Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cyclical sectors outperformed, follow-through buying interest came in on no new catalysts. Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) extend losses on familiar story lines Patience is the FOMC’s focus now, signaling that it went too far last year with its 4 rate hikes, so no interest rate hikes likely soon. […]

Really Good US-China Trade Deal Will See Stocks Soar

Really Good US-China Trade Deal Will See Stocks Soar

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: President Trump said the US will probably know, 1 way or another, in “the next 3 or 4 weeks” about a possible trade deal with China, as S&P 500 marked a fresh closing high Friday. “If that gets done, it will be something that people will be talking about […]

US Stocks ‘Paused to Refresh’

US Stocks ‘Paused to Refresh’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Financials, Information Technology Weak: Materials, Communication Services, Industrials Highlights: Relative strength in the S&P 500 financial and information technology sectors Shares of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) continue to outperform following positive analyst coverage Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) is under criminal investigation for some of its data deals General Electric (NYSE:GE) issues FY 2019 earnings warning; CEO offers […]

Stocks Climb, Atlanta Fed Raises US GDP Forecast

Stocks Climb, Atlanta Fed Raises US GDP Forecast

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 Breaks Above 2800, and President Trump Grounds Boeing’s 737 Max 8 Aircraft S&P 500 broke above the 2800 mark, and all 11 sectors finished in the Green Weakening USD was an area of support for the broader market and the earnings prospects for multinational companies President Trump […]

Tuesday the Broad Market Extends the Gains Off Friday’s Recovery

Tuesday the Broad Market Extends the Gains Off Friday’s Recovery

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Small businesses see bright future ahead Most S&P 500 sectors finish with gains Softening Consumer Price Index for February reinforced notion Fed will be patient US Treasury yields even lower Optimism among small companies in the US improved in February, snapping a 5-month losing streak that was the longest […]

Fed Responsible for Q-1 Slowdown, Stifling Trump Economy

Fed Responsible for Q-1 Slowdown, Stifling Trump Economy

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed stifling The Trump Economy The anti-Trump media is pointing to the economic slowdown, but economist Stephen Moore puts the blame on the Fed’s economist policy during our blockbuster Trump economy. “I’m a little worried about the economy slowing down a little bit, but we still have a blockbuster […]

SEC to Review Stock Trading Rules, Potential Shakeup Ahead

SEC to Review Stock Trading Rules, Potential Shakeup Ahead

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages recouped most of their losses and close near session highs The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is launching a review of the main set of rules governing stock trading, opening the door to the biggest potential changes in 15 yrs the head of the agency said Friday. […]

Key Tell: Watch Labor Participation Rate in US Jobs

Key Tell: Watch Labor Participation Rate in US Jobs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Job creation and wage growth are still important things to watch for in the monthly NFP report for February that will be released Friday. The other partial indicators already suggest that the labor market will remain solid. The focus now will be on the labor-force participation rate because the […]

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market is about to have its 10th Birthday! US household wealth fell 3.5% into the close of Y 2018 on the back of a Fed engineered stock market correction in Q-4 that threatened to weaken a near 10 year recovery. In its Quarterly Flow of Funds report, the […]

Few Reasons to End Fed’s ‘patient’ Stance on Rates

Few Reasons to End Fed’s ‘patient’ Stance on Rates

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Next Fed rate hike several FMOC meetings ahead With inflation muted, but other risks to the US economy on the rise, the Fed’s patience on policy is nowhere close to running out, with 1 previously Kawkish central banker Tuesday signaling he could wait until at least June before touching […]

Robot Traders Need Clarity, They Cannot Keep Up With President Trump

Robot Traders Need Clarity, They Cannot Keep Up With President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: “Machines are only as smart as their human programmers” Hedge fund investors learned that the hard way last year when data-crunching computers that invest $220-B based on historical price trends did worse than most human managers. The losses were so bad that investors pulled billions of dollars out of […]

US Stocks Setting Up for a Big Move North

US Stocks Setting Up for a Big Move North

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stocks finished flat on high volume We expect that US stocks will continue to move North new highs despite an earnings slowdown, that according to the patterns that are set/setting up now. HeffX-LTN is going contrarian Vs the Bears who are warning investors that the earnings slowdown will […]

Sidelined Investors ‘Shovel’ $965-M into Stock Funds on Market Rally

Sidelined Investors ‘Shovel’  $965-M into Stock Funds on Market Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Sidelined investors join this Bull market rally, as retail stocks outperform following earnings reports from Lowe’s ($LOW), Best Buy ($BBY), and TJX ($TJX) Investors came back into US stock funds during the week ended 20 February. It has been the best start to a year for the S&P 500 since Y 1987, breaking a 5-week […]

Sidelined Investors Joining This Rally

Sidelined Investors Joining This Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX FLASH: The Pain Trade is Higher! Professional investors who have missed this global stock rally this year, are still worry about getting on the bandwagon too late Money managers are strategies including derivatives, defensive and/or dividend stocks are being touted as a way out. Fund manager have pulled over $30-B from […]

Stocks Finished Flat on Fed’s ‘Patience’ Confirmation

Stocks Finished Flat on Fed’s ‘Patience’ Confirmation

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stock markets pause on Powell’s testimony to Congress Markets opened lower and were cautious as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the Congress Tuesday. The Fed’s U-turn that took expectations for rate hikes this year to Zero has led to a drop in real borrowing costs and a […]

US Housing Starts Fell to 2-Yr Lows in December

US Housing Starts Fell to 2-Yr Lows in December

$SPY, $USD US homebuilding fell to a more than 2-year lows in December as construction of both single and multi-family housing declined, the latest indication that the economy lost momentum in the fourth quarter. Other details of the report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday were also downbeat and suggested that the housing market could remain sluggish […]

Stocks Gain on Hopes of China Trade Dispute Resolution

Stocks Gain on Hopes of China Trade Dispute Resolution

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 advanced as much as 0.8% Monday after President Trump said he will extend the 1 March trade deadline, as negotiations with China have progressed favorably.  The benchmark index retreated throughout the session as it tapped up against some mild overhead resistance, but finishing higher by 0.1% above […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As earnings season comes to a close investors look down the line. No trade deal announced yet, but President Trump and Top Chinese negotiators in Washington concurred there will likely be 1 and the 1 March deadline for the tariff hike was pushed Sunday, the Chinese FM returns to Beijing […]

Time to Buy Risk as US-China Trade Dispute Resolves

Time to Buy Risk as US-China Trade Dispute Resolves

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $SLV, $USO, $SOY FLASH: It is absolutely the time to buy risk. Saturday, positive developments in trade talks between the world’s 2 largest economies should boost riskier assets, as extended US-China negotiations are ‘positive’ for risk assets. They will lead to a weaker USD, supporting Crude Oil prices and Gold […]

Americans’ Economic Approval at 18-Yr Highs

Americans’ Economic Approval at 18-Yr Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher with information technology (+1.3%), communication services (+1.1%), and healthcare (+0.9%) leading the advance. On the other hand, the financials (-0.2%) and consumer staples (-0.3%) sectors finished in the Red. Today, Americans’ views of the US economy and optimism about its […]

US Jobless Claims Fall, Labor Market Slowing

US Jobless Claims Fall, Labor Market Slowing

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, but the 4-wk MA rose to a more than 1-yr high, suggesting the labor market was slowing down. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 23,000 to a seasonally adjusted 216,000 for the week ended 16 February the Labor Department said […]

The Bulls Are In Charge of the US Stock Market

The Bulls Are In Charge of the US Stock Market

FLASH: This a Special Report, looking ahead at this leg of the longest Bull run in market history The US Stock Market: The Bulls Vs The Bears Russell 2000 +16.4% YTD NAS Comp +12.6% YTD DJIA +11.0% YTD S&P 500 +10.7% YTD US stocks rallied late last week into options expiration, even as some analysts felt like they should […]

“No Need to Hike Rates Again”

“No Need to Hike Rates Again”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Trump Policy Traction, FOMC Minutes Due Wednesday Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said he is comfortable with the level US interest rates are at now, and sees no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shift to an unexpectedly higher gear. In an interview with […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings coming to an end, as investors look farther down the line. Last Friday was options expiration, and we saw allocation of new Wall Street money to the financial, industrial, home-centric, and energy stocks. Notably, other sectors did not sell off, but paused to refresh. This is the perfect scenario: […]

Trump Trade Deal Optimism Driving This Market

Trump Trade Deal Optimism Driving This Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $BAC, $VXX US are stocks rallying this year on signs of progress in US-S trade talks as managed and sidelined money continues to bet that there is not much upside left when President Trump’s deal is reached. That is wrong Heffx-LTN’s corporate earnings and equity valuations model as of Saturday indicates […]

President Trump’s Policies Working, Market Soaring

President Trump’s Policies Working, Market Soaring

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The Pain Trade continues, on broad-based advance that had all 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher on the day. Almost 80% of S&P 500 companies having reported Q-4 earnings so far. Analysts now see a profit increase of 16.2% for the Quarter, according to Refinitiv data. President Trump’s policies […]

Fed says, “Economy in Good Place”

Fed says, “Economy in Good Place”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed officials are getting their stories aligned on the US economy. Cleveland’s Loretta Mester says it’s in a “very good spot.” Or a “pretty good place,” as Kansas City’s Esther George has it, faithfully echoing Chairman Jerome Powell’s “the economy is good.” Their remarks, made Tuesday and Wednesday, aim […]

Buying Interest Triggered by Trump Polices Progress

Buying Interest Triggered by Trump Polices Progress

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Progress of President Trump’s Policies Bringing On Continued Stock Buying Interest US futures point to a higher start this morning with sentiment boosted by US lawmakers reaching an agreement in principle to possibly avert another government shutdown later this week. The S&P 500 futures trade 18 pts, or 0.7%, […]

Wall Street Finished Mixed in Cautious Session

Wall Street Finished Mixed in Cautious Session

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US-China trade talks resume in Beijing President Trump and China President Xi appear closer to a trade deal, according to Presidential counselor Kellyanne Conway. “The President wants a deal, and he wants it to be fair to American workers and American interests,” Ms. Conway said on TV early Monday. […]

Investor Sentiment Is Key When Analyzing the Financial Markets

Investor Sentiment Is Key When Analyzing the Financial Markets

$SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Investor get excited by higher prices for financial assets. If prices of stocks 2X, it is likely that investors will want them more, and the more they go up, the more investors tend to want them, this is known as “fear or missing out,” or FOMO. So, that is why […]

Managed Money Still Sidelined Missing the Best January in 30 Years

Managed Money Still Sidelined Missing the Best January in 30 Years

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Friday afternoon that the central bank is debating whether QE (quantitative easing) should be reserved for emergencies or used more readily. Market turned; S&P 500 NAS Comp and RUTX finished in the Green, DJIA off a bit. The S&P 500 utilities sector […]

Wall Street Extends Gains, Big Caps Lead Sidelined Money In

Wall Street Extends Gains, Big Caps Lead Sidelined Money In

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, new money came in and Wall Street gained with all 3 major indexes closing near session highs. Continuing optimism abounds on the prospects for US-China trade relations propelled technology shares. The S&P 500 index and the NAS Comp both closed above their 100-Day MA’s for the 1st time since […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings Monday This week more earnings, while the economic data slows a bit. Good breaks higher that held for the indices and many stocks within. The Key will be if new money comes in to extend the rally. Semi’s are back in leadership, this is a huge Northside indicator. China […]

Jobs Report Reminded Investors the US Economy is Strong and Business is Good

Jobs Report Reminded Investors the US Economy is Strong and Business is Good

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Jobs Report for January provided reminder that US labor market remained strong despite growth worries, market volatility, and partial government shutdown. Plus, January ISM Manufacturing Index up higher than expected at 56.6 (consensus 53.6), business is good too. Foxconn Technology Group (2454:TW) said Friday that after its Chairman […]

S&P 500 Extends Rally on Earnings Optimism and US-China Trade Resolution

S&P 500 Extends Rally on Earnings Optimism and US-China Trade Resolution

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US President Trump to Meet with China’s President Xi to Seal US-China Trade Deal Thursday, President Trump said he will meet with Chinese President Xi soon to try to seal a comprehensive trade deal as the top US trade negotiator reported “substantial progress” in 2 days of high-level talks. President […]

Hedge Fund Money Not Chasing This Stock Rally

Hedge Fund Money Not Chasing This Stock Rally

$SPY The data reveals that hedge fund money has not been chasing the January late December – January rally in US stocks. It is on the sidelines. According to Macro Risk Advisors, these big-money managers are acting much more like it is the aftermath of the Y 2008 financial crisis than the relatively low-volatility environment […]

There is No Permanent Economic Damage From Shutdown

There is No Permanent Economic Damage From Shutdown

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said the recent partial government shutdown inflicted “no permanent damage” to the economy. “I still think the economy is very strong,” the head of the National Economic Council that advises President Trump said at a White House briefing.  “As I have said many times I […]

Stocks Finish Higher on Headline News

Stocks Finish Higher on Headline News

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks jumped at the open on initial speculation that a deal to reopen the government was imminent, the notion that the Fed may be getting close to the end of its balance sheet normalization effort, plus the expression from Treasury Secretary Mnuchin that the US is making progress with China trade […]

The USA is the ‘Hottest Economy in World’

The USA is the ‘Hottest Economy in World’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow says the indicators for the USA show that America is the ‘hottest economy’ in the world. He predicted the next monthly unemployment report will likely shock naysayers.  Mr. Kudlow said the economy will snap back from any “glitch” created by partial government shutdown, as that […]

Stocks Saw Uneven Trade on Positive Earnings, Finish in the Green

Stocks Saw Uneven Trade on Positive Earnings, Finish in the Green

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.7%) and the NAS Comp (+0.1%) experienced uneven post options expiry trading action finishing in the Green. The Russell 2000 (-0.2%) did, too, but it finished in the Red.  Most S&P 500 sectors finished higher with consumer staples (+1.2%) and utilities […]

China Trade Issues Still in the Headlines, Stocks Retrace Overbought Conditions

China Trade Issues Still in the Headlines, Stocks Retrace Overbought Conditions

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Fake News: reports of canceled trading meeting with Chinese officials untrue, there was No meeting planed to cancel. “The big meeting that everyone’s moving towards will be Vice Premier Liu He is coming at the end of the month, as I think everybody knows. That will be a very important […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, Once again, the US stock market was primed to rebound, it rebounded extending into options expiration, + there is plenty of money still on Wall Street’s sidelines. The US financial market was closed Monday for a Holiday, Options expiry brought a big Northside move. Perhaps we will see come giveback […]

China Signals Willingness to Eliminate Trade Imbalance with US

China Signals Willingness to Eliminate Trade Imbalance with US

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Industrials, Materials, Financials, Consumer Discretionary Weak: Utilities, Real Estate China’s willingness to eliminate the US trade imbalance. According to a report Friday, China made an offer during trade negotiations earlier this month to boost the amount of US imports, such that the trade balance with the US would be […]

US Considering Lifting Some or All Tariffs Against Chinese Imports

US Considering Lifting Some or All Tariffs Against Chinese Imports

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US market spiked on reports that the US is considering lifting tariffs on China imports during trade negotiations. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has discussed the lifting some or all tariffs imposed on Chinese imports and suggested offering a tariff rollback during trade discussions scheduled for 30 January. But […]

Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices fell last month on a steep fall in gasoline prices suggesting that inflation will remain tame in the coming months. The Labor Department said that the producer price index, which tracks cost changes before they reach the consumer fell 0.2% in December from the prior month. The drop […]

Stocks Cautious on China Growth, Financials and Industrials Lead, Gold in Favor

Stocks Cautious on China Growth, Financials and Industrials Lead, Gold in Favor

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Trade tensions should not disturb your portfolio’s peace of mind. To help prevent your portfolio from becoming “trade war collateral,” consider diversifying your assets to minimize exposure. Assets like physical Gold and Silver are historically known to perform well during turmoil in such dust ups. Recently, Jim Cramer urged investors frightened […]

US Stocks Finished Flat/Unchanged Ahead of Earnings Season

US Stocks Finished Flat/Unchanged Ahead of Earnings Season

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks paused to refresh Friday after being up 10.4% since Christmas Eve, earnings season begins in earnest next week, Analysts have been very negative ahead of this coming reporting frame. Earnings reports start next week with results from the big banks. And the warnings have been the most dire in […]

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY. $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX No recession in sight, No rate hikes ahead. Thursday, Federal Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank has the ability to be patient on policy given inflation is stable, allowing it to assesses whether the US economy will slow this year as some in financial markets worry.initial comments boosted […]

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (FOMC voter) expects rate hikes to continue, adding that the Fed can show some patience before resuming rate hikes. Boston Fed President (FOMC voter) Eric Rosengren does not rule out changes to the pace of balance sheet reduction on a slowdown. Fed policymakers said last […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Near Term

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Near Term

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, The US stock market was primed to rebound, it rebounded. Earnings are just ahead and if stocks continue to the Northside as they have on this bounce then the lowered estimates might not be a plus. So, for now savvy players will be playing the bounce, because the selloff was […]

Looking Ahead: Seeing No Rate Hikes, No Recession, 20%+ Rally Ahead

Looking Ahead: Seeing No Rate Hikes, No Recession, 20%+ Rally Ahead

$SPY, $GLD Surprise, after all of the ‘bunk’ you have heard since early October, do not be shocked that there will be no additional Fed rate hikes, a 20% S&P 500 rally and no recession.. Byron Wein defines “surprise” as an event that the average investor would only assign a 33% chance of taking place […]

Fed Follows President Trump’s Lead, Stocks Soar

Fed Follows President Trump’s Lead, Stocks Soar

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 3.4% Friday, as Fed Chairman Powell signaled patience and flexibility on rates in light of stronger-than-expected jobs data. The DJIA (+3.3%), the NAS Comp (+4.3%), and the Russell 2000 (+3.8%) also marked strong gains to finish the week + 1.6%, 2.3%, and 3.2%, respectively. All 11 […]

Apple’s 2019 Outlook Shakes the Broad Market

Apple’s 2019 Outlook Shakes the Broad Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL The S&P 500 fell 2.5% Thursday, as a revenue warning from Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and weak manufacturing data fueled concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth, undermining the broad market. The DJIA lost 2.8%, the NAS Comp lost 3.0%, the Russell 2000 lost 1.8%. On the day, 9 of the 11 […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $AMZN, $VXX The S&P 500 rallied 5.0% Wednesday from extremely oversold conditions Rebounding Crude Oil prices, strong holiday sales, and some short covering drover the S&P 500 to its best 1-day gainer since March 2009. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 5.0%, the NAS Comp gained 5.8%, and the Russell 2000 […]

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

$SPY, $WFC, $CS Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) cut estimates for stocks next year on concern the Fed is making policy mistakes that will dampen US economic growth. Chris Harvey, head of equity strategy at the bank, cut his year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 2,665 from 3,079. While the new forecast represents a 10% […]

Quad Witching aka ‘Freaky Friday’ Added to This Week’s Volatility

Quad Witching aka ‘Freaky Friday’ Added to This Week’s Volatility

$VXX Stock traders hammered by the worst sell-off since the global financial crisis of Y 2008 absorb another blast of volatility Friday when futures and options on indexes and individual stocks expired. The event known as “ Quadruple witching” takes place every Quarter. Typically it coincides with the re-balancing of the S&P 500 Index, spurring […]

Headlines Rule the Markets, Consumers Undaunted

Headlines Rule the Markets, Consumers Undaunted

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 2.1% Friday on headline uncertainty surrounding politics and trade. As they continued to provide a justification to reduce risk. Friday’s decliner pushed the benchmark index to a new yearly low at 2408.12 and a weekly loss of 7.1%. All 11 S&P 500 sectors finished in the […]

See ‘Tremendous Value’ in Stock Dive

See ‘Tremendous Value’ in Stock Dive

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Savvy investors are not worried about Southside risk in here. Investment guru Leon Cooperman said he is finding “tremendous value” in many stocks right now amid the market plunge. The Omega Advisors founder said he does not really see any signs of a lasting Bear market and urged savvy investors to buy “their […]

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

Stock Market’s Negative Reaction to Fed is “Overblown” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that the negative stock market reaction following the Fed’s rate hike this week was “completely overblown.” Secretary Mnuchin said the stock market overreacted, with computerized program trading taking over and driving stock prices down further. […]

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The market is looking for a Dovish stance from the FOMC when it comes to its interest rate projections for Y 2019.  Everything will come into view at 2:00p EST Wednesday Investors in pain from a difficult year hope the Fed will align with President Trump’s ‘demand’ for dovishness in […]

Recession Fears Overblown, See Stocks Rallying to Record Highs

Recession Fears Overblown, See Stocks Rallying to Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, Federated Investors’ strategist Steve Chiavarone predicts the recent market plunge is temporary and that recession fears are totally unsubstantiated. In a TV interview Monday, Mr. Chiavarone said that he sees stocks soaring to new record highs because of labor market trends, inflation levels, the US Treasury yield curve and […]

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, just 2 days before the FOMC is expected to raise fed funds rates for a 4th time this year, President Trump and his Top trade adviser ratcheted up their criticism of the Fed’s monetary tightening. “It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start this week again testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The S&P 500 cracked 2600 and supposedly that sets up more Southside action. Sentiment is extreme as reported by the AAIA, outflows from stocks are at […]

The Data Indicates the US Stock Market is Undervalued

The Data Indicates the US Stock Market is Undervalued

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX After 7 weeks+ of volatility financial guru’s are trying to explain what is fueling this stock market action, when the data say the market is undervalued. There looks to be a new “headline of the day” knocking the stock market.  Chinese trade talks, BREXIT, government shutdowns, Fed rate hikes, inverted yield […]

Charting the Crowd Selling Vs Bull’s Positive Sentiment

Charting the Crowd Selling Vs Bull’s Positive Sentiment

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Weak charts Vs Positive data. On Thursday, 2 of the major US stock indexes finished below their support marks keeping their near-term trends Bearish, while another closed above its near-term downtrend line, turning its trend to Neutral. But the economic the data is sending encouraging signals, especially regarding market psychology. Break this […]

Atlanta Fed Lifts GDP Outlook to 3% on Consumer Spending

Atlanta Fed Lifts GDP Outlook to 3% on Consumer Spending

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US economy is expanding at a 3.0% annualized rate in Q-4 based on steady retail sales growth and stronger-than-forecast industrial output in November, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Friday. This is faster than the 2.4% pace for Q-4 GDP (gross domestic product) that the Atlanta Fed’s […]

President Trump Leads, Xi Makes Good on Promises, America Wins

President Trump Leads, Xi Makes Good on Promises, America Wins

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SOY, $VXX China resumed buying US Soybean, bringing some relief to farmers in the US heartland as President Xi works toward a trade deal with his American counterpart. The giant Asian commodity importer bought 2-M tonnes of American Soybean (SOY) over the past 24 hrs, with shipments expected to occur sometime […]

President Trump: “Important Announcements on China Coming”

President Trump: “Important Announcements on China Coming”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ After a Twitter monologue about the border Wall Tuesday morning, President Donald Trump offered hints of good news about US negotiations with China.  “Very productive conversations going on with China! Watch for some important announcements! The trade truce between Presidents Trump and Xi will halt pause 1 January planned tariffs, with large […]

DJIA Swings 507 Pts on Trump, Schumer Dustup, Finishes Flat

DJIA Swings 507 Pts on Trump, Schumer Dustup, Finishes Flat

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA and S&P 500 finished another headline driven session flat to unchanged Tuesday as investor optimism over US-China trade talks was offset by US President Donald Trump’s threat to shut down the US government and by political uncertainty in Britain, France and Italy. A US official told Reuters late […]

Markets Rebound, Growth Fears Overblown

Markets Rebound, Growth Fears Overblown

Wall Street strategists work to calm equity investors, saying their worries over the economy are overdone. $SPY, $JPM, $GS JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) argues that the risk of an economic recession is “overpriced” with the latest stock sell-off. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) says, the decline in US stocks has opened up a rare divergence between the market’s performance […]

President Trump, “I want a trade deal good for US, China and Global Growth”

President Trump, “I want a trade deal good for US, China and Global Growth”

President Donald Trump wants to a trade deal that will be good for the United States, China, and global growth, White House Council of Economic Advisers Kevin Hassett said Monday.  The stock market responded, bouncing off its lows. “If a country came to the US right now and offered Zero tariffs, Zero non-tariff barriers, full […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

 $DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start the week testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The patterns and technical indicators suggest a move from where the major indexes closed Friday back up to the November highs. After a reversal off the trading […]

Fake, Bad News Pressuring This Market

Fake, Bad News Pressuring This Market

There is disconnect in the markets between strong fundamentals and weaker valuations , and it’s being driven by both negative real and fake news. $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX The global head of macro quantitative and derivatives research at JPMorgan, is among the analysts who published a year-ahead outlook on Friday with an expected Y 2019 […]

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