At the end of a tumultuous week for the UK economy, the pound has dropped by -0.4 per cent against the US dollar.
The Pound to Dollar exchange rate is seen trading in familiar territory at the start of a new week in global FX with one Pound buying 1.2872 US Dollars on the inter-bank market.
Chief Currency Strategist Adam Cole notes this is an important week for US and UK news and the market goes into it 50% priced for an 25bp rate hike by year-end in both cases.
Malcolm Turnbull and Theresa May have announced they are prepared to sign an ambitious trade deal after Brexit, with Turnbull saying he hoped the deal could progress as soon as Britain was able after leaving the EU. “Australians are fleet of foot, we don’t muck around, we are very simple. So we will move as quickly as the UK is able to move.” The UK is unable to complete its own trade deals before leaving the EU in March 2019, but ministers can lay the groundwork for an agreement.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.28.
The projected upper bound is: 1.31.
The projected lower bound is: 1.27.
The projected closing price is: 1.29.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 29 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 8 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 24.2206. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 53.82. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 51 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 18. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX GBP= closed up 0.003 at 1.291. Volume was 64% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 12% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume
1.288 1.292 1.286 1.291 46,224
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1.29 1.29 1.25
Volatility: 9 9 12
Volume: 107,694 125,625 140,539
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX GBP= is currently 2.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of GBP= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on GBP= and have had this outlook for the last 7 periods.
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