Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The major US stock indexes were consolidating the recent moves, buying, selling, buying on lite volume, then last Wednesday came to life with the release of the Schoolmarm Yellen’s testimony to Congress. The we saw solid moves for 3 day’s running, Friday saw the indices […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This Independence Day celebration in the US has Monday doing 1/2 session and then a closed market Tuesday, 4th of July. Not much action or change expected Monday, but Wednesday things may gett interesting as new money could flow into the market. Consumer Sentiment is […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Okay the PPT, aka the Plunge Protection Team,  entered the market, blunted the selloff 2 Fridays ago, as FAANGs and other big NAS stocks held support. As that happened, managed money moved into DJJIA, driving it to new highs that held through Friday’s close. Notably, the […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Last Friday we saw the start of some rotation. With good patterns set up in manufacturing, construction, and other old economy stocks sectors, it will not surprise to continue seeing smart money flow there breaking them higher. Not seeing managed money leaving the market, but […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX There are 10’s of millions of Americans who have not felt the 1st thing relating to an economic recovery. Those people are where they were during the Great Recession. These Americans have been ignored in favor of statistics that shows millions of jobs have been […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Wall Street earnings are winding on down and we have a light economic reports week ahead: Empire manufacturing Monday. Housing starts, Industrial production and Capacity Tuesday and Philly Fed Friday. This week the NYSE indices may try to follow the path of the NAS Comp […]






US Homebuilder Sentiment Slips, Overall Outlook Still Positive

US Homebuilder Sentiment Slips, Overall Outlook Still Positive






US Homebuilder Sentiment Slips, Overall Outlook Still Positive $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US homebuilders are a bit less optimistic about their sales prospects, as their overall outlook still remains favorable. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index released Monday slipped to 68 this month. That’s down 3 points from 71 in March, […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Earnings season has started and financial results last week were not bad, but the market paid no attention. The media pundits are calling the end of The Trump Rally, and for the same major crash that they were calling for last November, others dialed back their Bullishness. […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US markets are stable in here, even though our US Navy battleships are sailing to North Korea, and Russian warships are steaming to Syria. Notably, the Wall Street sellers were not selling Friday, and the futures are up this morning pre-market. Steel stocks are […]






The Trump Effect: American Consumer Sentiment “Sunny”

The Trump Effect: American Consumer Sentiment “Sunny”






The Trump Effect: American Consumer Sentiment “Sunny” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US Consumer Sentiment rose in March as Americans registered “Sunnier” views about the state of their finances while becoming less upbeat about the long-term economic outlook, University of Michigan (MSI) survey data showed Friday. Key Points are as follows: Final sentiment index rose to […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This market is resilient, ‘The Paul Ryan Healthcare Failure ‘ was political theater produced by US President Donald Trump, the focus is now on his tax reform and infrastructure packages. Barack Obamacare will die on its own, then President Trump’s America’s Healthcare  will be back on […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX At the weekend the G-20 meeting concluded with the US asserting more nationalistic positions. That brings up the Currency markets, and how they will react to the communique? The FOMC rate hike did little to move the market as it was factored in already. The […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Last week started strong, ended strong, the bids were there on the dip and the indexes recovered holding the trends and looking higher. The US market started to see some leaders struggle: materials, metals, industrial equipment, and some chips. If leaders cannot hold the line […]






AAII Sentiment Survey, 23 February 2017

AAII Sentiment Survey, 23 February 2017






AAII Sentiment Survey, 23 February 2017 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism at 6-Week Highs The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat or fall over the next 6 months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01a […]






The Market Knows What the Market Knows, the Financial News is Real

The Market Knows What the Market Knows, the Financial News is Real






The Market Knows What the Market Knows, the Financial News is Real $SPY Buy the News, Sell the soft Data. That is the conclusion drawn from a paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, which suggests that financial news holds predictive power when it comes to economic data. Stories about the US economy […]






AAII Sentiment Survey, 2 February 2017

AAII Sentiment Survey, 2 February 2017






AAII Sentiment Survey, 2 February 2017 Neutral Sentiment Rises to Highest Level Since Early November 2016  $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Early Briefing: Overall some correction can/will/should/may come into global equities after the strength seen last week. See some sideways action coming in the early sessions this week before more Northside momentum takes hold. Last week we saw the break North, so now we could see a […]






AAII Sentiment Survey, 25 January 2017

AAII Sentiment Survey, 25 January 2017






AAII Sentiment Survey, 25 January 2017 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ The percentage of individual investors describing their short-term market outlook as “Neutral” is at its highest level since the election. The survey period runs Thursday through Wednesday, and many of this week’s votes were recorded before the DJIA rose above 20,000 last Tuesday. This week’s AAII […]






AAII Sentiment Survey, 18 January 2017

AAII Sentiment Survey, 18 January 2017






AAII Sentiment Survey, 18 January 2017 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Optimism fell to its lowest level since the Presidential Election, ending a streak of 9 straight weeks with Bullish sentiment above 40%. This week’s results: Bullish: 37.0%, – 6.6 pts Neutral: 30.3%, – 0.9 pts Bearish: 32.7%, – 5.7 pts Historical averages: Bullish: 38.5% Neutral: 31.0% […]






US Consumer Confidence at 12 Year Highs

US Consumer Confidence at 12 Year Highs






US Consumer Confidence at 12 Year Highs Consumer confidence jumped to the highest level since Y 2004, extending Americans’ optimism for their finances and the US economy following Donald Trump’s Presidential election victory. The University of Michigan said Friday that its MSI (final index of sentiment) rose to 98.2 from 93.8 in November. The median […]






Small Business Conditions Expected to Improve Under Donald Trump

Small Business Conditions Expected to Improve Under Donald Trump






Small Business Conditions Expected to Improve Under Donald Trump $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US President Elect Donald Trump’s victory in the US elections is a leap for small businesses, according to a survey of owners. The November reading of the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ (NFIB) small business optimism index jumped to 98.4 from 94.9 […]






People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks

People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks






People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ The post-election Trump Rally has taken stock market indexes to all-time highs, and the recent gains raise some interesting Q’s. Below are some thoughts on the action that you may find useful, as follows: Sentiment: Has spiked as the market has run up. […]






AAII Sentiment Survey, 7 December 2016

AAII Sentiment Survey, 7 December 2016






AAII Sentiment Survey, 7 December 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ The AAII Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market short term; individuals are polled from the AAII Website on a weekly basis. Only one vote per member is accepted in each weekly voting period. Optimism […]






AAII Sentiment: Investor Optimism Pulls Back Following Post Election Spike

AAII Sentiment: Investor Optimism Pulls Back Following Post Election Spike






AAII Sentiment: Investor Optimism Pulls Back Following Post Election Spike $SPY Optimism pulled back in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey after having risen significantly over the previous 3 weeks. Both Neutral and Bearish sentiment rebounded this week, after having both fallen prior. Bullish Sentiment Expectations that stock prices will rise over the next 6 months, […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 23 November 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 23 November 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 23 November 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






US Consumer Sentiment Soars on Donald Trump’s Victory

US Consumer Sentiment Soars on Donald Trump’s Victory






US Consumer Sentiment Soars on Donald Trump’s Victory US consumer sentiment rose noticeably in the wake of the Presidential election as Americans expressed greater confidence in the outlook for their personal finances and prospects for economic growth, a survey said Wednesday. The University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers (MSI) said its consumer sentiment index rose […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 16 November 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 16 November 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 16 November 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 10 November 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 10 November 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 10 November 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 2 November 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 2 November 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 2 November 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 26 October 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 26 October 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 26 October 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 19 October 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 19 October 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 19 October 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 12 October 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 12 October 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 12 October 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 5 October 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 5 October 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 5 October 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






Stronger USD Pushing Platinum (NYSEArca:PPLT) Down

Stronger USD Pushing Platinum (NYSEArca:PPLT) Down






Stronger USD Pushing Platinum (NYSEArca:PPLT) Down $PPLT, $IMPUF, $GLD, $SLV Platinum futures trading on the NYMEX market in New York declined for a 4th day running Tuesday to 996.80, pushed down by a stronger USD, weakness across the precious metals complex, and the signing of a wage deal in Key producer South Africa. YTD Platinum’s price is up more […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 28 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 28 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 28 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of […]






World Trade Weakening on Anti-Globalization Sentiment

World Trade Weakening on Anti-Globalization Sentiment






World Trade Weakening on Anti-Globalization Sentiment Volume of goods traded stagnates as protectionism rises around the world World trade is weakening to its slowest pace since 2009 amid a groundswell of anti-globalization sentiment, a watchdog warned Tuesday. The World Trade Organization predicted Tuesday that global trade will rise only 1.7 percent this year, down from […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Last week the US Fed’s standing pat with a “Hawkish” tone sent the US benchmarks indexes South Now this week Wall Street investor gets some Fed-speak meaning “jawboning” from Vice Chairman Fischer and then for Schoolmarm Yellen who will speak to the US Congress. And expect […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 21 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 21 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 21 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 14 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 14 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 14 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 7 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 7 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 7 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 31 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 31 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 31 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






Financial Markets Running on “Hope” for Continuing Stimulus

Financial Markets Running on “Hope” for Continuing Stimulus






Financial Markets Running on “Hope” for Continuing Stimulus $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX In this world of easy money, where the markets hope the near-Zero interest rate policies to continue, there really should be hope for a growing not stagnant economy. This week;s economic reports have been dominated by a very strong consumer confidence report. The […]






There is ‘Gloom & Doom’ in the Eurozone Business Sector

There is ‘Gloom & Doom’ in the Eurozone Business Sector






There is ‘Gloom & Doom’ in the Eurozone Business Sector While the Eurozone economy has proved resilient to multiple uncertainties such as Brexit, Key business surveys in Europe’s 2 biggest economies, Germany and France has poured a bucket of cold water on the rising optimism. The Ifo Business Climate Index, which is a highly-regarded early […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 24 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 24 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 24 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 17 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 17 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 17 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 11 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 11 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 11 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






Japan’s Economic Latest Stimulus Measures Expose Flawed “Abenomics”

Japan’s Economic Latest Stimulus Measures Expose Flawed “Abenomics”






Japan’s Economic Latest Stimulus Measures Expose Flawed “Abenomics” Japan’s unrolling this week of a stimulus plan of JPY 28.1-T (US$274-B) as part of Prime Minister Abe’s latest installment of his shaky “Abenomics” economic policy mix, lacks the equivocal allocations and long-term vision necessary to fundamentally kickstart the nation’s ailing economy. As evidenced by the stock […]






Consumer Confidence Dims on Economy

Consumer Confidence Dims on Economy






Consumer Confidence Dims on Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Consumer confidence slid in July from the prior month on dimmer views of the US economy’s prospects and lingering concerns among higher-income earners about global market conditions. The University of Michigan said Friday that its final index of sentiment (MSI) declined to 90 this month from […]






AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rises to Nearly 37%

AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rises to Nearly 37%






AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rises to Nearly 37% Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of stock prices is at a level not seen in over four months, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Meanwhile, neutral sentiment and bearish sentiment both declined. Bullish sentiment Expectations that stock prices will rise over the next […]






Gold and WTI Crude Oil Technical’s (Daily)

Gold and WTI Crude Oil Technical’s (Daily)






Gold and WTI Crude Oil Technical’s (Daily) $GLD, $USO Gold: Spot Gold’s decline extended Tuesday falling to 1,330.30 to, its lowest since 1 July. Investors continued exiting the safe haven asset for stocks, although the decline has been moderate, considering the risks around Europe. The pullback from the year high of 1,375.11 has found some […]






Gold and WTI Crude Oil Technical’s (Daily)

Gold and WTI Crude Oil Technical’s (Daily)






Gold and WTI Crude Oil Technical’s (Daily) $GLD, $USO Gold: Spot Gold retreated Thursday and snapped this week’s winning streak as strong US employment data lifted sentiment and triggered some uncertainty about Fed’s next move. Spot Gold fell to a low of 1,350.74 oz before recovering a bit to end the day at 1,358. In […]






Donald Trump, “The British are angry over borders and many other things.”

Donald Trump, “The British are angry over borders and many other things.”






Donald Trump, “The British are angry over borders and many other things.” The Brexit ‘leave’ victory was humiliating loss for US President Barack Hussein Obama. Some British polls showed that voter sentiment moved decidedly in favor of Brexit after Mr. Obama traveled to Britain and urged a “No Exit” vote. British voters delivered a sharp […]






A Stock Market History Lesson

A Stock Market History Lesson






A Stock Market History Lesson $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Going back to Y 1929, the S&P 500, excluding dividends, has been unchanged on the year just 5 times; Y’s 1947, 1948, 1970, 2011, and 2015.  Meaning, the success rate of hold a Neutral stance on the market in the 86 years between Y’s 1929 and 2015 […]






Volatile Risk-on, Risk-off Market an Investor Headache

Volatile Risk-on, Risk-off Market an Investor Headache






Volatile Risk-on, Risk-off Market an Investor Headache $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The volatile “risk-on, risk-off” is giving headaches to investors who try to beat the market with traditional methods of measuring value, say analysts at multinational bank HSBC Holdings Plc. Risk-on assets rally when investors are upbeat and fall when the mood turns sour. Risk-off […]