Dubai Real Estate May Become as Unaffordable as London

Dubai Real Estate May Become as Unaffordable as London

Dubai Real Estate May Become as Unaffordable as London

Residents could be permanently priced out of the market, according to Cluttons

Dubai is at risk of becoming as unaffordable for local residents as parts of the UK capital London unless cheaper property is provided, according to Cluttons.

Faisal Durrani, the property consultancy’s head of research, said the average annual household income in the emirate was Dhs200,000 or less but very few family homes were within reach assuming a mortgage of 3-4X that amount.

“If we do not start to address the affordability issue there is a real danger that a lot of people will be permanently priced out of the housing market,” he said.

“In a city like Dubai where infrastructure is still playing catch-up the last thing I want to see is affordable communities that are far removed from the rest of the city.”

To date several developers have launched projects dubbed affordable but pricing has varied considerably. Typically the target customer has been in the more affluent Dhs20,000 to Dhs30,000 mid-market than the lower end.

In a report last year, rival consultancy JLL (NYSE:JLL) said only 22% of housing units launched in the Emirate last year were in the affordable bracket classified as prices of around Dhs790,000 and rents of Dhs72,000

Cluttons also noted that affordable International City was one of the few areas to weather the downturn in the Dubai property market in its own recent forecast.

Durrani suggested a federal quota system or affordable housing provision could be the solution. Government-owned developer Nakheel’s recent launch of projects with units for lease could also be an attempt to offer more affordable accommodation, he said.

“Nakheel is building a huge portfolio of rental properties and this is perhaps almost tantamount to acknowledging the fact that there might be a group of people that will never be able to buy.”

The recently launched $2-B Jebel Ali Gardens will offer 10,000 units for rental only with almost 3,000 more being built at the $1.36-B Deira Islands Boulevard.

Cluttons Middle East CEO Steven Morgan said the introduction of a 5% VAT (Value Added Tax) rate could also put the onus on the government to provide more affordable options.

“We would hope with the introduction of a 5% tax we would then see some increased spending into the infrastructure and projects such as affordable housing off the back of that additional funding,” he said.

In March last year, Dubai Municipality proposed the introduction of 15-20% affordable housing quotas for all new residential developments but it is unclear whether this will be implemented.

By Robert Anderson

Paul Ebeling, Editor

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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