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May 25, 2013 -- Updated December 20, 2012 04:31 HKT

ASEAN Market Preview, Jaya Ancol, Scientex, Olam, Thai Union Frozen


shayne@heffcap.com
Posted on: Dec 20th, 2012

Thailand

Mitsui & Co are setting up a partnership with Thai Union Frozen (TUF) Group by buying existing facilities and then building new ones on the coast of Thailand. They will own 49% of the venture that will cost them three billion yen (US$36 million). “This strategy will help Mitsubishi respond to increasing global demand for food products and to fulfill the role of providing a stable supply of resources,” the company said. Chief Executive Officer Ken Kobayashi said that food will be one of their key areas in the next few years.

Japan’s trading companies have, for the past decade or so, earned their profit by investing in coking coal and iron ore, which had a big demand in China. But now, they are shifting their investments to food, utility and transport businesses due to the waning demand for bulk commodity prices. Food in particular, has been a source of growth for these trading companies.

Mitsubishi, Japan’s biggest trader by market value, invested in meat and livestock in China through Cofco Corp and went into the salmon fish-farming business in Chile last year. This 2012, they also added to their investment portfolio grain collection and coffee plantation projects in Brazil and phosphate mines in Peru.

Singapore

Olam has swamped Muddy Waters with huge volume and a strong rally, this is playing out exactly as we suggested, I will cover Olam and Muddy Waters tomorrow.

In Olam’s favor also is an improved outlook for the sector in 2013, food prices are expected to rise and regionally ASEAN +6 will speed up local GDP.

Of Muddy Waters seven attacks on companies in China, they all have a common theme, fraud and “accounting anomalies”, as I have said before they tend to feed off the Western view that those of us in Asia are somewhat less sophisticated, or more sinister than our counterparts in the West. Muddy Waters attacks work best when the shareholders are foreign entities, and Muddy Waters gets to cash in on their existing mistrust of China/Asia. Of course this is completely untrue, America most definitely has proven to be the country that produces corporate fraud at a level so vast it has more than once impacted the global economy.

It is important to remember when reading all the Muddy Waters press that not all of his targets have collapsed, and fraud has not always been proven, the Muddy Waters strike rate in relation to sinking companies or proving criminality is pretty low. What the Muddy Waters press machine does is create doubts on a company, without proof or accountability for a quick buck, while there is nothing wrong with making a quick buck, the Muddy Waters approach is beginning to wear thin, there are now a trail of innocent investors and managers whose businesses suffer lingering suspicion but with no proof of having committed any accounting breach.

But I do think it is harder to scare Singapore investors, wherever they are from. Singapore has a stellar reputation and rightfully so, that is why I predict that the Muddy Waters attack on Olam is a strategic error, Muddy Waters will lose this battle.

Malaysia

Scientex Bhd’s earnings rose 20.6% to RM24.87mil in the first quarter ended Oct 31, 2012 from RM20.63mil a year ago, due to strong growth in its manufacturing and property divisions.

It said on Wednesday its revenue increased by 13% to RM241.61mil from RM213.76mil. Operating profit was 18.6% higher at RM31.48mil from RM26.54mil. Earnings per share were 11.57 sen compared with 9.59 sen.

Scientex said the industrial packaging manufacturing division’s revenue rose 12.0% to RM172.6mil from RM154.1mil a year ago, boosted by higher regional exports.

Its property division reported a 15.6% increase in revenue at RM69.0mil due to increased revenue recognition from ongoing projects.

Earlier at its AGM, shareholders approved the company’s acquisition of GW Plastics Holdings Bhd’s core assets — industrial plastic packaging, blown film, and downstream printing and laminating capabilities — for RM283.2mil.

This acquisition would allow the group to fast-track its manufacturing division expansion plans.

Scientex said the deal would expand its capacity to produce 154,000 tonnes of industrial stretch film and 28,000 tonnes of blown film.

“Given plans already put in motion, the total annual stretch film capacity is expected to hit the 194,000 tonne mark by 2014,” it said, adding the acquisition was expected to be completed by end-January 2013.

Indonesia

Pembangunan Jaya Ancol, a recreational park operator in North Jakarta, set the coupon rate on its Rp 300 billion ($31 million) bond sale plan.

The Jakarta-based company will offer Rp 100 billion worth of three-year bonds at a coupon of 8.1 percent, the company said in a brief prospectus published by Investor Daily on Tuesday. The company is also offering Rp 200 billion worth of five-year bonds at 8.4 percent.

Pembangunan Jaya plans to list the bond on the Indonesia Stock Exchange on Dec. 28.

The company’s bonds coupons are lower than that offered by its rival Modernland Realty.

Modernland Realty, an Indonesian property company, is offering Rp 250 billion worth of three year bonds at 10.75 percent, according to a brief prospectus published also published in Investor Daily on Tuesday. It also offering Rp 250 biliion in seven-year bonds at 11 percent, the prospectus showed.

Typically the coupon of the notes sold by private companies such as Modernland and Ancol are higher than those sold by the government. The yield on the government five-year bonds was 4.7581 percent on Tuesday from 4.7594 percent the previous day while the yield on the three-year bonds was at 4.6656 percent, according to data from Indonesia Bond Pricing Agency.

Indonesian companies and commercial banks are selling bonds to capitalize on low borrowing costs in Southeast Asia’s largest economy.

Pembangunan Jaya said that it will use the proceeds from the bond sale to finance its expansion plans. It plans to build residential houses and coastal villas inside the Ancol park complex in North Jakarta.

Pembangunan Jaya named Indo Premier Securities and Mandiri Securities as financial adviser for the debt sale.

The Jakarta government owns 72 percent of Jaya Ancol, with 18 percent owned by Pembangunan Jaya and 10 percent by other investors.

Company shares rose 1.2 percent to Rp 850 on Tuesday.

Yesterday in Asia

Tokyo shares surged 2.39 percent, a third straight rally, to break 10,000 for the first time in eight months ahead of an expected Bank of Japan announcement on monetary policy.

The Nikkei in Japan ended up 237.39 points to 10,160.40 on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, while Sydney climbed 0.49 percent, or 22.6 points, to a 17-month high of 4,617.8.

Hong Kong climbed 0.57 percent, or 128.64 points, to 22,623.37, while Shanghai closed flat, dipping 0.22 points to 2,162.24.

– Taipei rose 33.73 points, or 0.44 percent, at 7,677.47.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. was 0.62 percent higher at Tw$97.3 while leading smartphone maker HTC fell 1.44 percent at Tw$274.5.

– Manila soared 2.05 percent, or 115.80 points, to 5,752.39.

– Wellington added 1.10 percent, or 43.75 points, to 4,023.00.

Telecom rose 1.6 percent to NZ$2.29, Mainfreight added 2.1 percent to NZ$11.30, Fletcher Building was up 2.10 percent to NZ$8.27 and Air New Zealand gained 0.78 percent to NZ$1.29.

– Singapore closed up 0.06 percent, or 1.78 points to 3,158.57.

City Developments dipped 1.52 percent to Sg$13.00 while Wilmar International gained 1.27 percent to Sg$3.18.

– Bangkok gained 1.13 percent, or 15.46 points, to 1,378.40.

Coal producer Banpu edged up 0.47 percent to 424 baht, while oil company PTT added 0.60 percent to 333 baht.

– Jakarta ended down 25.57 points, or 0.59 percent, at 4,275.85.

Cement maker Semen Gresik fell 1.58 percent to 15,550 rupiah, cigarette maker Gudang Garam lost 2.25 percent to 58,600 rupiah, while palm oil producer Astra Agro Lestari rose 2.77 percent to 18,550 rupiah.

– Kuala Lumpur gained 6.2 points, or 0.37 percent, to close at 1,665.64.

AirAsia gained 0.4 percent to 2.58 ringgit. Tenaga Nasional lost 0.3 percent to 3.35 and IHH Healthcare fell 0.3 percent to 3.35 ringgit.

–Mumbai rose 0.57 percent, or 111.25 points, at 19,476.0 points.

Tata Motors rose 3.29 percent to 307.55 rupees, while ONGC rose 3.16 percent to 264.35.

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Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Heffernan Capital Management
Sales@Heffcap.com

Singapore

3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699

 



 

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Heffernan Capital Management
Linda Johnson,
Business Development Director – Private Client Group,
Sales@Heffcap.com

Singapore

3 Raffles Place #07-01
Bharat Building Singapore 048617
Tel: +65 6329 6408
Fax: +65 6329 9699

  Shayne Heffernan Ph.D.
Economist/Hedge Fund Manager

Shayne Heffernan oversees the management of funds for institutions and high net worth individuals. He is also an active consultant working with Corporations around the World.

He is recognized as one of the leading Economists in South East Asia, as well as the preeminent authority on ASEAN. His opinions and forecasts are widely read by decision makers in the region and Internationally.

Shayne Heffernan holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reached a peak of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

Member
Chinese Society of Economists
American Economic Society




 

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Guest: bztg, come on shane, lite this puppy up. been waiting too long lets go!!!

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