The VIX gapped lower Wednesday to below the January low. This tells me and you can look for yourself and see that it is a bit the above levels hit in Y’s 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2007.
The US market was in Rally Mode the whole time, hence low volatility does not always mean low stock prices or that a corrective sell-off is coming.
The fact is that your the long term, when the VIX rise with the market it begins to get dicey.
Remember the US economy topped out in Y 2007, and the struggle began. Nevertheless, stocks continued their move North, and so did the volatility (VIX).
In the near term, the low volatility behind the 6 week run perhaps indicates a short term pullback, not a correction, the trend is North and the trend is your friend.
The Sentiment Indicators
1. VIX: 16.97; +0.35 2
2. VXN: 17.87; +0.63
3. VXO: 16.51; +0.33
4. Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.97; +0.2
Chartists Plot Your Points
DJIA: Close 10,741.89
Resistance:
NIL
10,963 is the July 2008 low
Support:
10,730 the January 2010 high
10,609 the Mid-September 2008 interim low
10,496 the November 2009 high
10,430 the 50 day EMA
10,365 the late September 2008 low
10,285 the late December consolidation high
10,120 the October 2009 high
9829 the September 2008 closing high
9918 the September 2008 high
9855 the early September high in its lateral range
9835 the late September 2009 high
9779 the 200 day SMA
S&P 500: Close 1159.90
Resistance:
1185 from late September 2008
1200 from the July 2008 low
Support:
1156 is the Sept 2008 low
1151 is the January 2010 high
1151 the 10 day EMA
1133 from a September 2008 intra-day low
1119 is the early December intra-day high
1120 the 50 day EMA
1114 is the November 2009 high
1106 is the September 2008 low
1101 is the October 2009 high
1084 September 2009 high
1078 is the October range low
1070 is the late September 2009 high
1051 the 200 day SMA
NAS: Close 2374.41
Resistance:
2382 resistance from 2008
2415 high from 2008
2453 the August 2008 high
Support:
2370 resistance from early 2008
2360 the 10 day EMA
2320 is the January high
2319 the September 2008 high
2292 a low from January 2008
2273 bottom of January 2010 lateral high
2278 April 2008 lows
2273 the 50 day EMA
2212 the July 2008 closing low
2205 the November 2009 high
2191 the October 2009 high
2177 a low from March 2008
2169 the March 2008 closing low: Double Bottom
2168 the September 2009, intra-day high
2167 the July 2008 intra-day low
2155 the March 2008 intra-day low
2143 the October 2009 range low
2099 the mid-September 2008 closing low
2099 the 200 day SMA
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