The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 8 June 2016
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX
The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months,
The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the mood of individual investors. The weekly survey results are published in financial publications and are widely followed by market strategists, investment newsletter writers and other financial professionals.
Data represents what direction members feel the stock market will be in next 6 months.
Historical Average: 38.5%
Pessimism declined to a 6-wk low, and Neutral sentiment remained above 40% for a 13th week running.
Pessimism about the short-term direction of stocks is at a 6-week low, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Neutral sentiment is up, while Optimism is down.
Expectations that stock prices will rise over the next months, pulled back by 2.3% to 27.8%. The decline follows last week’s 12.4% jump to a 6-wk high of 30.2%. This week’s decrease keeps Optimism below its historical average of 38.5% for the 31st straight week and the 64th out of the past 66 weeks.
By Charles Rotblut, CFA
Paul Ebeling, Editor