Stock Indexes Can Retrace 35-40% to Reach Historical Norms

Stock Indexes Can Retrace 35-40% to Reach Historical Norms






Stock Indexes Can Retrace 35-40% to Reach Historical Norms $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX “Valuations are now so obscenely elevated that even an outcome that fluctuates modestly about some new, higher average would easily take the S&P 500 35 -40% lower over the completion of the current market cycle,” fund manager John Hussman said in an […]






Shiller, “Don’t Sell Stocks Because of High Valuations”

Shiller, “Don’t Sell Stocks Because of High Valuations”






Shiller, “Don’t Sell Stocks Because of High Valuations” $SPY Yale Economist Robert Shiller advises savvy investors not to give into temptation to dump your stocks just because valuations are high. “If I was giving you advice: Do nothing. Don’t pull out. Don’t go in,” the Nobel laureate economist said on TV. Investors are dialing back […]






AAII Sentiment Survey, 23 February 2017

AAII Sentiment Survey, 23 February 2017






AAII Sentiment Survey, 23 February 2017 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism at 6-Week Highs The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat or fall over the next 6 months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01a […]






AAII Sentiment Survey, 2 February 2017

AAII Sentiment Survey, 2 February 2017






AAII Sentiment Survey, 2 February 2017 Neutral Sentiment Rises to Highest Level Since Early November 2016  $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs […]






Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise

Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise






Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Yale economist Robert Shiller admits that he does not know “what to make” of surging US stocks now Thursday he offer some of his sage advice to savvy investors: “Markets are inherently filled with tricks and traps, be careful.” […]






People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks

People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks






People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ The post-election Trump Rally has taken stock market indexes to all-time highs, and the recent gains raise some interesting Q’s. Below are some thoughts on the action that you may find useful, as follows: Sentiment: Has spiked as the market has run up. […]






October Stock Market Events: The Panic of 1907, Crash of 1929, Black Monday 1987

October Stock Market Events: The Panic of 1907, Crash of 1929, Black Monday 1987






October Stock Market Events: The Panic of 1907, Crash of 1929, Black Monday 1987 $SPY October is also notable for this Key reason: the performance of Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index from 31 July to 31 October has a way of predicting the Winner of the Presidential election. Tte pattern is solid, as shown in […]






The $50-B Gold Industry Deal Spree Is Extending

The $50-B Gold Industry Deal Spree Is Extending






The $50-B Gold Industry Deal Spree Is Extending $GLD, $ABX, $NEM The $50-B Gold industry deal spree is extending into its 3rd year, even as the rising bullion price makes sealing transactions and valuing mines more difficult. Gold has regained its “shine” as investors seek havens from volatile markets and weak interest rates. While the […]






The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors

The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors






The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US earnings recession should be dampening the 7-year-old Bull Market, but it is not registering with investors. Quarterly profits in the S&P 500 Index are about to fall yet again, extending a streak of declines poised to match the longest earnings […]






No Growth in Global Economy, Cash is King, Gold Shines

No Growth in Global Economy, Cash is King, Gold Shines






No Growth in Global Economy, Cash is King, Gold Shines $GLD, $SLV Looking at the global economy today we see several worrying developments. Currency devaluations and negative interest rate policies, + slow-to-no economic growth in both developed and developing economies. Experienced investors are trying to make “heads or tails” of today’s financial markets. The Big […]






Be Alert, Stocks Could Get Cut In Half

Be Alert, Stocks Could Get Cut In Half






Be Alert, Stocks Could Get Cut In Half $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stocks could lose 50% their value + if the history of valuation cycles is any indication, cautions mutual-fund manager John Hussman, President of Hussman Investment Trust. He is correct and I have been calling for a Fibo retracement in the S&P 500 of […]