Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight The November Employment Report Sustainable is good, job growth is finally trending. The Key Data: Payrolls: +155,000; 3-Month Average: 170,000; Private: +161,000; Revisions: -12,000; Hourly Wages: +0.2% Over-Year: +3.1% What it means: Job gains in November were below expectations. The idea we could sustain hiring […]

No US Recession in Sight, Talk is ‘Nonsense’

No US Recession in Sight, Talk is ‘Nonsense’

No US Recession in Sight, Talk is ‘Nonsense’ $SPY Rejecting economic speculation the correcting stock market is signaling an oncoming recession, White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow called the talk “nonsense” and added “recession is so far in the distance I cannot see it.” “I am reading some of the weirdest stuff about how […]

Growth in the US Economy Remains Strong

Growth in the US Economy Remains Strong

Growth in the US Economy Remains Strong The Fed is expected to raise interest rates again next month and 3X next year The probability of a US recession in the next 2 years, while low, moved up to a median 35% from 30% in the latest monthly Reuters survey of economists taken between 13-19 November. […]

Dow Jones’ Earnings are at Record Highs Vs the Price of Gold

Dow Jones’ Earnings are at Record Highs Vs the Price of Gold

Dow Jones’ Earnings are at Record Highs Vs the Price of Gold $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV The DJIA is seeing action, on Wednesday, the day after the mid-term elections it advanced by 2.13% from its prior day’s closing price, it was the 4th day of extreme volatility since early October. Everyone was happy about […]

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019 Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has laid out a scenario for a pause in the central bank’s interest-rate hiking campaign sometime next year by highlighting potential headwinds cooling the US economy. Wednesday, Chairman Powell listed 3 possible challenges to growth in Y 2019, they are; […]

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 1.1% Thursday to snap a 5-session losing streak. US-China trade optimism and strength from tech stocks, Banks can handle the energy-linked loans they have  extended just as long as Crude Oil prices don’t drop […]

The Strong US Economy Continues to Grow

The Strong US Economy Continues to Grow

The Strong US Economy is Continues to Grow The strong US economy is continuing to grow at a 2.9% annualized rate in Q-4, following the latest economic data, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Friday. This was unchanged from the pace for Q-4 GDP Atlanta Fed’s GDP program calculated on  2 November. The nowcast […]

US Consumer Sentiment on Track for Best Year Since 2000

US Consumer Sentiment on Track for Best Year Since 2000

US Consumer Sentiment on Track for Best Year Since 2000 Consumers ready to Pick Up Spending Heading into Holiday Season US consumers have greater certainty about job and income prospects. University of Michigan’s (MSI) consumer sentiment index flat to unchanged but remains strong US consumer sentiment topped analysts expectations to stay on track for its best […]

Investors Focused on Retail Sales and Wages

Investors Focused on Retail Sales and Wages

Investors Focused on Retail Sales and Wages $WMT, $M, $MCD, $AMZN, $CMG Amidst overall strong Quarterly results, rising labor costs are a growing concern, with more than 12 companies in the S&P 500 mentioning them in conference calls so far this earnings season. Next week, several retailers including Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Macy’s (NYSE:M) are due […]

US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike

US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike

US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX Stocks in the US drifted Thursday after the big rally Wednesday. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% Thursday in the wake of the FOMC decision to leave the fed funds rate unchanged as expected. The benchmark index traded slightly below its flat line […]

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged Little reaction to the FOMC announcement, the major averages now trade little changed from their pre-FOMC release levels. The Fed has left its Key policy rate unchanged but signaled that it plans to keep responding to the strong US economy with more interest rate hikes. The next rate […]

President Trump and The Fed Want to See Inflation

President Trump and The Fed Want to See Inflation

President Trump and The Fed Want to See Inflation $USD, $SPY, $GLD, $SLV The value of USD is determined by a number of variables. For example, this year’s trade wars with China have resulted in a stronger Buck and a weakened RMB Yuan. There are a few internal mechanisms that can be used to raise or […]

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Jim Cramer says Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hike interest rates once more in December and then stop. “I just think he’s going to blink,” Mr. Cramer said on TV Monday “It’s going to be 1 and done in December. That’s […]

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control” $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, VXX US President Donald Trump said he will not fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell but blamed an “out of control” FOMC for the worst stock market sell-off since February. President Trump also told reporters in the Oval Office Thursday morning that he knows […]

S&P 500 Earnings Preview: Q-3 Y 2018

S&P 500 Earnings Preview: Q-3 Y 2018

S&P 500 Earnings Preview: Q-3 Y 2018 $SPY, $JPM, $C, $WFC, $USD Earnings reporting period is here once again, and it always commands a great deal of attention because earnings drive stock prices over the long term. The S&P 500 has been underpinned by impressive earnings growth. The Q-3 reporting frame, which begins in earnest […]

US Job Market ‘Best in a Generation’

US Job Market ‘Best in a Generation’

US Job Market ‘Best in a Generation’ For a at least 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers touched off a global financial crisis, there was good reason to believe the US economy remained broken, from skepticism about the health of the labor market to the slow economic growth and the record low rate […]

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong Tuesday, US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that he sees no need to drop the central bank’s current gradual approach to raising interest rates. Chairman Powell said the combination of steady, low inflation and very low unemployment shows the country is going through “extraordinary times.” The Fed […]

US Economic Growth: Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Moderate

US Economic Growth: Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Moderate

US Economic Growth: Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Moderate US consumer spending saw a steady increase in August, supporting expectations of solid economic growth in Q-3, while a measure of underlying inflation remained at the Fed’s 2 percent target for a 4th month running. Friday, economists said the report from the US Commerce Department should allay […]

Gold Down and USD Up on Fed Rate Hike + Commodities

Gold Down and USD Up on Fed Rate Hike + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold Gold is down more than 13% from an April high, largely because of the stronger USD Concerns about Iran sanctions led to a widening difference between NYMEX WTI Crude and ICE Brent Crude prices Global mining […]

Gold Up and USD Up on FOMC Rate Hike + Commodities

Gold Up and USD Up on FOMC Rate Hike + Commodities

Gold Up and USD Up on FOMC Rate Hike + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Thursday, Gold prices rose, as investors looked for bargains after the metal fell a 2-week lows in the prior session following a US interest rate hike and as limited gains in USD after the decision supported demand […]

Gold Steady on Flat USD, and FOMC Rate Policy Announcement + Commodities

Gold Steady on Flat USD, and FOMC Rate Policy Announcement + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold prices drifting in a narrow range Wednesday as investors awaited cues of the FOMC’s 2-day meeting, where policymakers are expected to raise interest rates for the 3rd time this year. Spot gold was up […]

Gold Flat on Firm USD, China Trade Tensions Continue + Commodities

Gold Flat on Firm USD, China Trade Tensions Continue + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold was steady Tuesday on US-China trade tensions after $200-B of tariffs came into effect, investors stay on the sidelines ahead of the FOMC policy meeting. Spot gold was barely changed at 1,198.28 oz by 0056 GMT. […]

Savvy Investors Are Starting To Buy Gold

Savvy Investors Are Starting To Buy Gold

Savvy Investors Are Starting To Buy Gold $GLD, $SLV, $USD. $ABX, $GOLD, $FNV Savvy investors will start stocking up now on gold since roaring inflation is poised to soon ravage global economies, Barron’s reports. “Inflation is starting to pick up in the US and in much of the world as central banks shrink their enormous […]

Gold Down on From USD, as China Halts Trade Talks + Commodities

Gold Down on From USD, as China Halts Trade Talks + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold edged lower Monday, as USD held firm on news that China has cancelled trade talks with the United States, with the market also eyeing this week’s FOMC policy meeting for guidance on […]

Gold Prices Up, Easing Trade Concerns Soften USD + Commodities

Gold Prices Up, Easing Trade Concerns Soften USD + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Asian stocks extended gains Friday thanks to Wall Street marking all-time highs, as investors believe that the latest exchange of tariffs between the United States and China may be less damaging than initially feared. […]

Gold Prices Steady, Trade Concerns Pressure USD + Commodities

Gold Prices Steady, Trade Concerns Pressure USD + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN,$WEAT In Asia Asian stocks followed global indexes higher Thursday, as investors took a less bearish view on the impact of the US-China trade war on markets, a sharp contrast to dim expectations economists had on US growth amid the […]

Gold Prices Up, as USD Eases + Commodities

Gold Prices Up, as USD Eases + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN,$WEAT  Gold prices edged up Wednesday, as the USD weakened despite another round of reciprocal tariffs in the US-China trade dispute. In focus 19 September 2018 Spot gold up 0.1 % to 1,199.18 oz by 0044 GMT US gold futures […]

President Trump’s Tariff Policy to Have Little Inflation Effects

President Trump’s Tariff Policy to Have Little Inflation Effects

President Trump’s Tariff Policy to Have Little Inflation Effects $BAC US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said that President Donald Trump’s new China tariffs will increase prices but “nobody is going to actually notice.” Secretary Ross said in a TV interview that the tariffs will be “spread across thousands and thousands of products” and “nobody is […]

US Gasoline Prices Up, Inflation Rising

US Gasoline Prices Up, Inflation Rising

US Gasoline Prices Up, Inflation Rising $UGA, $USO US consumer prices rose less than expected in August as increases in gasoline and rents were offset by declines in healthcare and apparel costs, and underlying inflation pressures also appeared to be slowing. The US Labor Department said on Thursday its Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% last month after […]

US Household Incomes Rise for 3rd Year Running

US Household Incomes Rise for 3rd Year Running

US Household Incomes Rise for 3rd Year Running The median US household income rose for a 3rd year running in Y 2017 and the poverty rate declined further, government data showed on Wednesday. The Census Bureau says incomes for a typical household, adjusted for inflation, rose 1.8%, from $60,309 in Y 2016 to $61,372. The Census Bureau […]

US Producer Prices Dip as Inflation Eases

US Producer Prices Dip as Inflation Eases

US Producer Prices Dip as Inflation Eases No one seems to know why there is no inflation US wholesale prices fell unexpectedly last month for the 1st time since February 2017, pulled down by falling prices for transportation and warehousing services. The drop suggests that inflationary pressures may be easing despite the strength of the […]

The Trump Effect: Low Unemployment Makes Economy ‘as Good as it Gets’

The Trump Effect: Low Unemployment Makes Economy ‘as Good as it Gets’

The Trump Effect: Low Unemployment Makes Economy ‘as Good as it Gets’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Current economic conditions are “as good as it gets” for the Fed, a Key policymaker said Thursday. Looking ahead, investors will receive the Employment Situation report for August Friday, the consensus expecting an increase of 187,000 in NFPs, an […]

Fed’s Bullard Makes Case Again for Halting Interest Rate Hikes

Fed’s Bullard Makes Case Again for Halting Interest Rate Hikes

Fed’s Bullard Makes Case Again for Halting Interest Rate Hikes $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Federal Reserve should hold off on further interest rate rises because the stance of monetary policy is already at neutral or possibly restrictive, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said Wednesday. Mr. Bullard has repeatedly raised […]

Collapsing Turkish Lira Shakes World Stock Markets

Collapsing Turkish Lira Shakes World Stock Markets

Collapsing Turkish Lira Shakes World Stock Markets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX A plunging Turkish lira sent shock waves through global equity markets Friday, causing concerns over the financial health of lenders with heavy exposure to the economically-struggling country. The S&P 500 lost 0.7%, dropping into the red for the week (-0.3%), and the Nasdaq […]

US Producer Price Index Flat, Restraining Inflation Fears

US Producer Price Index Flat, Restraining Inflation Fears

US Producer Price Index Flat, Restraining Inflation Fears $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices were unchanged in July after 2 months of increases, indicating inflation pressures have softened a bit. Thursday, the Labor Department said that the PPI (producer price index) which measures price changes before they reach the consumer increased 3.3% last month […]

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RTUX, $VXX The FOMC left the benchmark interest rate unchanged, and reiterating their plan to gradually lift borrowing costs to keep the economy expanding at a healthy pace. Economic activity has been “rising at a strong rate,” and the unemployment rate “has […]

US Consumer Spending Rises, Inflation Continues to Strengthen

US Consumer Spending Rises, Inflation Continues to Strengthen

US Consumer Spending Rises, Inflation Continues to Strengthen Consumer spending increased solidly in June as US households spent more on restaurants and accommodation, building a strong base for the economy heading into Q-3, inflation rose moderately. The Commerce Department said on Tuesday consumer spending, which accounts for nearly 70% of US economic activity, rose 0.4% last […]

Looking at the DJIA Vs Gold and Silver Long Term

Looking at the DJIA Vs Gold and Silver Long Term

Looking at the DJIA Vs Gold and Silver Long Term $DIA, $GLD, $SLV, $MTAFF It is time to reduce exposure to Wall Street and shift the proceeds into Gold, Silver, the precious metals mining companies and the royalty streamers. Let us have a look at the 21st Century Bear markets. The high-tech dot.com bubble ultimately deflated […]

MSI: Consumer Sentiment Rises on Americans Optimism

MSI: Consumer Sentiment Rises on Americans Optimism

MSI: Consumer Sentiment Rises on Americans Optimism US consumer sentiment rose this month amid more-favorable personal finances, while tariffs weighed on Americans’ optimism for the economy and helped boost inflation expectations to a three-year high, according to a University of Michigan report Friday. Highlights of Michigan Sentiment (June, Preliminary) Sentiment index rose to 99.3 (est. 98.5) from 98 […]

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Fed raised it overnight fed funds rates Wednesday shifting from policies used to battle the 2007-2009 financial crisis and recession. In raising its benchmark overnight lending rate a 1/4 bpt to a range of between 1.75 and 2%, the FOMC dropped its […]

NASDAQ Marks Another All Time High

NASDAQ Marks Another All Time High

NASDAQ Marks Another All Time High $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday as investors were encouraged by US economic data, driving the NASDAQ to finish at another at record high for the 2nd day running, as the technology and consumer discretionary sectors outpreformed Investors remain a bit wary about trade discussions, with Mexico imposing tariffs […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 94.347 tested support near 93.86, then bounced to 94.50, thus testing resistance trendline. If breaks support near 94.10 in here, then see 93.6, which should then produce a bounce for a test at 95, seeing the cap at 95.00-95.65. EUR (Euro) at […]

US Stocks Finish Flat to Unchanged Ahead of Memorial Day Weekend

US Stocks Finish Flat to Unchanged Ahead of Memorial Day Weekend

US Stocks Finish Flat to Unchanged Ahead of Memorial Day Weekend $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer sentiment according to a University of Michigan (MSI) report Friday. Consumers anticipated income gains of 1.6%, down from 2.2% in April and 2% last year 51% expected the jobless rate to stabilize at current 18-year lows Inflation rate […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE The US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 93.921 tested support at 93.6 Thursday. While trading above 93.7, it should test at 94 again and then perhaps to 94.2-94.4, them dip to 94. The Northside cap is 95.00-95.65. EUR (Euro) at 1.1710 rose to 1.175 Thursday and dipped, may see […]

President Trump, “Big news coming for American Autoworkers”

President Trump, “Big news coming for American Autoworkers”

President Trump, “Big news coming for American Autoworkers” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US President Donald Trump said that “big news” was coming that would be welcomed by US auto workers, and he suggested it was somehow linked to NAFTA trade talks. “There will be big news coming soon for our great American Autoworkers. After many […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE The US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 93.65 tested support at 93.29 Tuesday and now seems to be rising from there back towards 94. A deeper correction towards the 5 Wk MA 93.0-93.5 is on the cards, which might happen after a retest of 94. If so, the Northside target at 95 […]

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, the US economic data showed an acceleration in mid-Atlantic factory activity this month, with manufacturers saying they were boosting employment and asking for higher prices for their products. The combination of a tightening labor market and firming inflation bolsters expectations the Fed will […]

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stocks dip following a the strong start to the month Treasury’s benchmark 10-yr yield above 3.00% Tuesday, Mr. Williams, who will take the helm of the New York Fed on 18 June, said that inflation is nearing the central bank’s 2% target after […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Pressure on the Buck. PE US Dollar (.DXY) Index -0.4% to 92.70 $EURUSD +0.58% at 1.1921 $GBPUSD -0.18% to 1.3518 $USDCHF -0.21% to 1.0027 $USDJPY -0.27% to 109.41 $USDCNY -0.23% to 6.344 US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.2% in April, less than the 0.3% rise projected. Naturally, there […]

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs The US economy has delivered steady, modest gains for most Americans since the Great Recession ended in Y 2009. President Trump’s policies have extended what is now the 2nd-longest economic expansionon record and why more of the country might soon benefit from higher pay. The government said Friday […]

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes $SPY Two Fed officials who are currently voting members of the FOMC rate-setting body said Friday they were keeping an open mind on the total number of interest rate rises needed this year. San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic […]

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed policy makers held interest rates steady Wednesday and expressed confidence that a recent rise in inflation to near the central bank’s 2% target would be sustained, leaving it on track to raise borrowing costs in June. The Fed’s […]

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer prices (PCE) rose March YTD, with a measure of underlying inflation moving to the Fed’s 2% target. Monday, the rise in the annual inflation gauges reported by the Commerce Department was seen by economists and Fed officials, it is not expected to alter the gradual […]

The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode

The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode

The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $USO The Bull has paused to refresh Fundamentals are Strong Interest rates are low Some pundits are saying that the world markets entered Y 2018 speculating that the most synchronized global economic expansion in a decade was going to get to Hot, but […]

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Soon the stock market will reflect the economy, and all systems are on Go. March Private Sector Jobs, Non-Manufacturing Activity and Help Wanted OnLine ADP: 241,000; Goods: 65,000/ ISM (Non-Man.): -0.7 point; Orders: -5.3 points/ HWOL: up 102,100 The Institute for Supply Management’s […]

Look at the US Economic Reports Going into Earnings Season

Look at the US Economic Reports Going into Earnings Season

Look at the US Economic Reports Going into Earnings Season $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Economic Growth and Investment The latest industrial production report was much better than expected and positive on multiple levels. Overall production was up 1.1% while the manufacturing component was up 1.2%. Probably more importantly, the improvement in manufacturing was centered on business […]

FOMC’s Rate Hike Will Not Slow President Trump’s Economic Plan

FOMC’s Rate Hike Will Not Slow President Trump’s Economic Plan

FOMC’s Rate Hike Will Not Slow President Trump’s Economic Plan The Powell Fed shows confidence in the US Economy The Fed’s rate increase Wednesday will not slow President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, but it will make home mortgages more costly. “I don’t think this is going to affect the economic expansion very much,” economist Peter […]

President Trump’s Tax Reform has Consumer Sentiment Jumps at 14-Yr Highs

President Trump’s Tax Reform has Consumer Sentiment Jumps at 14-Yr Highs

President Trump’s Tax Reform has Consumer Sentiment Jumps at 14-Yr Highs US consumer sentiment in March unexpectedly jumped to a 14-year highs after tax cuts boosted disposable incomes, while new tariffs boosted inflation expectations and dimmed the outlook, a University of Michigan (MSI) survey showed Friday. Highlights of Michigan Sentiment (March, Preliminary) Sentiment index rose to […]

US Retail Sales Slide for 3rd Month Running, Inflation Edges Up

US Retail Sales Slide for 3rd Month Running, Inflation Edges Up

US Retail Sales Slide for 3rd Month Running, Inflation Edges Up $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US retail sales fell for a 3rd straight month in February as households cut back on purchases of motor vehicles and other big-ticket items. Despite signs of cooling in consumer spending, inflation pressures are building, which may allow the Fed […]

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Even with strong job gains and optimistic small business owners, inflation still at reasonable marks February Consumer Prices, Real Earnings and Small Business Optimism CPI: +0.2%; Over-Year: +2.2%; Less Food and Energy: +0.2%; Over-Year: +1.8%/ Hourly Earnings (Monthly): 0%; Over-Year: +0.4%/ NFIB: […]

Moderate Inflation Ahead, Tight Job Market Boosts Wages

Moderate Inflation Ahead, Tight Job Market Boosts Wages

Moderate Inflation Ahead, Tight Job Market Boosts Wages $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX  The United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) announced plans to reopen an Illinois factory following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose a new tariff on imported steel. A tight US labor market was helping lift wages across most of the nation through late February […]

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements $GLD The Big Q: On fueled inflation will Gold’s price soar? The Big A: The recent US NFPs report showed that wages had jumped 2.9% in January on an annual basis. It was the best since Y 2009, which awakened investor fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited Wednesday’s data on […]

PPI Came in ‘Hot’, Traders Shrug it Off, Market Soars

PPI Came in ‘Hot’, Traders Shrug it Off, Market Soars

PPI Came in ‘Hot’, Traders Shrug it Off, Market Soars $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, Wall Street marked it 5th session running of gains, led technology stocks as investors shrugged off inflation worries that may have roiled the markets early this month. Traders shrugged off economic data for a 2nd consecutive session that indicated inflation […]

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market pundits fears about inflation are inflated. Econ 101: No Inflation, No Growth Top-weighted financials and technology sectors lead market higher Wednesday, US stocks finished sharply higher, shrugging off an initial sharp decline in futures pre-market immediately […]

US Stocks Overcome Early Weakness Finishing in the Green

US Stocks Overcome Early Weakness Finishing in the Green

US Stocks Overcome Early Weakness Finishing in the Green $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Tuesday, US stocks overcame early weakness driving the major indices North for the 3rd session running. Fully, 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished in the Green, with financials (+0.5%), consumer discretionary (+0.5%), and real estate (+0.6%) being the Top performers. […]

US Economy Strong, Growing, as Financial Markets Consolidate Big Gains

US Economy Strong, Growing, as Financial Markets Consolidate Big Gains

US Economy Strong, Growing, as Financial Markets Consolidate Big Gains $VXX The nation’s economy is very strong, and the tax cut bill is energizing business, so the stock markets will be just fine despite the quick correction seen over the past 9 trading days. Savvy participants are cost averaging down and “buying the dip’ “Investment […]

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Just 2 Friday’s ago, on January 26th The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made its latest BEV Zero, new all-time high.  Then 9 trading days later on Thursday February 8th it broke below its BEV -10% line in a dramatic fashion. The BEV plot seen below begins at […]

Americans Filing for Unemployment Benefits at 45 yr Lows

Americans Filing for Unemployment Benefits at 45 yr Lows

Americans Filing for Unemployment Benefits at 45 yr Lows The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, dropping to its lowest level in almost 45 years as the labor market tightened further, driving expectations of faster wage growth this year. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 9,000 to a seasonally […]

DJIA +567.02 Pts After Testing Monday’s Lows

DJIA +567.02 Pts After Testing Monday’s Lows

DJIA +567.02 Pts After Testing Monday’s Lows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The major US indexes surged Tuesday afternoon after testing to Monday’s lows. The sharp swings come 1 day after the steepest point fall on Wall Street in 6.5 years. Some are saying that investors are fearful that signs of rising inflation and higher interest […]

Stock Traders in Risk Off Mode, DJIA Finished -4.6% on the Day

Stock Traders in Risk Off Mode, DJIA Finished -4.6% on the Day

Stock Traders in Risk Off Mode, DJIA Finished -4.6% on the Day $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US stock indexes fell the most in 6.5 years, with the DJIA sinking more than 1,100 points, as the equity selloff extended on rising concern that inflation will force interest rates higher. Volatility came back into US equity markets, […]

DJIA Pullback Linked to Bond Market Not DC Disclosures

DJIA Pullback Linked to Bond Market Not DC Disclosures

DJIA Pullback Linked to Bond Market Not DC Disclosures $DJIA Last week’s US stock market pullback related to movements in the bond market, and not to the release of a GOP House Intel memo that accuses FBI and DOJ investigators of anti-Trump bias, that has indicated President Trump in the Russia probe.  President Trump’s position […]

US Jobs Report: NFPs +200,000, Wages Rise Most Since 2009

US Jobs Report: NFPs +200,000, Wages Rise Most Since 2009

US Jobs Report: NFPs +200,000, Wages Rise Most Since 2009 $AAPL, $WMT “Jobs, Jobs, Jobs” US job growth rose in January and wages increased too, recording their largest annual gainer in more than 8.5 years, bolstering expectations that inflation will push higher this year as the labor market hits full employment. Remember, No inflation, No […]

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