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May 20, 2013 -- Updated December 04, 2012 22:06 HKT

Lululemon NASDAQ:LULU at $91/shrs, Downgraded


paul@livetradingnews.com
Posted on: Dec 4th, 2012

Showing 1 of 2

Lululemon NASDAQ:LULU at $91/shrs, Downgraded

Lululemon Athletica Inc. is trading higher Monday on Canaccord Genuitys Buy rating with a price target of $91/shr.

Monday’s gain comes from a blended average of 35-times the firm’s Y 2013 P/E ratio as well as 25 times its enterprise value over EBITDA.

Canaccord’s analyst said, “We believe LULU is evolving from an athletic brand with its roots in yoga to a lifestyle brand that is marrying form and function. To that end, the company has had issues in keeping pace with demand. Our supply chain checks suggest capacity in 2013 will expand and as a result traffic and conversion should improve, resulting in a re-acceleration of comparable growth.”

The report suggests that Key manufacturers are expanding production lines dedicated to LULU garments in Y 2013. After years of under-production, the call today suggests that higher production capacity could result in an incremental 0.09 to 0.18 in earnings per share out in Y 2013. Growth in e-Commerce is also set to ramp up and Lululemon can now ship to 51 new countries. This should boost its international brand presence and should serve as a leading indicator for new store openings.

Canacords sees more stores and says, “With just 200 total stores today, we believe LULU can double its US sq. ft., while growth abroad is in its infancy.”

As far as the $91 price target, this compares to a share price of $72.20 today and a 52-wk range of $42.75 to $81.09.

Thomson Reuters has a consensus price target of $81.29 and the highest price target is listed as $100 for this high growth yoga and sporting goods company.

Relative Valuation

LULU

Peers

T12M

F12M

F12M

P/E

41.42

32.90

17.38

EV/EBITDA

18.99

13.56

8.32

Div Yield

0.0%

0.0%

1.5%

EV/Sales

5.86

4.22

0.99

P/CF

36.31

29.00

12.81

P/B

14.36

9.10

3.69

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Heffernan Capital Management
Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Sales@Heffcap.com

Singapore

3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699

 Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr.

Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr. writes and publishes The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report on the US Major Market Indices, a weekly, highly-regarded financial market letter, read by opinion makers, business leaders and organizations around the world.

Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr has studied the global financial and stock markets since 1984, following a successful business career that included investment banking, and market and business analysis. He is a specialist in equities/commodities, and an accomplished chart reader who advises technicians with regard to Major Indices Resistance/Support Levels.

 

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