Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (USA)(NYSE:POT) Downward Trend

Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (USA)(NYSE:POT) Downward Trend

Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (USA)(NYSE:POT) Downward Trend

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.

The projected upper bound is: 17.19.

The projected lower bound is: 14.87.

The projected closing price is: 16.03.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 27 black candles for a net of 5 black candles.

An inverted hammer occurred. If this occurs during a downtrend (which appears to be the case with POTASH) it implies a reversal. Look for a confirmation of the reversal on the bar.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

A shooting star occurred (a shooting star has a small real body near the bottom of the candle and a long upper shadow). During an uptrend the long upper shadow indicates that the bears are gaining control and a top may occur.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 27.0270. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 45.15. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 150 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -98. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

POTASH closed up 0.010 at 16.050. Volume was 45% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 50% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
16.010 16.220 16.000 16.050 1,200,639

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 16.32 16.44 17.04
Volatility: 29 45 49
Volume: 1,525,127 2,172,602 2,090,797

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary
POTASH is currently 5.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of POT.N at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on POT.N and have had this outlook for the last 5 periods.

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