FOMC Ties Rate Hikes to Economic Rebound

FOMC Ties Rate Hikes to Economic Rebound






FOMC Ties Rate Hikes to Economic Rebound The Fed (FOMC) policymakers agreed they should hold off on raising interest rates until they see evidence that a recent economic slowdown was transitory, mins from their 2-3 May policy meeting showed Wednesday. Nearly all policymakers at that meeting said they favored starting the wind-down of the Fed’s […]






US Stock Market Marks Record Highs

US Stock Market Marks Record Highs






US Stock Market Marks Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Big Q: Is the the US stock market rising because too much money is chasing too few opportunities? The Trump Trade, or investing in stocks in hopes that the President’s policies will boost economic growth, is not the main driver of this market, says […]






US Economy Brightens on President Trump’s Policies

US Economy Brightens on President Trump’s Policies






US Economy Brightens on President Trump’s Policies $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Economic outlook in US brightens, Unemployment Rolls at 28.5-year Lows, Trump Administration’s policies driving the economy. New applications for US jobless benefits fell last week and the number of Americans on unemployment rolls tumbled to a 28.5 year lows, pointing to shrinking labor market […]






Trump Economy Runs, Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Growth View at 4.1%

Trump Economy Runs, Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Growth View at 4.1%






Trump Economy Runs, Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Growth View at 4.1% The US economy is forecast to expand at a 4.1% annualized pace in the Q-2 following the release of April figures on housing starts and industrial output, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDP Now forecast model showed  Tuesday. Domestic factory production increased 1.0% last month […]






President Trump Can Revive the Economy that Socialist Obama Killed

President Trump Can Revive the Economy that Socialist Obama Killed






President Trump Can Revive the Economy that Socialist Obama Killed $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, Sam Zell said President Donald Trump has an “extraordinary opportunity” to revive an economy that died under 8 years of regulatory oppression under Barack Hussein Obama. “I think we’ve had 8 years of kind of an anti-business administration with very […]






VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows

VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows






VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows $VXX, $AUDUSD, $JPY, $EUR, $GBP After returning from the long May Day weekend, equity investors look undecided on whether to be Bullish or Bearish. Stocks across Asian markets were mixed Tuesday despite the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s ‘Fear Factor’  hitting its lowest marks in a decade. The low volatility was reflected […]






World War 3: Bullish on Gold (NYSEArca:GLD)

World War 3: Bullish on Gold (NYSEArca:GLD)






World War 3: Bullish on Gold (NYSEArca:GLD) $GLD, $SLW, In times of War or other upheaval, people turn to Gold (NYSEArca:GLD). When economies wobble and governments fall, Gold has always been seen as the best way to preserve wealth. The Y-Y change in the consumer price index has already risen from 0 to 2.5%. When […]






Central Banks are Monetizing Stocks and Bonds

Central Banks are Monetizing Stocks and Bonds






Central Banks are Monetizing Stocks and Bonds $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV Following this market is an exercise in frustration.  Last week, DJIA (DOW) appeared ready to roll over.  I expected the Dow  to be closer to its -5% line than its -2.5% line at the close of this week. But, as you can see […]






Market Says, “The Trump Administration to Deliver Tax Reform”

Market Says, “The Trump Administration to Deliver Tax Reform”






Market Says, “The Trump Administration to Deliver Tax Reform” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Markets are in full risk-on mode this week. DJIA gained 232.23 pts or 1.12% to close at 20996.12 Tuesday. S&P 500 also rose 14.46 pts or 0.61% to close at 2388.61. Both indexes took out Key resistance at 20887.5 and 2378.36 respectively […]






US President Trump Not “Talking Down” the USD

US President Trump Not “Talking Down” the USD






US President Trump Not “Talking Down” the USD $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US President Donald Trump is “absolutely not” trying to talk down the strength of the USD, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin was quoted as saying Wednesday. Trump said last week in an interview with the WS-J that the dollar was “getting too strong,” and […]






Bullish Gold: A Case Study for Gold’s Price Run to $2,500 oz

Bullish Gold: A Case Study for Gold’s Price Run to $2,500 oz






Bullish Gold: A Case Study for Gold’s Price Run to $2,500 oz $GLD, $GDX, $SLW, $EXCFF Those who read this column know that I have been Bullish Gold for several months after noting the end of the Bear cycle in the precious Yellow metal and new forces that will contribute to an even stronger advance […]






Expect The Congress to Embrace President Trump’s Growth Plan

Expect The Congress to Embrace President Trump’s Growth Plan






Expect The Congress to Embrace President Trump’s Growth Plan $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD, $SLV, $USO Friday’s monthly NFPs market moving data release attracted much less attention than in the past. The Key jobs report reflects on the health of the US labor market in March, and it is important for assessing the underlying strength […]






Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead

Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead






Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Most FOMC policymakers think the Fed should take steps to begin trimming its $4.5-T balance sheet later this year as long as the economic data holds up, minutes from their March meeting revealed. Uncertainty is substantial, the Fed said, comment on […]






FLASH: Shake Up At Fed, Lacker Out

FLASH: Shake Up At Fed, Lacker Out






FLASH: Shake Up At Fed, Lacker Out A controversy that has been percolating for years has finally boiled over with the immediate resignation of Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker (non-FOMC voter). The Richmond Fed President does not vote this year and Mr. Lacker was already set to step down in October, so Tueday’s news is […]






Gold’s Price Rise Triggers Mining Stocks’ Rally

Gold’s Price Rise Triggers Mining Stocks’ Rally






Gold’s Price Rise Triggers Mining Stocks’ Rally $GDX, $SBLG, $GFI, $NEM, $EXCFF Just about a week ago it looked like Gold’s Y 2017 rally was running out of steam, and in danger of losing sight of the psych mark at 1,200 oz. A number of major Gold stocks which had outperformed the precious Yellow metal […]






They Call it “Monetary Policy”

They Call it “Monetary Policy”






They Call it “Monetary Policy” $DIA,  $SPY, $GLD,  $SLV The Dow Jones made its last all-time high on March 1st, and since then its valuation has been slowly deflating.  It closed this week only nine Dow Points away from breaking below its BEV -2.50% line in the chart below. After the amazing 32 new daily […]






Dubai: Gold Hits 2-Week High as USD Falls

Dubai: Gold Hits 2-Week High as USD Falls






Dubai: Gold Hits 2-Week High as USD Falls  $GLD Spot Gold price forecast to range between 1,228 and 1,247 oz Gold jewelry prices in Dubai spiked Monday, as the USD fell in the aftermath of the recent Fed dovish interest rate adjustment. Bullion retailed Monday by as much as Dh10/gram when compared to the prices […]






Economic Electrical Power Consumption…

Economic Electrical Power Consumption…






Economic Electrical Power (EP) Consumption… US Historical Review: 1929-2017 $DIA, $SPY, $GLD, $SLV Last Friday promised some excitement for this week; what with the much anticipated interest rate increase by the FOMC and the Federal Government hitting its debt ceiling on Wednesday the 15th. Friday evening, it was all much to do about nothing, with […]






Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead

Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead






Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The “Demons of Deflation” are in the dust-bin on a uptick in price pressures globally, prompting investors to seek protection in inflation-protected bonds. A year ago, it was deflation, falling prices that restrain consumer spending and economic growth that plagued investors and central banks, […]






FOMC Raised Rates, Yellen Not Worried About Downside Risks

FOMC Raised Rates, Yellen Not Worried About Downside Risks






FOMC Raised Rates, Yellen Not Worried About Downside Risks The FOMC raised interest rates Wednesday, a move spurred by steady economic growth, strong job gains and confidence that inflation is rising to the central bank’s target. The decision to lift the target overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 0.75 percent […]






Tax & Regulatory Reform are America’s CEO’s Top Priorities

Tax & Regulatory Reform are America’s CEO’s Top Priorities






Tax & Regulatory Reform are America’s CEO’s Top Priorities $JPM Most CEO’s of large US companies see tax and regulatory reform as their Top policy priorities, with only 3% naming healthcare reform, according to a survey released Tuesday. The Business Roundtable Quarterly survey showed broad hopefulness about US economic prospects in the wake of the […]






Bullish Investors Positive About President Trump’s Policies

Bullish Investors Positive About President Trump’s Policies






Bullish Investors Positive About President Trump’s Policies $SPY Stock-market investors worldwide, especially the Bullish ones who have been proven right since 9 November have been richly rewarded, look to be in a gradual transition in their operating outlook. Their environment is moving away from comfortable reliance on central banks that are able and willing to […]






Investors are Betting The Trump Presidency, Shunning Hedges

Investors are Betting The Trump Presidency, Shunning Hedges






Investors are Betting The Trump Presidency, Shunning Hedges $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Bet the Presidency, is the mantra of investors crowding into the US  The Trump Rally with only modest downside protection despite potential headwinds, from elevated corporate leverage, Fed rate hikes, and potential US policy risks. Data from Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) show investors have discarded […]






Here is the Proof, Rising Interest Rates are Good for Gold

Here is the Proof, Rising Interest Rates are Good for Gold






Here is the Proof, Rising Interest Rates are Good for Gold $GLD,  $USD, $XAUUSD You will recall that when the Fed raised interest rates in December, and the publicly spoke its plan to do so 3X more times in Y 2017, the conventional wisdom suggested gold should fall. The theory: Gold is a non-yielding asset, […]






Why Buy This Bull Market or Not Buy It

Why Buy This Bull Market or Not Buy It






Why Buy This Bull Market or Not Buy It $SPY Below are some of the reasons given as to why investors should “Buy” this Bull Market, as follows: 1. Investor Confidence Is Soaring There is little doubt that since the election both investor and consumer confidence has soared. In fact, confidence (soft data) has become […]






Investors Still See Gold as Safe Haven & Inflation Hedge

Investors Still See Gold as Safe Haven & Inflation Hedge






Investors Still See Gold as Safe Haven & Inflation Hedge $GLD In a counter intuitive move, the precious Yellow metal is advancing as Fed threatens to tighten, ETF investors have turned buyers as Trump Rally extends. Savvy market analysts know very well that works for Gold in practice does not work in theory very often, in […]






Trump Rally Extends on Economic Growth, Consumer Prices Up

Trump Rally Extends on Economic Growth, Consumer Prices Up






Trump Rally Extends on Economic Growth, Consumer Prices Up $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US stock market indexes finish at record highs for 5th day running US consumer prices recorded their biggest increase in nearly  4 years in January as households paid more for gasoline and other goods, suggesting inflation picking up. The US Labor Department said […]






The Trump Rally Extends, S&P 500 Posts Another Record High

The Trump Rally Extends, S&P 500 Posts Another Record High






The Trump Rally Extends, S&P 500 Posts Another Record High $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Along with the S&P, the DJIA posted its 4th straight record close, the NAS Comp closed at a high for a sixth day running. MSCI’s all-country world index edged up 0.08%. Europe’s broad FTSEurofirst 300 index slipped 0.04%to snap a 5-session […]






The Market Knows What the Market Knows, the Financial News is Real

The Market Knows What the Market Knows, the Financial News is Real






The Market Knows What the Market Knows, the Financial News is Real $SPY Buy the News, Sell the soft Data. That is the conclusion drawn from a paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, which suggests that financial news holds predictive power when it comes to economic data. Stories about the US economy […]






Fed’s Regulation “Stickler” Resigns, Bank Stocks Lead Trump Rally Extension

Fed’s Regulation “Stickler” Resigns, Bank Stocks Lead Trump Rally Extension






Fed’s Regulation “Stickler” Resigns, Bank Stocks Lead Trump Rally Extension $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Fed board member Daniel Tarullo, a Key official guiding bank regulation efforts, resigned effective in April The Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (exchanged-traded fund) that owns a basket of bank and insurance stocks, added to gains and was up 0.4% after […]






US Stocks Finished Flat to Unchanged Wednesday

US Stocks Finished Flat to Unchanged Wednesday






US Stocks Finished Flat to Unchanged Wednesday $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The major US averages finished Wednesday’s session flat to unchanged, as the S&P 500 (+0.1%) and the NAS Comp (+0.2%) closed with modest gains while the DJIA (-0.2%) under-performed. Black Gold finished 0.3% higher at 52.36 bbl after seeing solid losses during the overnight […]






Lackluster US Wage Growth Hobbles Fed on Interest Rate Hikes

Lackluster US Wage Growth Hobbles Fed on Interest Rate Hikes






Lackluster US Wage Growth Hobbles Fed on Interest Rate Hikes Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz SE’s chief economic adviser, said l Lackluster wage growth in the US to hobble the Fed in here and halt the raising interest rates. The figure on pay is “disappointing,” Mohamed El-Erian said Friday in a TV inerview. “This will make the […]






The Fed is Breathing Life into Gold Bulls

The Fed is Breathing Life into Gold Bulls






The Fed is Breathing Life into Gold Bulls $GLD Thursday, volume and prices spiked on call options giving holders the right to buy Gold at higher prices. Wednesday, investors poured $413-M into SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEArca:GLD), the largest ETF backed by the metal, recouping almost 50% of the money that exited in January. The Fed […]






Rates Rise, US New-Home Sales Fall 10% to 10-Month Low

Rates Rise, US New-Home Sales Fall 10% to 10-Month Low






Rates Rise, US New-Home Sales Fall 10% to 10-Month Low $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Purchases of new US homes fell in December to a 10-month low, suggesting the post-Election rise in mortgage rates pushed out potential buyers. Single-family house sales dropped 10.4%, the most in nearly 2 years, to a 536,000 annualized pace, the US […]






Positive Big Bankers See Regulations Abating Under President Donald Trump

Positive Big Bankers See Regulations Abating Under President Donald Trump






Positive Big Bankers See Regulations Abating Under President Donald Trump $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Ignore the left wing mockery that is coming. Wall Street’s big bankers attending the WEF in Davos said Thursday, that they are confident Donald Trump’s incoming administration will loosen regulatory constraints on financiers, even if it leaves Barack Hussein Obama’s signature […]






Janet Yellen, “Makes sense to raise rates gradually.”

Janet Yellen, “Makes sense to raise rates gradually.”






Janet Yellen, “Makes sense to raise rates gradually.” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX With the US economy close to full employment and inflation headed toward the Fed’s 2% goal, it “makes sense” for the US central bank to gradually lift interest rates, Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen said Wednesday afternoon. “Waiting too long to begin moving toward […]






Little Chance the Fed will “Snuff Out” Expansion Anytime Soon

Little Chance the Fed will “Snuff Out” Expansion Anytime Soon






Little Chance the Fed will “Snuff Out” Expansion Anytime Soon $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed is unlikely to take actions that would “snuff out” the current US economic expansion anytime soon because inflation is not a problem, according to Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley. Tuesday, Mr. Dudley, in a speech […]






Donald Trump’s Tax Cuts Could/Will Jump-Start Global Economy

Donald Trump’s Tax Cuts Could/Will Jump-Start Global Economy






Donald Trump’s Tax Cuts Could/Will Jump-Start Global Economy US President Elect Donald Trump’s tax cuts and spending plans could deliver a strong shot in the arm to the US economy, lifting growth around the world, although uncertainty about his trade policies adds to the risks, that according to the World Bank (WB). The Trump Admin […]






Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise

Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise






Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Yale economist Robert Shiller admits that he does not know “what to make” of surging US stocks now Thursday he offer some of his sage advice to savvy investors: “Markets are inherently filled with tricks and traps, be careful.” […]






The “Shortened” Week Ahead on Wall Street

The “Shortened” Week Ahead on Wall Street






The “Shortened” Week Ahead on Wall Street $STZ, $MON, $WBA The US financial markets were closed Monday in observance of New Year’s Day. This week only 3 members of the S&P 500 are scheduled to report earnings to Wall Street: Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ), Monsanto Company (NYSE:MON) and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NYSE:WBA) Thursday.   […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $AZO, $BF.B, $COST, $AVGO, $COO We are in that frame between Q-3 and Q-4 earnings season on Wall Street. This week 6 members of the S&P 500 will release results this week AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) Tuesday Brown-Forman Corp. (NYSE:BF.B), Costco Wholesale Corp. (NYSE:COST) and H&R Block (NYSE:HRB) Wednesday Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) and Cooper Companies (NYSE:COO) Thursday   Economic reports The […]






“Trump Effect” Hammering US Treasury Market

“Trump Effect” Hammering US Treasury Market






“Trump Effect” Hammering US Treasury Market US Treasury’s are having their worst month since Y 2009 after investors pulled money from the US bond market on speculation Donald Trump’s victory in the Presidential election will pave the way for increased fiscal stimulus. An index that tracks the Treasuries market has lost 2.5% this month through […]






Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) Publishes 2017 Macro Outlook

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) Publishes 2017 Macro Outlook






Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) Publishes 2017 Macro Outlook $GS, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) advises wealthy individuals with millions and billions in assets and advises most of the large institutional investors. The Big Q: What are investors supposed to make of a pro-2017 outlook by Goldman Sachs on the same day that the DJIA, S&P […]






Strong US Housing Market to Bring Fed Rate Hike

Strong US Housing Market to Bring Fed Rate Hike






Strong US Housing Market to Bring Fed Rate Hike October Existing Home Sales and November Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Index Sales: +2%; Prices (Over-Year): +6%/ Phil. Fed (NonMan.): -10.7 points; Orders: +6.9 points; Hiring: +5.8 point. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that in October, existing home sales hit their highest pace since February 2007. […]






Let’s Focus on the DJIA

Let’s Focus on the DJIA






Let’s Focus on the DJIA $DIA Since the beginning of this week, the US stock market has been compressing between 2 converging H-4 trendlines at 18971 and 18808 respectively, forming a possible Bullish Pennant formation. This technical pattern is considered by most of us to be a continuation setup. Therefore, should the DJIA close above […]






Yellen, “Fed could raise US interest rates relatively soon.”

Yellen, “Fed could raise US interest rates relatively soon.”






Yellen, “Fed could raise US interest rates relatively soon.” The Fed could raise US interest rates “relatively soon,” Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen said Thursday as data showing a surge in housing starts and uptick in inflation underscored her upbeat assessment of where the country stands. In Ms. Yellen’s 1st remarks since the election of Donald […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $V, $AAPL, $CAT, $BA, $KO, $XOM This week Q-3 earnings season hits full stride, with 178 members of the S&P 500 reporting to Wall Street. Included in this group are 12 DJIA componenets: Monday: Visa (NYSE:V) Tuesday: 3M Co. (NYSE:MMM), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), DuPont De Nemours (NYSE:DD), Merck […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $IBM, $GS, $GE, $AXP, $MSFT Earnings season will pick up this week as 11 members of the DJIA are scheduled to report: International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) Monday Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) and UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) Tuesday American Express Co. (NYSE:AXP) Wednesday; Microsoft […]






The Anemic Recovery from Great Recession Surprise Economists

The Anemic Recovery from Great Recession Surprise Economists






The Anemic Recovery from Great Recession Surprise Economists $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Friday, the Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said that the slow recovery from the Great Recession has surprised economists, confounding long-held beliefs about growth and inflation. Speaking to an economic conference at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston,  Ms. Yellen did not address […]






Rising Inflation Augurs Record High Gold Price, Stock Correction

Rising Inflation Augurs Record High Gold Price, Stock Correction






Rising Inflation Augurs Record High Gold Price, Stock Correction $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD Rising inflation and sagging confidence in the ability of central banks to revive global growth will drive up Gold price, and bullion could climb to a record in the next 2 years. Consumer prices are set to rise as Crude Oiil […]






Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise?

Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise?






Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise? $DIA, $DXY, $GLD, $USO, $GBPUSD Tuesday could be unofficially declared as the seller’s market across the financial arena with major equities and currencies all encountering heavy selling momentum during trading on Tuesday. The only asset class that to benefit was the Buck, which has spiked to 7-month […]






Gold Outlook: Do Not See Fed Interest Rate Increase in 2016

Gold Outlook: Do Not See Fed Interest Rate Increase in 2016






Gold Outlook: Do Not See Fed Interest Rate Increase in 2016 $GLD A US Fed interest-rate increase this year should not shake investors’ faith in Gold, according to Australia’s 2nd-largest producer. Bullion is trading near the lowest level in more than 3 months. Prices fell on speculative worries that central banks are ready to curb […]






Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates






Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley suggested the central bank should be cautious in raising interest rates, given limits on its ability to respond to a recession with borrowing costs close to Zero meaning out of tools. Noting concerns from […]






The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun”

The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun”






The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun” $GLD, $SLV, $DB, $DIA, $DXY Tedious, that’s how I’d describe the stock market for the past 6 weeks.  Everything is on hold until Janet Yellen finds the courage to euthanize the bulls on Wall Street with a few rate hikes. It will be a […]






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