Fundamental Analysis
USD/ZAR South African Rand Outlook
USD/ZAR South African Rand Outlook Shayne Heffernan takes a look at the USD/ZAR USD/ZAR closed above the upper band by 10.6%. Although prices have broken the upper band and an upside breakout is possible, the most likely scenario is for the current trading range that ZAR is in to continue for now but reverse and [...]
Shayne Heffernan: How to Develop an Inflation Hedge 2013
Shayne Heffernan: How to Develop an Inflation Hedge 2013 QE1, QE2, QE3, the Bernanke “Twist” and QE4 are pumping out money at a rate never before seen in history. The Fed will not only generate US inflation but it will be exporting that inflation to the rest of the World, especially emerging markets. It is [...]
GBP/USD Outlook
GBP/USD Outlook Technical Outlook Short Term: Neutral Intermediate Term: Bearish Long Term: Bearish Bollinger Bands are 130.98% wider than normal. The large width of the bands suggest high volatility as compared to FOREX GBP=’s normal range. Therefore, the probability of volatility decreasing and prices entering (or remaining in) a trading range has increased for the [...]
CNY to Dominate USD
CNY to Dominate USD CNY, JPM, DBSDY, DBSDF China is set promote the “opening-up: of its financial market to both domestic and foreign players this year to attract wider use of the yuan globally, a senior official at the People’s Bank of China said Wednesday. “We’d like to enhance the cross-border circulation of the yuan [...]
Return of the Euro Crisis
Return of the Euro Crisis European futures are pointed lower across the board as equity indices pullback from recent exuberance and German growth slowed more than forecast. Concern over the debt ceiling and comments from Asia overnight are negatively impacting markets as riskier sovereign yields also move higher. Recapitalization rumors for Greek banks remain a [...]
USD GBP and China
USD GBP and China Risk well supported by Chinese data – focus on Europe ON BULLETS • UK sticks with current formulation of RPI • Chinese exports and trade balance much higher than expected in Dec USD The USD performed well yesterday against the other low yielders, and the USD index is once again threatening [...]
Foreign Exchange: USD, EUR, GBP, JPY Update
Foreign Exchange: USD, EUR, GBP, JPY Update EUR supported as Japan pledges ESM bond buying ON BULLETS • UK BRC like-for-like sales 0.3% y/y – slightly weaker than expected • Japan finance minister Aso says Japan to buy ESM bonds using FX reserves to help stabilise EUR and JPY • AUD trade deficit widens more [...]
GBP and EUR Macro Data
GBP and EUR Macro Data • Macro data/ supply calendar picks-up today • GBP swaps: retain 2s5s curve flattener • Gilt 4T30 auction: little RV concession but outright yields should help support the sale It was a rather quiet start to the first full week of the year as most investors came back from the [...]
Forex: EUR, GBP, USD Economic Update
Forex: EUR, GBP, USD Economic Update Ahead of the ECB’s meeting on Thursday, today’s German factory orders are expected to show that economic conditions in the euro area’s largest economy remained fragile in November. After surging by 3.9% m/m in October we expect orders fell back 1.5% m/m, bringing the annual rate to -0.4%. Stronger [...]
Euro, UK, US Bond Supply
Euro, UK, US Bond Supply • EA: Full supply agenda with Spain on Thursday • UK: £1.5bn UKT 4.75% 2030 on Tuesday • US: First 3, 10 year and Bond auctions for 2013 Euro area preview • With the Germany and France already kicking off their 2013 funding programmes and raising a total €13bn, this [...]
EUR GBP USD Rates Strategy
EUR GBP USD Rates Strategy • Debt ceiling issue keeps US in the spotlight • Focus on ECB and busy data releases agenda • First supply-heavy week across the 3 regions A rather aggressive trading start for 2013 following the last minute compromise on the US fiscal cliff. The market reacted with a significant ‘risk [...]
FX Update EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, AUD
FX Update EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, AUD The FX open little changed in the Far East Monday after the European and commodity currencies ended little changed on Friday. The JPY keeps going lower, and it is only a matter of time before China will voice its displeasure; a weak Yen favors Japanese exports over Chinese exports. [...]
Foreign Exchange: GBP, EUR Update
Foreign Exchange: GBP, EUR Update The results of the Lloyds Consumer Barometer survey for December were published overnight. The key result was that inflation expectations, as measured by the net proportion of households expecting higher prices over the coming year, rose to their highest level since February 2011. This measure foreshadowed the recent trough in [...]
Foreign Exchange Update EUR, USD, JPY
Foreign Exchange Update EUR, USD, JPY Despite the USD weakness which saw GBP/USD pushed above 3 month highs, EUR/USD failed to take hold of 1.33, keeping trading range of 1.316 – 1.33. Italian and Spanish 10 yr bond yields trading lower – a sign of optimism in Eurozone. Though questions remains whether such optimism can [...]
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China Economy in for a Shock
Thursday’s PMI revived investor worries about whether China can sustain an economic revival this year, after annual growth slumped to a 13-year trough in 2012. China’s factory output and investment performance for April released earlier …
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UAE Economy Seeing a Spring Boom
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Driven by stable high Crude Oil prices, tourism, diversification and a liberal trade policy, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) witnesses an unprecedented …
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Roulette, The Devil’s Game
All of the numbers on a Roulette Wheel add up to 666, hence, that is why roulette is referred to as “The Devil’s Game.”
Roulette …
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Guest: bztg, come on shane, lite this puppy up. been waiting too long lets go!!!
Tue, 04/30/13 | 0 Comment
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Guest: gsat get it now. if u snooze u lose
Fri, 04/19/13 | 0 Comment
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