Investors Cautious on Equities Despite Low Unemployment, Strong Growth

Investors Cautious on Equities Despite Low Unemployment, Strong Growth

Investors Cautious on Equities Despite Low Unemployment, Strong Growth Americans were less upbeat about stock even as the US unemployment rate hovered near an 18-year low and the economy recorded its fastest growth pace in four years in the second quarter, a New York Fed survey released Monday revealed. The regional Fed’s barometer on consumers’ […]

Collapsing Turkish Lira Shakes World Stock Markets

Collapsing Turkish Lira Shakes World Stock Markets

Collapsing Turkish Lira Shakes World Stock Markets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX A plunging Turkish lira sent shock waves through global equity markets Friday, causing concerns over the financial health of lenders with heavy exposure to the economically-struggling country. The S&P 500 lost 0.7%, dropping into the red for the week (-0.3%), and the Nasdaq […]

US Producer Price Index Flat, Restraining Inflation Fears

US Producer Price Index Flat, Restraining Inflation Fears

US Producer Price Index Flat, Restraining Inflation Fears $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices were unchanged in July after 2 months of increases, indicating inflation pressures have softened a bit. Thursday, the Labor Department said that the PPI (producer price index) which measures price changes before they reach the consumer increased 3.3% last month […]

The Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Growth View to 5%

The Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Growth View to 5%

The Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Growth View to 5% The US economy is growing at a 5.0% annualized rate in Q-3 following the latest data on construction spending and manufacturing activity, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s most-recent GDPNow forecast model showed. That is faster than the 4.7% pace calculated by the regional Fed’s forecast program […]

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RTUX, $VXX The FOMC left the benchmark interest rate unchanged, and reiterating their plan to gradually lift borrowing costs to keep the economy expanding at a healthy pace. Economic activity has been “rising at a strong rate,” and the unemployment rate “has […]

US Consumer Spending Rises, Inflation Continues to Strengthen

US Consumer Spending Rises, Inflation Continues to Strengthen

US Consumer Spending Rises, Inflation Continues to Strengthen Consumer spending increased solidly in June as US households spent more on restaurants and accommodation, building a strong base for the economy heading into Q-3, inflation rose moderately. The Commerce Department said on Tuesday consumer spending, which accounts for nearly 70% of US economic activity, rose 0.4% last […]

President Trump, “‘Ready to Go’ With Tariffs on $500-B of Chinese Imports”

President Trump, “‘Ready to Go’ With Tariffs on $500-B of Chinese Imports”

President Trump, “‘Ready to Go’ With Tariffs on $500-B of Chinese Imports” US President Donald Trump has indicated that he is willing to hit every product imported from China with tariffs. President Trump said “I’m willing to go to 500,” referring roughly to the $505.5-B in goods imported last year from China. The Trump Administration […]

President Trump, “I am not thrilled with rate hikes”

President Trump, “I am not thrilled with rate hikes”

President Trump, “I am not thrilled with rate hikes” President Donald Trump criticized the Fed’s interest-rate increases, breaking with White House tradition of avoiding comments on monetary policy out of respect for the independence of the central bank. “I’m not thrilled,” President Trump said in expressing frustration with the Fed in an interview to be broadcast […]

The US Economy, ‘Nothing Succeeds Like Success’

The US Economy, ‘Nothing Succeeds Like Success’

The US Economy, ‘Nothing Succeeds Like Success’ White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Wednesday that “there’s no recession in sight” for the American economy and that President Donald Trump “is on the right track” with his economic agenda. “There’s no recession in sight,” Mr. Kudlow said. “The American economy is in very good shape,” […]

Atlanta Fed: “US Economy Growing at 4.5% Annualized Rate”

Atlanta Fed: “US Economy Growing at 4.5% Annualized Rate”

Atlanta Fed: “US Economy Growing at 4.5% Annualized Rate” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the Atlanta Fed announced that the US economy is growing at a 4.5% annualized rate in Q-2 following the latest data on strong retail-sales data, the GDPNow forecast model showed. The latest estimate on GDP growth is faster than the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX This week it is President Trump and President Putin’s Summit in Helsinki Finland, but there is a lot to move markets during this week. President Donald Trump meets Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki Monday, and that is the main event this week. But earnings […]

President Trump’s Stimulus to Boost Economy for ‘at Least’ 3 Years

President Trump’s Stimulus to Boost Economy for ‘at Least’ 3 Years

President Trump’s Stimulus to Boost US Economy for ‘at Least’ 3 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said he believes the US economy remains in a “good place,” with recent government tax and spending programs likely to boost GDP (gross domestic product) for perhaps 3 years. “I think the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action as President Trump  bears down hard on trade issues, focuses on SCOTUS pick, teeing up NATO demands and the Putin Summit. The market will tell us now if the Key moves Thursday and Friday on moderate volume will hold […]

Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-2 GDP View to 4.1%

Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-2 GDP View to 4.1%

Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-2 GDP View to 4.1% The US economy is growing at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-2 following the latest data on consumer spending, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Monday. The latest estimate on gross domestic product growth was slower than the 3.7 percent pace estimated Friday, the Atlanta Fed said. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action as President Trump  continues coming down hard on trade issues, and NATO next. Over the past few weeks we have a lot of pundit chatter about a market top, and stocks sold into the test during that frame. Notably, new […]

Big Banks Pass Fed ‘Stress Test’, Financial Sector Finishes Higher

Big Banks Pass Fed ‘Stress Test’, Financial Sector Finishes Higher

Big Banks Pass Fed ‘Stress Test’, Financial Sector Finishes Higher $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Shares in the biggest US banks rose Friday after the Fed completed its annual stress test giving financial institutions the go-ahead for plans to return capital to investors through dividends and buybacks. The S&P 500 bank sector index was last […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action President Trump  coming down hard in trade issues, the The Congress’ continuing dust up with the DOJ and FBI. S&P 500, DJIA posted oversold bounces as growth was favored for a 2nd session running Some new areas are attracting money […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action in light of the recent NKorean peace summit, no US-China trade war, and President Trump the The Congress’ harangue with the DOJ and FBI. US, China trade tariffs; market held up well. Economic data good not great, better coming […]

US Economy Growing at 4.8% Annual Rate

US Economy Growing at 4.8% Annual Rate

US Economy Growing at 4.8% Annual Rate The US economy is growing at a 4.8% annualized rate in Q-2, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Thursday, following data that showed domestic retail sales grew at its strongest pace in 6 months in May. The latest estimate on gross domestic product growth was faster […]

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Fed raised it overnight fed funds rates Wednesday shifting from policies used to battle the 2007-2009 financial crisis and recession. In raising its benchmark overnight lending rate a 1/4 bpt to a range of between 1.75 and 2%, the FOMC dropped its […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action in light of NKorea peace talks, no US-China trade war, and the keep’em guessing shambles President Trump left the Canadian G7 Summit in. Thursday was a bit dicey in the US for the NAS Comp, but it recovered […]

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week, pointing to a further tightening in labor market conditions. The robust US labor market and firming inflation have cemented expectations the Fed will raise interest rates next week at the FOMC meeting. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market indexes in light of looming Korea peace no US-China trade war and the current NFPs. Note: Former US President Barack Hussein Obama, though he likes to take credit, did not set the economy up for this super recovery, what […]

Living in the Trump Era of Optimism, Prosperity and Strong Economic Growth

Living in the Trump Era of Optimism, Prosperity and Strong Economic Growth

Living in the Trump Era of Optimism, Prosperity and Strong Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Just in case you missed this at the weekend, and remember Optimism leads to Power! Friday’s blockbuster NFPs (jobs) data capped a long string of recent strong economic reports which has led to much brighter forecasts for American growth under […]

Fed Rewriting the Hussein Obama-era’s Draconian ‘Volcker Rule’

Fed Rewriting the Hussein Obama-era’s Draconian ‘Volcker Rule’

Fed Rewriting the Hussein Obama-era’s Draconian ‘Volcker Rule’ Wednesday, US regulators unveiled a proposal to ease rules reining in banks’ risky trading, outlining changes that will cut compliance costs but falls short of allowing firms to return to their gambling days seen before the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The Fed’s long-anticipated proposal to alter the so-called […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market indexes in light of looming Korea peace and no US-China trade war. Overall, last week saw the major US stock market indices holding their ranges, trying but not breaking out, RUTX will try harder this week. There are solid […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 94.347 tested support near 93.86, then bounced to 94.50, thus testing resistance trendline. If breaks support near 94.10 in here, then see 93.6, which should then produce a bounce for a test at 95, seeing the cap at 95.00-95.65. EUR (Euro) at […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE The US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 93.921 tested support at 93.6 Thursday. While trading above 93.7, it should test at 94 again and then perhaps to 94.2-94.4, them dip to 94. The Northside cap is 95.00-95.65. EUR (Euro) at 1.1710 rose to 1.175 Thursday and dipped, may see […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE The US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 93.65 tested support at 93.29 Tuesday and now seems to be rising from there back towards 94. A deeper correction towards the 5 Wk MA 93.0-93.5 is on the cards, which might happen after a retest of 94. If so, the Northside target at 95 […]

Americans Report Stronger Finances in President Trump’s 1st Year

Americans Report Stronger Finances in President Trump’s 1st Year

Americans Report Stronger Finances in President Trump’s 1st Year $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The percentage of Americans who report they are doing “at least Okay” financially rose in President Donald Trump’s 1st year in office, according to Fed data published Tuesday. The data was in line with other readings detailing America’s long recovery from the […]

Consider this…should we believe “this time is different?”

Consider this…should we believe “this time is different?”

Consider this…should we believe “this time is different?” $DIA, $GLD, $SLV, $USO Here’s a BEV chart for the Dow Jones going back to January 1982.  The BEV plot fell to its -25% line (Dow Jones 777) in August 1982.  This was a historic bottom; after it nothing would ever be the same again for the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Looking at the major US stock market indexes in light of no US-China trade war. The Major Market Futures as of this writing S&P 500 SPC1 Jun 18 $2,728.80 +15.80 +0.58% NAS 100 Future NQC1 Jun 18 $6,923.75 +49.75 +0.72% Last Friday, the major US stock market indices were […]

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, the US economic data showed an acceleration in mid-Atlantic factory activity this month, with manufacturers saying they were boosting employment and asking for higher prices for their products. The combination of a tightening labor market and firming inflation bolsters expectations the Fed will […]

Pre-Civil War Fiat Money was Issued Regionally by Private Banks

Pre-Civil War Fiat Money was Issued Regionally by Private Banks

Pre-Civil War Fiat Money was Issued Regionally by Private Banks $BTCUSD In the pre-Civil War era, 90% of US money was regionally issued banknotes from private banks. These currencies traded at different rates at different times and places. There were discount books in each town to keep track of how much each currency should be […]

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stocks dip following a the strong start to the month Treasury’s benchmark 10-yr yield above 3.00% Tuesday, Mr. Williams, who will take the helm of the New York Fed on 18 June, said that inflation is nearing the central bank’s 2% target after […]

Bitcoin Tested Support to a 3 Wk Low and Bounced

Bitcoin Tested Support to a 3 Wk Low and Bounced

Bitcoin Tested Support to a 3 Wk Low and Bounced $BTCUSD,$ETHUSD, $CME Bitcoin tested and bounced Monday on the news that a Florida tax collector would accept the cryptocurrency for payments of several services. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at: 8,695.652344,+292.291016, or +3.478256%, as of 3:56a BST, the market is open. Joel Greenberg, tax collector for Seminole County […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Looking at the major US stock market indexes technically The major US stock market indexes made good on Key reversals last week, moving through the near near term resistance. The pause to refresh Friday was on the cards, and a couple of days rest works to […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Pressure on the Buck. PE US Dollar (.DXY) Index -0.4% to 92.70 $EURUSD +0.58% at 1.1921 $GBPUSD -0.18% to 1.3518 $USDCHF -0.21% to 1.0027 $USDJPY -0.27% to 109.41 $USDCNY -0.23% to 6.344 US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.2% in April, less than the 0.3% rise projected. Naturally, there […]

Bitcoin: All Professional Investors and Traders Knew That…

Bitcoin: All Professional Investors and Traders Knew That…

Bitcoin: All Professional Investors and Traders Knew That… $BTCUSD, $CBOE, $CME …the launch of Bitcoin futures would cause the price to fall. A Fed paper has attested to that as; Bitcoin’s drop following its peak near $20,000 was directly tied to the launch of a futures market, according to new research from the San Francisco […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Looking at the major US stock market indexes technically Last week we saw break North off of support in the patterns or at the trend-lines. Volume just OK, good breadth on the move. Let’s see if  they can hold the moves. DJIA marked a doji Thursday […]

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs The US economy has delivered steady, modest gains for most Americans since the Great Recession ended in Y 2009. President Trump’s policies have extended what is now the 2nd-longest economic expansionon record and why more of the country might soon benefit from higher pay. The government said Friday […]

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes $SPY Two Fed officials who are currently voting members of the FOMC rate-setting body said Friday they were keeping an open mind on the total number of interest rate rises needed this year. San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic […]

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed policy makers held interest rates steady Wednesday and expressed confidence that a recent rise in inflation to near the central bank’s 2% target would be sustained, leaving it on track to raise borrowing costs in June. The Fed’s […]

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer prices (PCE) rose March YTD, with a measure of underlying inflation moving to the Fed’s 2% target. Monday, the rise in the annual inflation gauges reported by the Commerce Department was seen by economists and Fed officials, it is not expected to alter the gradual […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This market cannot make much of strong earnings report. The NAS Comp gaped up over 115 points, gave it back. Fairly goo Bullish stock index patterns remain but upside is used to sell aka distribution. Good patterns in lots of stocks and sectors are failing to provide […]

Billionaire Founder/CEO of Twitter and Square, “Bitcoin will replace the Dollar”

Billionaire Founder/CEO of Twitter and Square, “Bitcoin will replace the Dollar”

Billionaire Founder/CEO of Twitter and Square, “Bitcoin will replace the Dollar” $BTCUSD, $TWTR, $SQ Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) CEO Jack Dorsey predicted that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will eclipse all the world’s currencies in about 10 years . But the newly nominated new head of the New York Federal Reserve disagrees. In a speech Friday, the current San Francisco Fed President […]

US Economic Growth ‘Robust’ and On Track

US Economic Growth ‘Robust’ and On Track

US Economic Growth ‘Robust’ and On Track Strong business borrowing, rising consumer spending, plus tight labor markets indicate the US economy remains on track for continued growth, the Fed reported Wednesday, the risks of a global trade war the only outlier. In its periodic “Beige Book” summary of contacts with businesses in its 12 regional districts, the […]

The ‘Volcker’ Rule Hobbles US Capital Markets

The ‘Volcker’ Rule Hobbles US Capital Markets

The ‘Volcker’ Rule Hobbles US Capital Markets Stop asking if the Hussein Obama era Volcker Rule works, it does not. Tuesday, a Key FOMC member in charge of bank supervision said that the Volcker Rule, which limits some speculative bank investments, is working poorly. The testimony before a congressional oversight committee comes amid lobbying efforts […]

Investors Rotating Leadership from QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’

Investors Rotating Leadership from QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’

Investors Rotating Leadership form QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Analysts are expecting investors will shift their holdings as the realization sinks in that the Fed is committed to raising interest rates until a major event compels the central bank to reverse course. That means investments that had strong gains during a […]

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Soon the stock market will reflect the economy, and all systems are on Go. March Private Sector Jobs, Non-Manufacturing Activity and Help Wanted OnLine ADP: 241,000; Goods: 65,000/ ISM (Non-Man.): -0.7 point; Orders: -5.3 points/ HWOL: up 102,100 The Institute for Supply Management’s […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Last Thursday, the Month/Quarter ended higher ahead of a 4 day Holiday Weekend, so the Big Q is does new money enter and help extend Thursday’s move, and do gains hold. And let’s not forget the volatility, will it calm. Remember, a market rally has to […]

Traders Like Volatility, Investors Like Strong Earnings

Traders Like Volatility, Investors Like Strong Earnings

Traders Like Volatility, Investors Like Strong Earnings $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stock investors are hoping a strong earnings season to restore the optimism that characterized equity markets last year. Traders are happy given the surge in volatility this year Analysts predict strong results results ahead with Q-1 S&P 500 profit growth on track to be […]

Gold Finished the Quarter with a Gainer, Bulls Happy

Gold Finished the Quarter with a Gainer, Bulls Happy

Gold Finished the Quarter with a Gainer, Bulls Happy $GLD Gold Bulls are finding Y 2018 a Happy Time so far.=. Gold is wrapping up a 3rd quarterly gainer, something not seen since Y 2011, and ETF (exchange-traded fund) holdings are near the highest in 5 years. Safe-haven demand may also get a boost with […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Global stock market look soft this week. Between the media trade banter, Month/Quarter end re-balancing and the Easter holiday-shortened week things can happen, even nothing much, as many Wall Street traders are on Spring vacation. Expect quiet on the G-10, and data fronts given the […]

FOMC’s Rate Hike Will Not Slow President Trump’s Economic Plan

FOMC’s Rate Hike Will Not Slow President Trump’s Economic Plan

FOMC’s Rate Hike Will Not Slow President Trump’s Economic Plan The Powell Fed shows confidence in the US Economy The Fed’s rate increase Wednesday will not slow President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, but it will make home mortgages more costly. “I don’t think this is going to affect the economic expansion very much,” economist Peter […]

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD Stocks swung sharply Wednesday afternoon following the release of the FOMC’s policy directive, which increased the fed funds target range by 25 bpts to 1.50%-1.75%. Overall the hike was priced in ahead of the Fed’s expected move. The S&P 500, the NAS Comp, and the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Another big economic data week ahead. The FOMC meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and is expected to raise rates 25 bpts at the meeting. The other big econo news will be Existing Home Sales, Leading Economic Indicators, Durable Goods Orders, and New Home Sales. And in […]

US Retail Sales Slide for 3rd Month Running, Inflation Edges Up

US Retail Sales Slide for 3rd Month Running, Inflation Edges Up

US Retail Sales Slide for 3rd Month Running, Inflation Edges Up $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US retail sales fell for a 3rd straight month in February as households cut back on purchases of motor vehicles and other big-ticket items. Despite signs of cooling in consumer spending, inflation pressures are building, which may allow the Fed […]

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Even with strong job gains and optimistic small business owners, inflation still at reasonable marks February Consumer Prices, Real Earnings and Small Business Optimism CPI: +0.2%; Over-Year: +2.2%; Less Food and Energy: +0.2%; Over-Year: +1.8%/ Hourly Earnings (Monthly): 0%; Over-Year: +0.4%/ NFIB: […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The leadership is leading the big moves on the indices with some to new highs, others attacking the near term resistance on the way to highs. Explore the laggards with good patterns, they are getting the time they need to complete patterns and join the […]

China Can ‘Open Up’ More, We Expect it Will

China Can ‘Open Up’ More, We Expect it Will

China Can ‘Open Up’ More, We Expect it Will People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Governor Zhou Xiaochuan, 70 anni, said market access reforms should be accelerated and that the world’s 2nd-largest economy “ can be bolder in opening up.” Policy makers are now focused on achieving “quality” growth, rather than the pace of expansion, which […]

Moderate Inflation Ahead, Tight Job Market Boosts Wages

Moderate Inflation Ahead, Tight Job Market Boosts Wages

Moderate Inflation Ahead, Tight Job Market Boosts Wages $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX  The United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) announced plans to reopen an Illinois factory following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose a new tariff on imported steel. A tight US labor market was helping lift wages across most of the nation through late February […]

FOMC Eyeing Inflation, ‘Strike a Balance; with Rate Hikes

FOMC Eyeing Inflation, ‘Strike a Balance; with Rate Hikes

FOMC Eyeing Inflation, ‘Strike a Balance’ with Rate Hikes Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, pledging to “strike a balance” between the risk of an overheating economy and the need to keep growth on track, told US lawmakers Tuesday that the central bank would stick with gradual interest rate increases despite the added stimulus of tax cuts […]

‘Things Continue to Look Up’ for US Economy

‘Things Continue to Look Up’ for US Economy

‘Things Continue to Look Up’ for US Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed is carefully raising interest rates against a growing economic background that has cheered up conditions for the nation’s lenders, said Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic. After years of emergency-era monetary policy, Fed officials are “in an increasing-rate environment, […]

The Trump Effect: US Jobs Growth Strong

The Trump Effect: US Jobs Growth Strong

The Trump Effect: US Jobs Growth Strong $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to a near 45-year low last week, pointing to strong job growth in February and solid momentum in the economy. The economy’s brightening prospects were also underscored by other data Thursday showing a gauge of […]

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements $GLD The Big Q: On fueled inflation will Gold’s price soar? The Big A: The recent US NFPs report showed that wages had jumped 2.9% in January on an annual basis. It was the best since Y 2009, which awakened investor fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited Wednesday’s data on […]

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market pundits fears about inflation are inflated. Econ 101: No Inflation, No Growth Top-weighted financials and technology sectors lead market higher Wednesday, US stocks finished sharply higher, shrugging off an initial sharp decline in futures pre-market immediately […]

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Just 2 Friday’s ago, on January 26th The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made its latest BEV Zero, new all-time high.  Then 9 trading days later on Thursday February 8th it broke below its BEV -10% line in a dramatic fashion. The BEV plot seen below begins at […]

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