AUD/USD Long Term Bulls in Favor

AUD/USD Long Term Bulls in Favor

AUD/USD Long Term Bulls in Favor

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.

The projected upper bound is: 0.77.

The projected lower bound is: 0.74.

The projected closing price is: 0.75.

aud

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 32 white candles and 18 black candles for a net of 14 white candles.

An engulfing bearish line occurred (where a black candle’s real body completely contains the previous white candle’s real body). The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend. It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears.

If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend (which appears to be the case with FOREX AUD=), it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle’s real body.

Relative Strength Index

The current value for the 14 period RSI is 41.4352.

The RSI, written by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, can be used in several different ways to analyze a chart.

Tops and Bottoms

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Sell173 period(s) Ago.

Chart Formations

The RSI often forms chart patterns (such as head and shoulders or rising wedges) that may or may not be visible on the price chart. Since the analysis of chart patterns is subjective, the Expert Advisor cannot find them. You will have to visually inspect the RSI indicator to look for such patterns.

Failure Swings (also known as support or resistance penetrations or breakouts)
The RSI has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s). This is bearish.

Support and Resistance

The RSI shows, sometimes more clearly than the price chart, levels of support and resistance. As with chart formations, this is subjective, so you must visually inspect the chart to determine this divergence.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX AUD= closed down -0.001 at 0.755. Volume was 92% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 6% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
0.756 0.756 0.753 0.755 7,515

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.76 0.76 0.75
Volatility: 12 11 14
Volume: 116,502 107,737 94,730

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary
FOREX AUD= is currently 0.5% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of AUD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on AUD= and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods.

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