Mary Matalin: Hillary Clinton Will Not Run In 2016

Posted by: : Paul EbelingPosted on: February 11, 2014 Mary Matalin: Hillary Clinton Will Not Run In 2016

Mary Matalin: Hillary Clinton Will Not Run In 2016

The variety of potential candidates for the Republican presidential nomination comes down to 1 Question in many quarters, which one can beat Hillary Clinton?

But to at least 1 powerful Republican consultant, Mary Matalin, the “Hillary” question is pointless.

“Hillary Clinton’s lead is ephemeral,” Ms. Matalin said in an interview. “As soon as she gets in, if she gets in, she will be challenged and it will evaporate. Just the nature of the beast. I predict she doesn’t run.”

Ms. Matalin  is married to former Clinton adviser James Carville, ahe joined other key Republican pundits that the field of potential GOP candidates is widely scattered. Like Ms.  Matalin, most agreed that it is not so much a matter of who seeks the presidency, but what they stand for.

“The question is less “who” than “what,” Ms. Matalin said. “Conservatives should lay down as their nonnegotiable, baseline candidate requirement an outcome-based, empirically demonstrable record or a policy agenda that has succeeded historically…our bedrock must be the Constitution, with an emphasis on enumerated powers.”

That said, candidate skills will matter, and the chosen person must have “the fortitude born of unshakable confidence in our convictions. There are more than a few candidates who fit this bill. This is going to be a rocking great primary,” Matalin said.

Until recently, NJ Gov. Chris Christie looked like the man to beat for the nomination. But, the  George Washington Bridge scandal has caused Gov. Christie’s poll numbers to take a deep dive, and has opened the field of potential Republican candidates.

William Kristol, editor of the Weekly Standard, says that this means “everyone” is going to think about running.

Mr. Kristol predicts for US Ambassador John Bolton, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, fomer Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, onetime vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence, talk show host and former Florida Rep. Joe Scarborough, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker will be “the regular season starting nine. Maybe.”

Political consultant and media strategist Mark McKinnon predicts a “Clash of the Titans” battle between Clinton and Bush for the White House in Y 2016.

“Jeb Bush is the sort of pragmatic, common-sense and compassionate conservative Republicans need to win back the White House,” said McKinnon. “He’d attract Hispanics and likely win the key electoral prize of his home state, Florida. And he has a great record to run on, including some innovative, forward-thinking strategies like early childhood investment. Florida leads the country in the number of four-year olds in literacy programs—over 70%, and Jeb did it without increasing taxes.”

Mr. McKinnon said he is not worried about either Mr. Bush or Mrs. Clinton being too familiar for voters to choose.

“Americans have likely quenched, at least for now, their thirst for fresh faces,” said Mr. McKinnon. “Most have had their fill of change. What voters might be looking for in the next presidential election is experience and competence.”

But if Mr. Bush doe not run, Mr. McKinnon said Americans should “watch out for Scott Walker. He’s the “Dark Horse.” Getting brighter every day.”

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich pointed out that there is no front-runner or “even a mid-runner yet.”

“Senators can build notoriety because the political media is centered on Washington,” said Gingrich. “Governors, however, can raise more money and have actual achievements as opposed to speeches and fights.”

His early field includes Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Walker, Bobby Jindal, Perry, Bush,  Christie, and Huckabee.

The only certainty for Republicans, said Beth Myers, political consultant and former adviser to Mitt Romney, is that the field is wide open and the bench is deep.

She also thinks Gov. Christie will get past the current scandal, and “his no-nonsense leadership and broad appeal make him a strong contender in 2016.”

“And my former boss, Mitt Romney?” said Ms. Myers. “When asked this week whether he’d consider a run in 2016, he said, ‘No, no, no, no, no.’ I take him at his word, but it’s sure nice to know that he’s missed.”

Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform, said that 6 candidates have the names, staff and ability to raise money to run: Christie, Walker, Bobby Jindal, Perry, Bush, and Paul.

“Each has a financial base, supporters nationwide and a narrative that justifies his claim to be presidential, and each has begun to do the work needed to flesh out a national campaign,” said Mr. Norquist.

John Feehery, president of Quinn Gillespie Communications and director of QGA Government Affairs had another name to throw in: Peter King, who he describes as “the street-corner conservative. The anti-Rand Paul.”

Stay tuned, this is an ongoing story…

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Paul Ebeling

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Paul Ebeling

Pattern Recognition Analyst, equities, commodities, forex
Paul Ebeling is best known for his work as writer and publisher of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly-regarded, weekly financial market letter, where he enjoys an international audience among opinion makers, business leaders, and respected organizations. Something of a pioneer in online stock market and commodities discussion and analysis, Ebeling has been online since 1994. He has studied and worked in the global financial and stock markets since 1984.
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