Industrial and Coml Bank of China (HKG:1398) Expecting Bulls to Lead

Industrial and Coml Bank of China (HKG:1398) Expecting Bulls to Lead

Industrial and Coml Bank of China (HKG:1398) Expecting Bulls to Lead

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

The projected upper bound is: 5.04.

The projected lower bound is: 4.68.

The projected closing price is: 4.86.

Industrial and Coml Bank of China Ltd

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 18 black candles for a net of 10 white candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 34.0660. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 47.76. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 17 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -69. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 19 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

ICBC closed down -0.030 at 4.850. Volume was 5% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 25% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
4.860 4.940 4.810 4.850 294,457,536

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 4.89 4.75 4.33
Volatility: 36 24 29
Volume: 317,318,464 318,381,632 271,260,896

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary
ICBC is currently 12.0% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of 1398.HK at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on 1398.HK and have had this outlook for the last 6 periods.

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