcap.com
Singapore
3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699
Thai German
Thai German is very simple, do you believe management can quadruple its annual revenue to about 4.5 billion baht after regional integration under the Asean Economic Community from 2015 paves the way for the SET-listed stainless steel pipe maker to make full use of its monthly production capacity of 4,000 tonnes.
Managing director Rachata Leelaprachakul said Thai-German Products will ratchet up its presence in neighboring countries, especially Laos and Myanmar, from next year with the goal of Asean contributing 20% of revenue.
For now in terms of earnings the stock looks expensive and to see such a large jump in revenue we would need to see some significant new Capex, for now I will wait and see what the rest of the plan is before becoming a buyer. The stock does look like it wants to come lower, to at least 54.
BTS Group
This one is also hot right now, but in terms of value here I do not see it, even if revenue did triple as hoped, it looks a little expensive. In fact this chart is not looking so good at all, I would expect to see this one comeback in the near future.
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Raimon Land
Raimon Land is value, but not just yet, I would be a buyer under 1.85, long term the valuation is good, debt is always a concern but not so much in this environment.
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- ASEAN Stock Exchange Preview
April 26, 2013
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Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Heffernan Capital Management
Sales@Heffcap.com
Singapore
3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699
Heffernan Capital Management
Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Sales@Heffcap.com
Singapore
3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699
Shayne Heffernan Ph.D.
Economist/Hedge Fund Manager
Shayne Heffernan oversees the management of funds for institutions and high net worth individuals. He is also an active consultant working with Corporations around the World.
He is recognized as one of the leading Economists in South East Asia, as well as the preeminent authority on ASEAN. His opinions and forecasts are widely read by decision makers in the region and Internationally.
Shayne Heffernan holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reached a peak of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.
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