South32 Ltd (ASX:S32) Trading Outlook
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.79.
The projected upper bound is: 2.19.
The projected lower bound is: 1.91.
The projected closing price is: 2.05.
A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or price resistance level), the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Similarly, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 2 black candles for a net of 5 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 19 black candles for a net of 9 white candles.
An engulfing bearish line occurred (where a black candle’s real body completely contains the previous white candle’s real body). The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend (which appears to be the case with SOUTH32 FPO). It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears.
If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend, it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle’s real body.
SOUTH32 FPO closed down -0.040 at 2.040. Volume was 11% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 5% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
2.090 2.110 2.020 2.040 17,589,464
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 2.00 1.79 1.44
Volatility: 33 50 62
Volume: 14,857,610 20,210,992 22,118,022
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
SOUTH32 FPO is currently 41.7% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of S32.AX at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on S32.AX and have had this outlook for the last 31 periods.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 80.2198. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 64.58. This is not a topping or bottoming area. However, the RSI just crossed below 70 from a topping formation. This is a bearish sign. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 121.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
South32 Limited is an Australia-based metals and mining company. The Company operates through segments, which include Worsley Alumina segment has a bauxite mine and alumina refinery in Western Australia; South Africa Aluminum segment has two aluminum smelters at Richards Bay; Mozal Aluminium segment has Aluminum smelter in Mozambique; Brazil Aluminium segment has Alumina refinery and aluminum smelter in Brazil; South Africa Energy Coal segment has energy coal mines and processing operations in South Africa; Illawarra Metallurgical Coal segment has metallurgical coal mines in southern New South Wales; Australia Manganese segment, a producer of manganese ore in the Northern Territory and manganese alloys in Tasmania; South Africa Manganese segment is a producer of manganese ore and alloy in South Africa; Cerro Matoso segment has laterite ferronickel mining and smelting complex in northern Colombia, and Cannington segment is a silver, lead and zinc mine located in northwest Queensland.
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