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May 24, 2013 -- Updated January 09, 2013 15:41 HKT

Foreign Exchange Technical Update


shayne@heffcap.com
Posted on: Jan 9th, 2013

GOLD: Holdings in exchange-traded products climbed to an all-time high of 18,991.92 metric tons
GOLD Imports by China from HongKong climbed to a seven-month high in November
GOLD China’s net imports of gold, (excluding Hong Kong),were 61,786.6 kilograms in November
UK : Wage Growth Slows to 21-Month Low as Spending Power Falls on account of Taxation
UK : Pound Approaches One-Month Low as Retail Sales Slow; Gilts Gain
UK The U.K. economy shrank 0.1% in December

The yen continued to rise against the dollar and the euro in early Asian trading on Wednesday despite expectations of further easing steps from the Bank of Japan, The euro dropped to 113.80 yen after falling as far as 113.55 yen, its lowest level since late December.
Factors

Technical : EUR JPY broke below its 14-day moving average for the first time since Dec. 11 and is moving further away from its 18-month high of 115.995 yen
Bank of Japan will accede to government pressure to expand monetary easing that tends to weaken the currency.
CAD for the first time in three days as global risk appetite declined.
U.K. Wage Growth Slows to 21-Month Low as Spending Power Falls on account of Taxation
Pound Approaches One-Month Low as Retail Sales Slow; Gilts Gain
The U.K. economy shrank 0.1% in December
AUD retail sales unexpectedly declined and job vacancies dropped.

EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.

Pivot: 1.3140.
Our preference: SHORT positions @ 1.313 with targets @ 1.3055 & 1.303.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.314 will open the way to 1.317 & 1.3215.
Comment: the pair is posting a rebound on an intermediary intraday support but stands below a strong resistance, the RSI stands above its neutral area but lacks upward momentum.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

 

GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.

Pivot: 1.6090.
Our preference: SHORT positions @ 1.608 with 1.602 & 1.6 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.609 will call for 1.613 & 1.6175.
Comment: the pair has broken below a rising trend line and remains under pressure, challenging its support, the RSI stands below its neutral area.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

USD/CAD intraday: key ST resistance at 0.9885.

Pivot: 0.9885
Our preference: Short positions below 0.9885 with targets @ 0.984 & 0.982 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.9885 look for further upside with 0.9905 & 0.9925 as targets.
Comment: the pair stands below a strong intraday resistance and remains under pressure, the RSI is turning down and stands around its neutral area.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.

Pivot: 86.80.
Our preference: LONG positions above 86.8 with 87.8 & 88.05 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 86.8 will call for a slide towards 86.5 & 86.15.
Comment: the pair has broken above a declining trend line and remains on the upside, the RSI stands above its neutral area and remains well directed.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

AUD/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.047.

Pivot: 1.047
Our preference: Long positions above 1.047 with targets @ 1.0515 & 1.053 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.047 look for further downside with 1.0455 & 1.0435 as targets.
Comment: the pair remains on the upside and is challenging its strong resistance, the RSI stands above its neutral area and is well directed.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced

USD/CHF intraday: caution.

Pivot: 0.9250.
Our preference: SHORT positions below 0.925 with 0.9195 & 0.9165 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 0.925 will call for 0.9285 & 0.93.
Comment: the pair is on the upside and is challenging its new resistance, the RSI is mixed and calls for caution.

Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistance | Red Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced











 

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Heffernan Capital Management
Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Sales@Heffcap.com

Singapore

3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699

  Shayne Heffernan Ph.D.
Economist/Hedge Fund Manager

Shayne Heffernan oversees the management of funds for institutions and high net worth individuals. He is also an active consultant working with Corporations around the World.

He is recognized as one of the leading Economists in South East Asia, as well as the preeminent authority on ASEAN. His opinions and forecasts are widely read by decision makers in the region and Internationally.

Shayne Heffernan holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reached a peak of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

Member
Chinese Society of Economists
American Economic Society




 

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Posted by on Jan 9th, 2013and filed underForeign Exchange, Latest News.You can follow any responses to this entry through theRSS 2.0You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.
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Guest: bztg, come on shane, lite this puppy up. been waiting too long lets go!!!

Tue, 04/30/13 | 0 Comment

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Guest: gsat get it now. if u snooze u lose

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