The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 28 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 28 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 28 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of […]






Investors Focus: The 1st Trump Vs Clinton Presidential Debate

Investors Focus: The 1st Trump Vs Clinton Presidential Debate






Investors Focus: The 1st Trump Vs Clinton Presidential Debate $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Who becomes the next US President will be in focus for Wall Street starting Monday with the 1st debate between candidates Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Mrs. Clinton’s once-comfortable lead in opinion polls has faded and with just over 6 weeks until […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Last week the US Fed’s standing pat with a “Hawkish” tone sent the US benchmarks indexes South Now this week Wall Street investor gets some Fed-speak meaning “jawboning” from Vice Chairman Fischer and then for Schoolmarm Yellen who will speak to the US Congress. And expect […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 21 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 21 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 21 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $OIL The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of […]






Divided FOMC Stood Pat on Rates, Tone “Hawkish”

Divided FOMC Stood Pat on Rates, Tone “Hawkish”






Divided FOMC Stood Pat on Rates, Tone “Hawkish” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX A divided Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the fed funds rate unchanged for a 6th meeting running, saying it would wait for “more evidence of progress toward its goals”, while projecting that an increase is likely by year-end. “Near-term risks to the […]






Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement

Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement






Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US Fed will not raise interest rates when it meets this week, but the FOMC will include “Hawkish” no-hike language in policy statement, said Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital. Mr. Gundlach said Fed officials “want to be able […]






Alan Greenspan’s Credibility is an Accident that is still Happening

Alan Greenspan’s Credibility is an Accident that is still Happening






Alan Greenspan’s Credibility is an Accident that is still Happening $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX In a article last week, the former Fed Chairman is quoted to be worried about the “crazies.” For some unknown reason, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan’s, 90 anni, opinions are still taken seriously. No one person has done more to […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 14 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 14 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 14 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






US Manufacturing Output Disapointed in August

US Manufacturing Output Disapointed in August






US Manufacturing Output Disapointed in August $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US factory production fell in August on cutbacks in appliances, home electronics and machinery. This threatens the market’s hopes for a manufacturing rebound after 2 prior months of gainers. The US Fed said Thursday factory production dropped 0.4% in August, after an increase of 0.4% […]






Weak Crude Oil Prices Mirror US’s Weak Economy

Weak Crude Oil Prices Mirror US’s Weak Economy






Weak Crude Oil Prices Mirror US’s Weak Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $USO Late last month the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that it was overstating domestic demand for Crude Oil and energy products to a “considerable degree”. Using imprecise and lagging data, the calculations for the amount of product being exported overseas was […]






PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (ETF)(NASDAQ:QQQ) Downward Trend

PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (ETF)(NASDAQ:QQQ) Downward Trend






PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (ETF)(NASDAQ:QQQ) Downward Trend Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are trending. The projected upper bound is: 118.70. The projected lower bound is: 114.31. The projected closing price is: 116.51. Candlesticks A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as […]






Fed Hawks Raiding the Stock and Bond Markets

Fed Hawks Raiding the Stock and Bond Markets






Fed Hawks Raiding the Stock and Bond Markets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Friday, both the US stock and bond markets were in free-fall triggered by US Fed “Hawk Talk” early in the day. The S&P 500 Index dove 2% in its biggest drop since the Brexit vote, US Treasuries slumped, sending the yield on the […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 7 September 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 7 September 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 7 September 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






Fed ‘Beige-Book, “US Economy Has Slowed”

Fed ‘Beige-Book, “US Economy Has Slowed”






Fed’s ‘Beige-Book, “US Economy Has Slowed” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The economy grew at a slowed pace this past Summer in 8 of the Federal Reserve’s 12 US  districts, a slowdown from prior reports that will make US Fed policymakers cautious about an interest rate hike anytime soon. The Fed’s ‘Beige Book’ survey of business […]






Huge National Debt “Blunts” Prospect for US Economic Growth

Huge National Debt “Blunts” Prospect for US Economic Growth






Huge National Debt “Blunts” Prospect for US Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX “Be warned, The steady stream of federal red ink is getting to be a deeper shade of Red.”– Barron’s As increases in annual US budget gap add to national debt, blunt prospects for economic growth, and bode badly for America’s financial future. […]






Weak NFPs Signals No Fed Rate Hike in September

Weak NFPs Signals No Fed Rate Hike in September






Weak NFPs Signals No Fed Rate Hike in September $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, VXX August Employment Situation and July Trade Deficit: NFPs: 151,000; Private Sector: 126,000; Unemployment Rate; 4.9% Unch; Hourly wages: +0.1%/ Trade Deficit: $5.2-B narrower Commentary: Given how robust job gains were in June and July, the weak August increase halted the FOMC actions. If […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 31 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 31 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 31 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






Financial Markets Running on “Hope” for Continuing Stimulus

Financial Markets Running on “Hope” for Continuing Stimulus






Financial Markets Running on “Hope” for Continuing Stimulus $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX In this world of easy money, where the markets hope the near-Zero interest rate policies to continue, there really should be hope for a growing not stagnant economy. This week;s economic reports have been dominated by a very strong consumer confidence report. The […]






US Fed “Mastering the Art of Market Manipulation”

US Fed “Mastering the Art of Market Manipulation”






US Fed “Mastering the Art of Market Manipulation” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Ace bond investor Bill Gross ramped up his criticism of the US Fed Wednesday, characterizing its Chairwoman Janet Yellen and her predecessors and contemporaries at other central banks of mastering “the Art of Market Manipulation.” Mr. Gross writes: “All have mastered the Art […]






Yellen Will Not Fail To Deliver Support to Financial Markets

Yellen Will Not Fail To Deliver Support to Financial Markets






Yellen Will Not Fail To Deliver Support to Financial Markets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) predicts the US Fed will forgo raising interest rates in September and in December, and Janet Yellen, and the other Fed policy makers said nothing in Jackson Hole, WY, to change the firm’s outlook. US Treasuries pared a […]






Personal Income, Wages, Salaries, Savings Advanced in July

Personal Income, Wages, Salaries, Savings Advanced in July






Personal Income, Wages, Salaries, Savings Advanced in July $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer spending increased for a fourth straight month in July amid strong demand for automobiles, pointing to a pickup in economic growth that could pave the way for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year. The Commerce Department said Monday […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 24 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 24 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 24 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






Top Fed Officials Pushing for Interest Rate Hikes

Top Fed Officials Pushing for Interest Rate Hikes






Top Fed Officials Pushing for Interest Rate Hikes $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX As central bankers converge on Jackson Hole Thursday for an annual conference on monetary policy, a couple of top US Fed officials took the chance to renew a push for interest-rate hikes, citing improvement in employment and inflation. “The case is strengthening” for […]






Key Economic Data Does Not Reflect Pending ‘Disaster’

Key Economic Data Does Not Reflect Pending ‘Disaster’






Key Economic Data Does Not Reflect Pending ‘Disaster’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX July New Home Sales and August Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Home Sales: +12.4%/ Philly Fed: -4 points; Orders: -14.9 points The Big Q: With housing and hiring looking really good, where is the economic disaster we keep hearing about? The notion that the […]






Another Democratic ‘Tax & Spend’ Administration = Recession

Another Democratic ‘Tax & Spend’ Administration = Recession






Another Democratic ‘Tax & Spend’ Administration = Recession $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Hillary Clinton got hammered from all directions Monday. Mrs. Clinton is trying come up with a new and inspiring idea to jump-start a anemic US economy and help the financially stressed middle class. The progressive/left really does not know  how to and will […]






The Earlier Millennials Start Saving, The Easier to Accumulate “Nest Egg”

The Earlier Millennials Start Saving, The Easier to Accumulate “Nest Egg”






The Earlier Millennials Start Saving, The Easier to Accumulate “Nest Egg” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Young workers today probably cannot think about retiring for 40 or 50 years. Longer lives and the prospect of weaker investment returns mean millennials will probably have to save more money, over a longer period of time, than their Parents […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 17 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 17 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 17 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






US Consumer Prices Unchanged, Inflation Slows

US Consumer Prices Unchanged, Inflation Slows






US Consumer Prices Unchanged, Inflation Slows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer prices were unchanged in July as the cost of gasoline fell for the 1st time in 5 months and underlying inflation slowed, which could further diminish prospects of a US Fed interest rate increase this year. The Labor Department said Tuesday that the […]






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street






Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Earnings are for the most part over. The Key economic reports this week are regional manufacturing reports, New York, Philadelphia, CPI, Industrial production/Capacity utilization, and the FOMC minutes. The economics data is always important. But, this 7 year old Bull Market has been given support since […]






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 11 August 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 11 August 2016






The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 11 August 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the […]






The US Consumer Pauses, Spending Halts, Economy Stalls

The US Consumer Pauses, Spending Halts, Economy Stalls






The US Consumer Pauses, Spending Halts, Economy Stalls $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX “The consumer paused in July and with price pressures soft, the Fed members will probably gain a few more grey hairs.” — Joel Naroff, Economist The Consumer Data: July Retail Sales and Wholesale Prices Sales: 0%; Excluding Vehicles: -0.3%/ PPI: -0.4% Excluding Food […]






US Corporate Profits Fall, US Government Deficit Rises

US Corporate Profits Fall, US Government Deficit Rises






US Corporate Profits Fall, US Government Deficit Rises $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The federal government last month recorded the biggest monthly budget deficit since February, and the deficit so far this budget year is running 10% higher than a year ago. The US Treasury Department said Wednesday that the deficit came in at $112.8-B in July, […]






US Manufacturing Pressured By Strong USD Fell in June

US Manufacturing Pressured By Strong USD Fell in June






US Manufacturing Pressured By Strong USD Fell in June $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX New orders for US factory goods fell for a 2nd month running in June on weak demand for transportation equipment and capital goods The US Commerce Department said  Thursday that new orders for manufactured goods declined 1.5% after a Southwardly revised 1.2% […]






Consumer Confidence Dims on Economy

Consumer Confidence Dims on Economy






Consumer Confidence Dims on Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Consumer confidence slid in July from the prior month on dimmer views of the US economy’s prospects and lingering concerns among higher-income earners about global market conditions. The University of Michigan said Friday that its final index of sentiment (MSI) declined to 90 this month from […]






US Restaurant Downturn Signals Recession

US Restaurant Downturn Signals Recession






US Restaurant Downturn Signals Recession $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX During much of the recovery from the US financial crisis, restaurant spending has been a retail highlight as other areas, like department stores, have struggled. However, recent surveys point to the start of a serious decline. “Today, we adopt a bearish outlook for restaurants as we […]






Cautious US Companies ‘Hoarding’ Cash

Cautious US Companies ‘Hoarding’ Cash






Cautious US Companies ‘Hoarding’ Cash $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US companies have returned to hoarding cash due to mounting economic and geopolitical fears, a indication of a business-investment pullback. The UK’s Brexit vote, a sluggish US economy and a weak global economy combined to lead companies to delay investment decisions and just hoard their cash, […]






Raise Rates, Don’t Raise Rates, Who’s Right?

Raise Rates, Don’t Raise Rates, Who’s Right?






Raise Rates, Don’t Raise Rates, Who’s Right? $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX There are those economists that argue that the US Fed should take an unconventional approach to ending a long period of below-target inflation: that being that instead of keeping interest rates low to drive economic activity and push up prices, it should raise interest […]






Land, Homes have Proven to be Disappointing Investments

Land, Homes have Proven to be Disappointing Investments






Land, Homes have Proven to be Disappointing Investments $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Robert Shiller, Nobel prizewinner and Yale professor, says that today land is not the best place to grow a savings nest egg because technology changes the ways people use property. “Despite solid price increases over the last few years, land and homes have […]






Stocks Markets “Brush Off” Geo-Turmoil

Stocks Markets “Brush Off” Geo-Turmoil






Stocks Markets “Brush Off” Geo-Turmoil $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX European stocks pared losses and US futures rebounded after a terror attack in France killed dozens of people, and the bloody military coup in Turkey the latest display of market resilience in keeping with recent history. Over the past 15 years, financial-market reactions to terror have […]






AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rises to Nearly 37%

AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rises to Nearly 37%






AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rises to Nearly 37% Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of stock prices is at a level not seen in over four months, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Meanwhile, neutral sentiment and bearish sentiment both declined. Bullish sentiment Expectations that stock prices will rise over the next […]






US Stocks Extend Momentum Rally to Fresh All Time Highs

US Stocks Extend Momentum Rally to Fresh All Time Highs






US Stocks Extend Momentum Rally to Fresh All Time Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US stocks extended to fresh all-time highs, with the S&P 500 Index marking its longest winning streak in 4 months, as speculation grew for looser global monetary (stimulus) policies while a better-than-forecast profit from JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) boosted optimism […]






US Economic Weakness Demand Careful Monitoring

US Economic Weakness Demand Careful Monitoring






US Economic Weakness Demand Careful Monitoring $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US import prices rose less than expected in June as rising costs for petroleum products were offset by declining consumer and capital goods prices, indicating inflation remains benign in here. The marginal increase reported by the US Labor Department Wednesday reflects the effects of the […]






The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors

The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors






The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US earnings recession should be dampening the 7-year-old Bull Market, but it is not registering with investors. Quarterly profits in the S&P 500 Index are about to fall yet again, extending a streak of declines poised to match the longest earnings […]






Caution, Investors are Chasing Stocks, more Tactical than Fundamental

Caution, Investors are Chasing Stocks, more Tactical than Fundamental






Caution, Investors are Chasing Stocks, more Tactical than Fundamental $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Investors are no longer running from the stock market they are chasing it for reasons that are more tactical than fundamental: Caution. It is too early to tell where the UK’s new position in the overall context of the EU will be […]






The S&P 500 Closed Out its 3rd Straight Quarter in the Green

The S&P 500 Closed Out its 3rd Straight Quarter in the Green






The S&P 500 Closed Out its 3rd Straight Quarter in the Green $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $HSY, $MDLZ Wall Street marked a 3rd straight day of gainers Thursday as the BOE raised the prospect of a Summer stimulus and consumer staples shares rose on news of Mondelez International’s (NASDAQ:MDLZ) $23-B bid for Hershey (NYSE:HSY). The […]






US Jobless Claims Rise, Unemployment Benefits Increased in June

US Jobless Claims Rise, Unemployment Benefits Increased in June






US Jobless Claims Rise, Unemployment Benefits Increased in June $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rose last week, but remained below a level associated with a healthy labor market. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 268,000 for the week ended 25 June, the […]






Global Stock Markets “Bouncing” Off Of Hefty Losses

Global Stock Markets “Bouncing” Off Of Hefty Losses






Global Stock Markets “Bouncing” Off Of Hefty Losses $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD, $SLV Wednesday, Global stock markets continued to recover after last week’s losses and the USD was down 0.5% Vs a basket of peer currencies. Gold rose Wednesday on the USD’s retreat and investor appetite for safe assets remained strong because of longer-term […]