The Bulls Are In Charge of the US Stock Market

The Bulls Are In Charge of the US Stock Market

FLASH: This a Special Report, looking ahead at this leg of the longest Bull run in market history The US Stock Market: The Bulls Vs The Bears Russell 2000 +16.4% YTD NAS Comp +12.6% YTD DJIA +11.0% YTD S&P 500 +10.7% YTD US stocks rallied late last week into options expiration, even as some analysts felt like they should […]

“No Need to Hike Rates Again”

“No Need to Hike Rates Again”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Trump Policy Traction, FOMC Minutes Due Wednesday Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said he is comfortable with the level US interest rates are at now, and sees no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shift to an unexpectedly higher gear. In an interview with […]

Fed: Slowed Growth May Halt Any More Rate Hikes

Fed: Slowed Growth May Halt Any More Rate Hikes

Last month when the Fed adopted a new “patient” approach to monetary policy, it gave no specific guidance about how long its policy pause would last, or how many more interest-rate increases were ahead. Last week disappointing US retail sales and industrial production data raised the prospect that the US economy is slowing faster than […]

Fed says, “Economy in Good Place”

Fed says, “Economy in Good Place”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed officials are getting their stories aligned on the US economy. Cleveland’s Loretta Mester says it’s in a “very good spot.” Or a “pretty good place,” as Kansas City’s Esther George has it, faithfully echoing Chairman Jerome Powell’s “the economy is good.” Their remarks, made Tuesday and Wednesday, aim […]

Buying Interest Triggered by Trump Polices Progress

Buying Interest Triggered by Trump Polices Progress

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Progress of President Trump’s Policies Bringing On Continued Stock Buying Interest US futures point to a higher start this morning with sentiment boosted by US lawmakers reaching an agreement in principle to possibly avert another government shutdown later this week. The S&P 500 futures trade 18 pts, or 0.7%, […]

Managed Money Still Sidelined Missing the Best January in 30 Years

Managed Money Still Sidelined Missing the Best January in 30 Years

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Friday afternoon that the central bank is debating whether QE (quantitative easing) should be reserved for emergencies or used more readily. Market turned; S&P 500 NAS Comp and RUTX finished in the Green, DJIA off a bit. The S&P 500 utilities sector […]

Fed Chairman Powell says it Again, “The US Economy is in a ‘Good Place'”

Fed Chairman Powell says it Again, “The US Economy is in a ‘Good Place

The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said again Wednesday the US economy remains in a “good place” and has proved resilient so far to shocks like the British decision to leave the European Union. “The US economy is now in a good place,” with low unemployment and inflation near the Fed’s 2% target, Chairman Powell […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold UpUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Higher In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year The Cboe Volatility (VIX) Index, Wall Street’s so-called “fear gauge,” dropped to 15.60, its lowest level in 4 months, Monday. $VXX Gold: Gold rose Tuesday in thin trading as investors made purchases after prices touched 1-week lows Monday, but improved […]

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

Monday, President Trump summoned Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to the White House for dinner to discuss recent economic developments and the overall outlook. The Fed is being tight lipped about the ongoing monetary policy discussions with President Trump. Chairman Powell’s comments were “consistent with his remarks at his press conference of last week,” the Fed […]

Wall Street Extends Gains, Big Caps Lead Sidelined Money In

Wall Street Extends Gains, Big Caps Lead Sidelined Money In

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, new money came in and Wall Street gained with all 3 major indexes closing near session highs. Continuing optimism abounds on the prospects for US-China trade relations propelled technology shares. The S&P 500 index and the NAS Comp both closed above their 100-Day MA’s for the 1st time since […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Steady In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year Gold: Gold prices slipped Monday as risk aversion waned amid some signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while a firm USD kept bullion under pressure. Spot gold was down 0.4% at $1,313.01 oz by 0552 GMT US […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD EasedCrude Oil SteadyStocks Up In Asia Gold: Gold fell Friday as investors sought riskier assets on optimism the United States and China ill reach a trade deal, although a pause in US interest rate hikes kept bullion on track for a 2nd weekly increase. Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,316.95 oz at 0719 GMT. Prices […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD EasedCrude Oil UpStocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) held its policy-setting meeting and stood pat with a very dovish tone. Officials from Washington and Beijing have launch a new round of trade talks aimed at resolving their disputes. Gold: A surge in gold purchases by central banks to the highest […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold HigherUSD EasedCrude Oil Off a BitStocks Flat to Little Change In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold its next policy-setting press conference on 30 January no hike expected. Officials from Washington and Beijing are set to launch a new round of trade talks on Wednesday aimed at resolving their disputes amid […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil SteadyStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold price broke psyche resistance at 1300 oz Gold futures are hanging near 7-month highs at $1,302.2 oz. Spot gold was last at 1,304.19 after breaking above a the Key psych […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil downStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold prices held steady Monday, near a 7-month peak scaled in previous session, on hopes the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged during its 2-day policy meeting this week. Spot gold […]

Stocks Finish Higher on Headline News

Stocks Finish Higher on Headline News

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks jumped at the open on initial speculation that a deal to reopen the government was imminent, the notion that the Fed may be getting close to the end of its balance sheet normalization effort, plus the expression from Treasury Secretary Mnuchin that the US is making progress with China trade […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Washington Thursday signaled it could impose sanctions on Venezuela’s Crude Oil exports as Caracas descends further into political and economic chaos. The US-China trade discussions will provide insight into how talks are […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate, but its retail markets are expanding widely. China makes up 19% of the world’s economy, the slowdown this year […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate. Gold: Gold prices stood firm Wednesday on higher demand for safe-haven assets over concerns of slowing global economy and […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China’s state planner Tuesday warned that the downward pressure on the economy will affect China’s job market as falling factory orders point to a further drop in activity in coming months and […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Soft Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. UK PM May will return to Parliament Monday to set out how she plans to try to break the BREXIT deadlock after her deal was rejected by […]

Real Inflation is Here, Gold is the Hedge of Choice for Savvy Participants

Real Inflation is Here, Gold is   the Hedge of Choice for Savvy Participants

$GLD, $USD Some economists who favor the ‘dollar/gold price’ seem to be blind to the rise in financial power of the precious Yellow metal. We believe that real inflation will become a better gauge to see how well this metric is doing. Using USD’s strength to measure net worth in the US could give 1 the impression that […]

Buy Gold, Bet on Tight Supply

Buy Gold, Bet on Tight Supply

$GLD, $SLV, $USD Gold’s supply/demand prospects have caught the eye of 1 billionaire. “For the 1st time in my life, I bought gold because it is a good hedge,” Sam Zell, the founder of Equity Group Investments, said in a Bloomberg TV interview. “Supply is shrinking and that is going to have a positive impact on […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: A report Thursday saying that Washington was considering lifting some or all tariffs imposed on Chinese imports buoyed financial markets, including Crude Oil. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Spot gold was set for its 5th straight […]

Managed Money Moves Back into High Yield Corporate Bonds

Managed Money Moves Back into High Yield Corporate Bonds

US fund investors charged into high-yield corporate bonds during the latest week, shoveling $3.3-B, the most cash flowing into that market since late Y 2016, Lipper said Thursday, boosted by dovish words from Fed Chairman Powell. Underscoring investors’ appetite for some risk-taking, investors pulled $15-B net cash from US-based money market funds, according to the […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Lower Stocks Mixed In Asia Notes: Spot gold is about to exit a Neutral range of $1,285-$1,299, and either rise to $1,311 or drop towards $1,268. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold has gained for 5 weeks running, but prices have been […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Steady Stocks Steady including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks: Goldman Sachs (GS) will be in focus Wednesday Expectations are low with profits for US companies forecast to rise 6.4%, down from an 1 October estimate of 10.2% and a big fall from 2018’s tax cut-fueled gainer of more […]

Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices fell last month on a steep fall in gasoline prices suggesting that inflation will remain tame in the coming months. The Labor Department said that the producer price index, which tracks cost changes before they reach the consumer fell 0.2% in December from the prior month. The drop […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) this week. Monday, Citigroup (C) beat profit estimates. The bank’s shares rose 4.0% and bolstered the S&P financial […]

Stocks Cautious on China Growth, Financials and Industrials Lead, Gold in Favor

Stocks Cautious on China Growth, Financials and Industrials Lead, Gold in Favor

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Trade tensions should not disturb your portfolio’s peace of mind. To help prevent your portfolio from becoming “trade war collateral,” consider diversifying your assets to minimize exposure. Assets like physical Gold and Silver are historically known to perform well during turmoil in such dust ups. Recently, Jim Cramer urged investors frightened […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Lower sans Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from Citigroup (C) due Monday followed by JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) later in the week. Expectations are low with profits for US companies […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices climbed Friday as USD retreated on expectations the Fed will pause interest rate hikes if the US economy slows this year, while investors awaited news on progress in the US-Chinatrade talks. Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1,293.55 oz as at 0604 GMT, heading […]

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY. $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX No recession in sight, No rate hikes ahead. Thursday, Federal Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank has the ability to be patient on policy given inflation is stable, allowing it to assesses whether the US economy will slow this year as some in financial markets worry.initial comments boosted […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Thursday as expectations that the Fed will pause its rate tightening cycle this year. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,295.84 oz as of 0556 GMT, hanging near Friday’s at $1,298.42, a mark last seen in mid-June 2018. US gold futures gained […]

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (FOMC voter) expects rate hikes to continue, adding that the Fed can show some patience before resuming rate hikes. Boston Fed President (FOMC voter) Eric Rosengren does not rule out changes to the pace of balance sheet reduction on a slowdown. Fed policymakers said last […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Lower USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher In Asia Note: US President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter overnight that “Talks with China are going very well!” Gold: Gold treads lower on improved risk appetite, while Palladium marks record highs Spot gold slipped 0.2% to $1,282.61 oz by 0600 GMT, and US gold futures settled down 0.1% at […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Lower Crude Oil Stable Stocks Dip In Asia Note: Presidents Trump to speak to the Nation Tuesday on Key issues of national security. Gold: Gold held steady Tuesday as bets on a pause in US interest rate hikes and hopes of a US-China trade deal put pressure on USD, but an improved risk appetite capped gains for the […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher In Asia Note: Presidents Trump and Xi spoke Sunday, tone was optimistic as US trade representatives arrived in Beijing for official trade talks Monday. Gold: Gold rose Monday, helped by a weaker USD on expectations that the Fed may/will apply brakes on its monetary tightening cycle in Y 2019, an […]

Looking Ahead: Seeing No Rate Hikes, No Recession, 20%+ Rally Ahead

Looking Ahead: Seeing No Rate Hikes, No Recession, 20%+ Rally Ahead

$SPY, $GLD Surprise, after all of the ‘bunk’ you have heard since early October, do not be shocked that there will be no additional Fed rate hikes, a 20% S&P 500 rally and no recession.. Byron Wein defines “surprise” as an event that the average investor would only assign a 33% chance of taking place […]

Fed Follows President Trump’s Lead, Stocks Soar

Fed Follows President Trump’s Lead, Stocks Soar

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 3.4% Friday, as Fed Chairman Powell signaled patience and flexibility on rates in light of stronger-than-expected jobs data. The DJIA (+3.3%), the NAS Comp (+4.3%), and the Russell 2000 (+3.8%) also marked strong gains to finish the week + 1.6%, 2.3%, and 3.2%, respectively. All 11 […]

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher In Asia Note: Asian shares found some comfort Friday as Beijing announced a new round of trade talks with Washington, though recession fear has markets betting the next move in US interest rates might be down. And Chinese Premier Li Keqiang also signaled further policy easing and support for small […]

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher In Asia Gold:  Gold prices scaled a more than 6-month highs Thursday as worries about a global economic slowdown and volatility in equities boosted safe-haven buying, while a weaker USD offered support. Spot gold touched its highest mark since 15 June at $1,290.09, and was trading up 0.3% at $1,288.43 […]

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Down USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US stocks fading, positive sentiment recovering. The Big Q: Will stock markets can sustain their recovery at the start of the New Year? Notes: Cooperation is the best choice for both China and the United States, Chinese President Xi Jinping told Trump in a congratulatory […]

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Off Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US stocks fading, positive sentiment recovering. The Big Q: Will stock markets can sustain their recovery at the start of the New Year? In Asia Gold: Gold on pace to end the year on a high note after rallying almost 5% in the past month […]

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Off, Stocks Up + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Off, Stocks Up + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Off Crude Oil Choppy Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US equities is beginning to fade, but the VIX is still around 29 with investor risk sentiment still recovering. The CBOE Volatility Index rose mid-week to 36, its highest mark since early February. It has since pulled back to 29, still above a recent […]

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Off, Stocks Up + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Off, Stocks Up + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Flat USD Off Crude Oil Lower Asian Stocks Higher Notes: There was no single trigger for the overnight relief rally on Wall Street, though a Mastercard Inc report that sales during the US holiday shopping season rose the most in 6 years in Y 2018 helped allay concerns about the health of the US economy There […]

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Chairman Powell not listening, he is being reprieved a the enemy of the US economy and the equity markets. President Donald Trump expressed confidence in the Fed, and its Chairman, Jerome Powell, following reports that he has discussed firing his central bank chief, though the President complained again that interest rates have been rising […]

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Soft, Stocks Up + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Soft, Stocks Up + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Soft Crude Oil Up Asian Stocks Higher  Note: US President Trump, could shut down the government Friday, as Senate did not vote to fund The Wall at the southern border, Congress reconvenes Wednesday. In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Monday, holding ground near a 6-month high hit last week, as investors are still concerned about political […]

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

$SPY, $WFC, $CS Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) cut estimates for stocks next year on concern the Fed is making policy mistakes that will dampen US economic growth. Chris Harvey, head of equity strategy at the bank, cut his year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 2,665 from 3,079. While the new forecast represents a 10% […]

Headlines Rule the Markets, Consumers Undaunted

Headlines Rule the Markets, Consumers Undaunted

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 2.1% Friday on headline uncertainty surrounding politics and trade. As they continued to provide a justification to reduce risk. Friday’s decliner pushed the benchmark index to a new yearly low at 2408.12 and a weekly loss of 7.1%. All 11 S&P 500 sectors finished in the […]

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

Stock Market’s Negative Reaction to Fed is “Overblown” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that the negative stock market reaction following the Fed’s rate hike this week was “completely overblown.” Secretary Mnuchin said the stock market overreacted, with computerized program trading taking over and driving stock prices down further. […]

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Down, Stocks Off + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Down, Stocks Off + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady USD Down Crude Oil Off Asian Stocks Off  Notes: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce its interest rate stance Wednesday, the market sold off. In Asia Gold: Gold prices steadied on Thursday, after shedding half a percent in the previous session as the Fed delivered a less-dovish outlook on monetary tightening than many wanted and had […]

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Off + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Off + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Off Asian Stocks Off  Notes: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate stance at 2:00p EST Wednesday, the market is focused. In Asia Gold: Gold prices moved to 5-month highs Wednesday as a softer USD supported the coin and bar buyers, while investors awaited cues on the rate […]

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The market is looking for a Dovish stance from the FOMC when it comes to its interest rate projections for Y 2019.  Everything will come into view at 2:00p EST Wednesday Investors in pain from a difficult year hope the Fed will align with President Trump’s ‘demand’ for dovishness in […]

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Off Asian Stocks Cautious  Notes: We do not believe OPEC cuts will work this time around with Qatar going out and Iran refusing to cut, and there is a Big Q is when Russia will go to its agreed production level. US shale oil production will continue to increase. So, […]

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, just 2 days before the FOMC is expected to raise fed funds rates for a 4th time this year, President Trump and his Top trade adviser ratcheted up their criticism of the Fed’s monetary tightening. “It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start this week again testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The S&P 500 cracked 2600 and supposedly that sets up more Southside action. Sentiment is extreme as reported by the AAIA, outflows from stocks are at […]

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Firm, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Firm, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Flat to Little Changed USD Mixed/Firm Crude Oil Steady Asian Stocks Cautious  Notes: We do not believe OPEC cuts will work this time around with Qatar going out and Iran refusing to cut, and there is a Big Q mark when Russia will go to its agreed production level. And US production will go on […]

The Fed Fueled Bull Market in Stocks

The Fed Fueled Bull Market in Stocks

The Fed’s Policy of Perpetual Bull Market $DIA, $GLD, $SLV In this longest Bull market on record, do you see what I see in the Bear’s Eye View chart below?  The Dow Jones’ last BEV Zero (last all-time high) was on October 3rd; and for the first time since October 3rd the Dow Jones broke down […]

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Mixed/Firm, Stocks Falling + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Mixed/Firm, Stocks Falling + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady USD Mixed/Firm Crude Oil Off Asian Stocks Falling In Asia Notes: China feeling the pain, the nation’s November retail sales grew at the weakest pace since Y 2003 and industrial output rose the least in nearly 3 years as domestic demand softened further, underlining rising risks to the economy as Beijing now works to quickly […]

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Weakening, Stocks Rising + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Weakening, Stocks Rising + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices flat USD Weakening Crude Oil Up Asian Stocks Rising In Asia Note: Reuters reported Wednesday that Chinese state-owned companies have bought more than 1.5-M tonnes of US Soybean in the 1st major US Soybean purchases in more than 6 months.  Markets are slowly growing less pessimistic about the chances of a US-China trade deal after a […]

US Economic Growth Will Top 3% Next Year

US Economic Growth Will Top 3% Next Year

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett predicts that US economic growth will defy expectations again in Y 2019 because of a business investment boom and President Donald Trump’s trade strategy. “We’re definitely going to be at 3 or above 3 for next year as well,” Mr. Hassett said on TV Wednesday The Council of Economic Advisers […]

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Rising + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Rising + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Up Asian Stocks Rising In Asia Gold: Gold prices climbed Wednesday morning in Asia, despite indications that the Fed might lower interest rates in the next 2 years. Gold Futures for February delivery hiked 0.18% to $1,250.55 at 11:37p EST (03:37 GMT) on the COMEX, while the US Dollar (.DXY), tracking the […]

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Falling + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Falling + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Up Asian Stocks Declining In Asia Gold: Gold prices up Tuesday in Asia as the USD fell. Gold futures for February delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Merc traded 0.3% higher at $1,252.70 oz by 1:24 AM EST (05:24 GMT).  The precious Yellow metal marked its biggest weekly gainer since August last week. Technically, the break of $1,250 […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

 $DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start the week testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The patterns and technical indicators suggest a move from where the major indexes closed Friday back up to the November highs. After a reversal off the trading […]

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Falling + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Falling + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Mixed Asian Stocks Declining In Asia Gold: Gold prices are up Monday in Asia on a softer USD, gold for February delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Merc traded 0.2% higher at $1,254.75 oz by 1:24a EST (05:24 GMT).  Gold prices were near at their highest level since July on Friday and notched up […]

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight The November Employment Report Sustainable is good, job growth is finally trending. The Key Data: Payrolls: +155,000; 3-Month Average: 170,000; Private: +161,000; Revisions: -12,000; Hourly Wages: +0.2% Over-Year: +3.1% What it means: Job gains in November were below expectations. The idea we could sustain hiring […]

Fed to Signal Long Rate Hike ‘Pause’ at December FOMC Meeting

Fed to Signal Long Rate Hike ‘Pause’ at December FOMC Meeting

Fed to Signal Long Rate Hike ‘Pause’ at December FOMC Meeting President Donald Trump’s top economic adviser said he expects the Fed to pause its interest-rate increases for “quite some time” after a possible hike later this month. As Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members prepare to meet on 18-19 December, “I think they’re signaling […]

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Recovering + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Recovering + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Recovering + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Fell Asian Stocks Recovering Notes: Markets await US NFPs data, expected at 0830 EST (1330 GMT), for clues about the health of the world’s biggest economy which could influence FOMC monetary policy. NFPs for November are expected to fall by 200,000 jobs. US unemployment and […]

Markets Flash ‘Slowdown’, Fed Turns ‘Dovish’

Markets Flash ‘Slowdown’, Fed Turns ‘Dovish’

Markets Flash ‘Slowdown’, Fed Turns ‘Dovish’ $JPM, $USO The Fed is likely to deliver some response to the wave of risk aversion hitting global markets, according to JPMorgan Asset Management’s fixed-income Chief. Policy makers can hardly ignore inversions showing up on the yield curve while a violent sell-off rocks US stocks on trade tensions, European […]

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Down + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Fell Asian Stocks Down In Asia Gold: Gold is higher Thursday as growing risk aversion weighed on USD Spot gold up 0.2% at $1,239.86 oz as of 0429 GMT US gold futures up 0.2% at $1,244.9 oz. Note: Technicals; Spot gold may test resistance at $1,245 oz Markets are […]

Gold Dipped, USD Up, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Dipped, USD Up, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Dipped, USD Up, Stocks Down + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Dipped USD Up Crude Oil Fell Asian Stocks Down In Asia Gold: Gold prices dipped Wednesday, retreating from a more than 5-week high marked in Tuesday’s session. Spot gold was off 0.3% at $1,234.71 oz, as of 0422 GMT US gold futures were down 0.5% at $1,240.2 oz. Gold is mainly […]

Gold Up, USD Falls, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Falls, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Falls, Stocks Down + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Falls Crude Oil Up Asian Stocks Down Gold: Gold prices gained Tuesday, after hitting a more than 1-month high earlier in the session, as USD slipped after the US and China agreed to a temporary truce in their trade conflict spurring global stock markets North US gold futures (GCcv1) […]

America Leads, the Rest of the World Follows

America Leads, the Rest of the World Follows

America Leads, the Rest of the World Follows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Saturday’s truce in the US-China trade dispute put investors in buy mode Monday, driving US stocks due North, extending the market’s gains on last week Key reversal confirmation. The broad rally followed huge US futures gains that triggered overseas markets as investors […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SPY, $VXX Just 12 days ago everybody on The Street was celebrating Thanksgiving in a very cautious market mode, they came back to their desks, and triggered a Key reversal in the major US stock market indexes that was confirmed on Friday, 30 November and […]

Gold Up, USD Falls, Stocks Rise + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Falls, Stocks Rise + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Falls, Stocks Rise + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Falls Crude Oil Up Asian Stocks Up Notes: China and the United States agreed during a weekend meeting in Argentina of the G-20 not to impose additional trade tariffs for at least 90 days while the pair hold talks to resolve existing dispute between the […]

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