Cluttons forecast places Paris and Doha alongside UK capital, Toronto the 3rd choice
The region’s high net worth individuals ($1-M+) ranked London in 2nd place alongside Paris and Doha in Cluttons’ 3rd Middle East Private Capital survey, Toronto made a surprise entry at #3.
For this year, London remains the Top destination outside the Middle East for Gulf investors, cited as a Top 3 market by 17% of the 127 millionaires interviewed by Cluttons, ahead of New York (16%) and Singapore (13%).
This is despite London property values reaching as much $4000 sqf, roughly 3X the price of high-end apartments in Manhattan and Singapore’s Marina Bay.
Price softening within the Dubai property market was cited as the top reason for this increase in attractiveness, alongside the upcoming Expo 2020.
Murray Strang, head of Cluttons’ Dubai base, said that the Expo’s potential for capital growth and higher yields in the market means that “people now see really good value for money in Dubai”.
He added: “I think that’s why some people are calling the bottom of the market in the near future, and I think we’re seeing a lot of GCC high net worth individuals who are now seriously looking at Dubai, given that prices have become more attractive over the past year or two.”
London’s real estate market began experiencing a slowdown this year after witnessing capital growth of 70% over the past 7 years.
Following Brexit and the slump in sterling value, investors who hold their wealth in pegged currencies such as the dirham saw hundreds of thousands of UK GBPs wiped off their assets.
As a result, London property is now 34% cheaper than it was nine years ago, according to Cluttons head of research Faisal Durrani.
He said: “If you look at the upper echelons of say £2-M to £5-M, your Brexit saving is close to $500-K. For buyers in the Gulf whose pegs maintain a fixed rate against the dollar, that is a very significant saving, which is why we have seen interest in markets such as Belgravia and Chelsea following Brexit with Kuwaiti and Emirati investors taking full advantage in the currency situation.
“The flipside is that other buyers are saying there’s a potential correction in the market in London and there is potential for sterling to fall further. So there’s those who want to take the opportunity and enter the market and those who want to wait and see how it goes.”
Meanwhile, Doha’s rise in the Cluttons’ ranking was attributed to the capital growth potential surrounding FIFA 2018.
Paris’ attractiveness to the Qatari market through a government tax treaty and the recent purchase by the Qatari Investment Authority of a luxury retail complex on the Champs Elysee boosted its investment probability.
Toronto was the North American city to enter the consideration list for next year, coming in third place. Investors cited the Canadian city’s high living standards and education institutions as factors in their choice.
By Eleanor Dickinson
Paul Ebeling, Editor